Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Genomic Revolution ETF)
ARKG latest price $20.0300 (-0.3%) ($20.0300 - $20.1500) on Fri. Mar. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $20.0300(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKG advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKG advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(79%)    XBI(78%)    IBB(75%)    IWO(72%)    SKYY(69%)
Factors Impacting ARKG price   ARKG will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    IPO(-5%)    TLT(-3%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.99(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.54(2.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.15(4.6%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKG price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.42%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.73%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.63%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2017	18.05	19.15	19.54	19.99	20.08	20.14	20.03(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	30	16	102	0	74%	0.11	85.3	1.7%	0	1.5	68	INF
2	Mar_2_2017	18.03	19.06	19.44	19.75	19.92	20.19	20.09(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	120	26	85	0.01	74%	0.11	80.9	1.71%	0	1.8	71	INF
3	Mar_1_2017	18.01	18.97	19.34	19.51	19.56	20.01	20.31(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	42	170	31	76	0	68%	0.11	77.9	1.71%	0	2.4	80	INF
4	Feb_28_2017	17.99	18.86	19.21	19.26	19.26	19.64	19.84(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	35	140	26	62	0	57%	0	81.2	1.74%	0	2	79	INF
5	Feb_27_2017	17.99	18.74	19.1	19.14	19.08	19.11	19.69(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	0	13	53	0	57%	0.06	71.2	1.77%	0	1.9	75	INF

6	Feb_24_2017	17.98	18.65	19.03	19.04	19.05	18.87	18.8(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-60	-11	51	0	51%	-0.06	72.6	1.68%	0	0.3	69	INF
7	Feb_23_2017	17.99	18.6	19.04	19.09	19.16	19.06	18.9(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-30	-9	68	0	51%	-0.06	71.2	1.69%	0	0.6	66	INF
8	Feb_22_2017	18	18.55	19	19.13	19.2	19.24	19.06(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	30	-2	81	0	51%	0	70.6	1.69%	0	1	72	INF
9	Feb_21_2017	18	18.47	18.93	19.14	19.26	19.26	19.23(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	20	9	89	0	51%	-0.17	66	1.7%	0	1.4	78	INF
10	Feb_17_2017	18.03	18.39	18.84	19.06	19.18	19.16	19.2(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	10	1	94	0	51%	0	56.1	1.7%	0	1.4	85	INF

11	Feb_16_2017	18.03	18.32	18.73	19.01	19.11	19.26	19.07(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	70	5	98	0	48%	-0.11	51.5	1.7%	0	1.4	71	INF
12	Feb_15_2017	18.05	18.25	18.66	18.97	19.05	19.2	19.1(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	70	18	109	0.01	48%	-0.06	49.1	1.73%	0	1.7	73	INF
13	Feb_14_2017	18.06	18.18	18.57	18.84	18.87	18.96	19.08(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	40	14	104	0.01	52%	-0.06	37.1	1.73%	0	1.9	73	INF
14	Feb_13_2017	18.07	18.11	18.48	18.68	18.71	18.91	18.83(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	80	12	97	0	52%	-0.06	24.7	1.77%	0	1.6	73	INF
15	Feb_10_2017	18.08	18.08	18.35	18.58	18.6	18.78	18.99(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	70	20	92	0	56%	-0.06	20.7	1.77%	0	2.2	75	INF

16	Feb_9_2017	18.09	18.04	18.24	18.41	18.46	18.51	18.86(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	30	11	74	0.01	63%	-0.06	16	1.82%	0	2.3	70	INF
17	Feb_8_2017	18.1	18.04	18.13	18.3	18.35	18.42	18.45(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	30	3	54	0	61%	-0.11	8.4	2.06%	0	1.5	66	INF
18	Feb_7_2017	18.12	18	18.06	18.26	18.33	18.41	18.27(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	40	5	51	0	65%	-0.06	25.6	2.06%	0	0.9	60	INF
19	Feb_6_2017	18.13	18.01	17.99	18.24	18.27	18.27	18.34(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	0	11	47	0.01	65%	-0.06	43.8	2.2%	0	1	61	INF
20	Feb_3_2017	18.14	18	17.91	18.08	18.13	18.24	18.15(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	50	4	21	0	62%	-0.11	47.1	2.19%	0	0.5	44	INF

21	Feb_2_2017	18.16	17.99	17.87	18.03	17.96	18.26	18.29(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	110	12	12	0	62%	0	51.7	2.23%	0	1	47	INF
22	Feb_1_2017	18.16	17.98	17.8	17.92	17.87	18.01	18.25(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	50	14	-3	0	62%	0	50.6	2.23%	0	0.9	50	INF
23	Jan_31_2017	18.16	17.93	17.76	17.82	17.74	17.67	18.19(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-40	5	-26	0.03	62%	-0.06	32.8	2.24%	0	0.7	40	INF
24	Jan_30_2017	18.17	17.87	17.71	17.7	17.72	17.72	17.53(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	0	-3	-49	0	59%	-0.06	20.9	2.2%	0	-1	33	INF
25	Jan_27_2017	18.18	17.85	17.79	17.71	17.71	17.82	17.91(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	40	6	-44	0	59%		15.2	2.18%	0	0.1	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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