Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $18.2100 (-1.62%) ($18.2100 - $18.2100) on Tue. Mar. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $18.2100(-1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(78%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(74%)    IWF(72%)    VUG(72%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-1%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.23(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.61(3.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.67(9.24%)
To recent high   -14.4%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 7.14% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.85%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.54%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.93%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.49%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.24%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.85%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2016	18.56	16.67	17.61	18.23	18.24	18.29	18.21(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	20	7	183	0	37%	0	54.1	2.06%	0	1.3	83	INF
2	Mar_7_2016	18.56	16.5	17.43	18.08	18.12	18.41	18.51(-0.16%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	67	120	24	194	0	37%	0	42.6	2.05%	0	1.7	92	INF
3	Mar_4_2016	18.56	16.34	17.22	17.8	17.89	18.18	18.54(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	130	30	198	0	37%	0	33.4	2.06%	0	2	94	INF
4	Mar_3_2016	18.56	16.23	16.97	17.49	17.56	17.83	18.14(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	69	120	27	196	0	33%	-0.05	29.3	2.04%	0	1.9	94	INF
5	Mar_2_2016	18.57	16.13	16.76	17.17	17.33	17.61	17.73(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	140	27	186	0	31%	-0.05	20	2.03%	0	1.8	85	INF

6	Mar_1_2016	18.58	16.05	16.59	16.91	17.03	17.29	17.48(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	130	23	185	0	31%	-0.11	9.6	2.02%	0	1.8	85	INF
7	Feb_29_2016	18.6	16.01	16.4	16.68	16.77	17.06	17.1(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	140	18	180	0	29%	-0.11	-1.3	1.98%	0	1.5	84	INF
8	Feb_26_2016	18.62	15.98	16.19	16.55	16.57	16.78	17.02(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	90	21	161	0	31%	-0.16	-11.1	2%	0	1.4	67	INF
9	Feb_25_2016	18.65	15.95	15.97	16.37	16.43	16.47	16.53(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	10	111	0	29%	-0.16	-23.8	1.97%	0	0.8	48	INF
10	Feb_24_2016	18.68	15.96	15.82	16.28	16.32	16.36	16.44(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	20	5	77	0	29%	-0.21	-28.1	1.98%	0	0.7	49	INF

11	Feb_23_2016	18.72	15.98	15.66	16.21	16.24	16.39	16.3(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	70	13	47	0	29%	-0.16	-32.2	1.97%	0	0.4	47	INF
12	Feb_22_2016	18.75	16.02	15.51	16.06	16.18	16.29	16.47(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	21	70	28	-0	0	29%	-0.21	-35.3	1.97%	0	0.6	43	INF
13	Feb_19_2016	18.79	16.06	15.4	15.76	15.95	16.09	16.1(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	100	22	-58	0	27%	-0.27	-45	1.96%	0	0	42	INF
14	Feb_18_2016	18.84	16.11	15.43	15.5	15.64	16.07	16.07(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	220	26	-85	0	27%	-0.21	-55.1	1.97%	0	-0	45	INF
15	Feb_17_2016	18.88	16.16	15.44	15.29	15.31	15.81	16.13(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	230	35	-111	0	27%	-0.26	-66.6	1.99%	0	-0	41	INF

16	Feb_16_2016	18.93	16.22	15.45	15.04	15.05	15.22	15.55(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	80	24	-158	0	22%	-0.32	-74.2	1.93%	0	-0.7	33	INF
17	Feb_12_2016	18.99	16.31	15.57	14.89	15.05	14.81	14.95(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-30	-10	-204	0	17%	-0.37	-84.6	1.85%	0	-1.4	23	INF
18	Feb_11_2016	19.06	16.46	15.75	15	14.88	14.89	14.78(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-77	-20	-30	-216	0	17%	-0.42	-86.1	1.85%	0	-1.7	19	INF
19	Feb_10_2016	19.14	16.62	15.92	15.35	15.1	14.96	15.05(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-64	-110	-22	-190	0	17%	-0.42	-89.8	1.86%	0	-1.7	27	INF
20	Feb_9_2016	19.22	16.79	16.11	15.61	15.48	14.87	14.86(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-72	-300	-38	-174	0	17%	-0.41	-92.2	1.86%	0	-2.1	27	INF

21	Feb_8_2016	19.3	16.96	16.33	15.93	15.85	15.25	14.8(-4.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-81	-280	-56	-157	0	17%	-0.41	-100.2	1.87%	0	-2.5	23	INF
22	Feb_5_2016	19.38	17.16	16.6	16.35	16.24	16.09	15.5(-6.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-51	-80	-31	-109	0	18%	-0.41	-105.3	1.81%	0	-2.1	30	INF
23	Feb_4_2016	19.46	17.34	16.8	16.35	16.56	16.44	16.52(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-60	0	-88	0	21%	-0.31	-109.2	1.64%	0	-1.1	31	INF
24	Feb_3_2016	19.52	17.5	16.87	16.59	16.6	16.4	16.37(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-80	-16	-109	0	21%	-0.31	-97.9	1.65%	0	-1.2	32	INF
25	Feb_2_2016	19.58	17.68	16.94	16.69	16.63	16.67	16.46(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	10	-16	-123	0	21%		-87.8	1.66%	0	-1.2	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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