Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $19.5000 (0.1%) ($19.5000 - $19.7500) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.04% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $19.5000(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)    IWF(72%)    QQQ(72%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -1.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-1%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.02% (StdDev 2.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.41(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.07(2.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.7(4.28%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   31.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 2.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 49 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(41%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(59%) Sample size 49 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(55%) Sample size 49 Average positive next weekly return: 2.39%(39%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.19%(61%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2016	18.58	18.7	19.07	19.41	19.51	19.55	19.5(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	30	61	90	0	43%	0.05	54.8	2.04%	0	1.4	75	INF
2	Apr_6_2016	18.57	18.63	19	19.33	15.8	19.44	19.48(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	1060	6	74	0	42%	0.05	54.6	2.1%	0	1.5	76	INF
3	Apr_5_2016	18.56	18.56	18.94	19.22	15.72	19.47	19.4(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	173	1120	181	150	0	42%	0.05	58.2	2.11%	0	1.6	77	INF
4	Apr_4_2016	18.55	18.51	18.86	19.1	15.62	12.16	19.53(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	-2100	20	81	0	41%	0.05	70.7	2.11%	0	2.1	65	INF
5	Apr_1_2016	18.54	18.46	18.76	18.85	15.44	11.97	19.13(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-120	-2120	-159	-2	0	41%	0.05	82.9	2.11%	0	1.6	67	INF

6	Mar_31_2016	18.53	18.4	18.65	18.68	15.39	19.08	19.13(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	1150	10	55	0	40%	0.05	94.3	2.13%	0	1.9	68	INF
7	Mar_30_2016	18.52	18.33	18.54	18.63	15.16	18.92	18.9(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	198	1180	219	136	0	40%	0	112.9	2.14%	0	1.5	63	INF
8	Mar_29_2016	18.52	18.26	18.44	18.62	15.16	11.7	18.83(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-1070	9	47	0	40%	0	122	2.14%	0	1.5	58	INF
9	Mar_28_2016	18.52	18.18	18.39	18.59	11.59	11.4	18.27(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-37	-1240	-55	19	0	37%	0	114.5	2.1%	0	0.2	47	INF
10	Mar_24_2016	18.52	18.12	18.36	18.64	15.12	11.48	18.27(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-2250	-7	35	0	36%	0	96	2.1%	0	0.3	46	INF

11	Mar_23_2016	18.52	18.04	18.32	18.61	15.19	11.78	18.87(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-169	-2120	-208	-52	0	39%	0	86.2	2.07%	0	1.2	60	INF
12	Mar_22_2016	18.52	17.92	18.23	18.43	18.53	18.77	18.87(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	110	19	27	0	39%	0.05	76.2	2.08%	0	1.3	65	INF
13	Mar_21_2016	18.51	17.8	18.15	18.22	18.3	18.59	18.68(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	120	12	17	0	39%	0	72.6	2.08%	0	1.2	67	INF
14	Mar_18_2016	18.51	17.69	18.13	18.17	18.11	18.3	18.51(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	60	14	33	0	39%	0	76.9	2.07%	0	1.1	69	INF
15	Mar_17_2016	18.51	17.57	18.12	18.05	18.09	18.01	18.1(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-20	6	43	0	37%	-0.05	77.3	2.05%	0	0.6	67	INF

16	Mar_16_2016	18.52	17.47	18.13	18.05	18.05	17.92	17.99(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-40	-7	58	0	37%	0	79.3	2.05%	0	0.6	72	INF
17	Mar_15_2016	18.52	17.39	18.11	17.99	18.09	17.92	17.84(-3.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	50	-5	79	0	39%	-0.05	80.9	2.06%	0	0.5	72	INF
18	Mar_14_2016	18.53	17.28	18.08	18.07	18.11	18.17	18.4(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	30	4	112	0	39%	0	86.4	2.04%	0	1.2	82	INF
19	Mar_11_2016	18.53	17.11	17.96	18.09	18.06	18	17.93(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-30	-9	121	0	36%	-0.05	78.5	2.05%	0	0.8	75	INF
20	Mar_10_2016	18.54	16.96	17.87	18.21	18.17	18.04	17.81(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	33	-60	-7	154	0	38%	-0.05	68.8	2.04%	0	0.8	77	INF

21	Mar_9_2016	18.55	16.83	17.76	18.28	18.26	18.11	17.98(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-60	-1	174	0	37%	-0.05	62.8	2.06%	0	1	81	INF
22	Mar_8_2016	18.56	16.67	17.61	18.23	18.24	18.29	18.21(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	20	7	183	0	37%	0	54.1	2.06%	0	1.3	83	INF
23	Mar_7_2016	18.56	16.5	17.43	18.08	18.12	18.41	18.51(-0.16%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	67	120	24	194	0	37%	0	42.6	2.05%	0	1.7	92	INF
24	Mar_4_2016	18.56	16.34	17.22	17.8	17.89	18.18	18.54(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	130	30	198	0	37%	0	33.4	2.06%	0	2	94	INF
25	Mar_3_2016	18.56	16.23	16.97	17.49	17.56	17.83	18.14(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	69	120	27	196	0	33%		29.3	2.04%	0	1.9	94	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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