Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Genomic Revolution ETF)
ARKG latest price $19.7800 (0.3%) ($19.7400 - $19.8100) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $19.7800(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKG advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKG advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(79%)    XBI(78%)    IBB(75%)    IWO(72%)    SKYY(68%)
Factors Impacting ARKG price   ARKG will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    BOTZ(-7%)    TLT(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.39(2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.12(3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.73(5.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKG price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.11%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.12%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -8.33%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 5.12%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.64%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	17.94	18.73	19.12	19.39	19.52	19.74	19.78(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	113	100	97	161	0	54%	0.11	25.9	1.54%	0	1.9	76	0
2	Sep_19_2016	17.92	18.68	19.01	19.17	15.74	19.49	19.72(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	46	1130	24	113	0	54%	0.17	13.4	1.56%	0	2.1	70	0
3	Sep_16_2016	17.89	18.62	18.85	18.98	15.49	19.29	19.49(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	231	1170	247	184	0	54%	0.06	0.4	1.56%	0	2	72	0
4	Sep_15_2016	17.88	18.59	18.71	18.82	15.36	11.99	19.25(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-2090	16	76	0	54%	0.06	-10.5	1.56%	0	1.7	72	0
5	Sep_14_2016	17.87	18.57	18.58	18.76	15.23	11.69	18.7(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-242	-2190	-302	-61	0	51%	0	-13.1	1.54%	0	0.4	58	0

6	Sep_13_2016	17.87	18.59	18.54	18.76	18.8	18.74	18.7(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-20	-3	48	0	51%	0	-8.6	1.56%	0	0.3	43	0
7	Sep_12_2016	17.87	18.61	18.51	18.81	18.87	18.78	18.77(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-20	6	43	0	51%	0.06	-5.8	1.56%	0	0.4	46	0
8	Sep_9_2016	17.86	18.62	18.45	18.7	18.84	18.86	18.68(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	30	10	21	0	46%	0	-14.7	1.59%	0	0.1	49	0
9	Sep_8_2016	17.86	18.63	18.37	18.56	18.68	18.95	18.93(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	14	120	21	-9	0	46%	0	-25.5	1.61%	0	0.7	48	0
10	Sep_7_2016	17.86	18.63	18.37	18.38	18.45	18.81	18.97(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	150	27	-41	0	46%	0.06	-40.3	1.61%	0	0.8	48	0

11	Sep_6_2016	17.85	18.62	18.3	18.23	18.2	18.41	18.7(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	80	16	-62	0	48%	-0.06	-45.5	1.61%	0	0.2	43	0
12	Sep_2_2016	17.86	18.64	18.32	18.18	18.1	18.08	18.21(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-20	3	-81	0	48%	0	-46.9	1.59%	0	-1	33	0
13	Sep_1_2016	17.86	18.69	18.37	18.16	18.17	18	18(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-26	-60	-4	-92	0.02	48%	-0.06	-44.7	1.61%	0	-1.6	35	0
14	Aug_31_2016	17.87	18.74	18.46	18.15	18.22	18.13	18(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-20	-11	-96	0	50%	0	-47.5	1.61%	0	-1.8	38	0
15	Aug_30_2016	17.87	18.79	18.56	18.2	18.26	18.34	18.25(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	40	-13	-87	0	50%	0	-45	1.63%	0	-1.4	45	0

16	Aug_29_2016	17.87	18.82	18.64	18.38	18.38	18.31	18.43(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-30	-7	-66	0	50%	0	-31.9	1.64%	0	-1.1	41	0
17	Aug_26_2016	17.87	18.85	18.73	18.49	18.57	18.18	18.13(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-130	-20	-58	0	48%	0	-11.3	1.63%	0	-2.1	37	0
18	Aug_25_2016	17.87	18.88	18.82	18.61	18.76	18.46	17.93(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-37	-90	-31	-54	0	48%	-0.06	5.5	1.63%	0	-3.1	31	0
19	Aug_24_2016	17.88	18.94	18.93	18.81	18.9	18.96	18.28(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-18	40	-14	-28	0	53%	0	50	1.62%	0	-3	38	0
20	Aug_23_2016	17.88	18.97	18.98	18.96	18.95	19.07	19.13(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	40	9	-9	0	58%	0.06	83.8	1.54%	0	0.8	53	0

21	Aug_22_2016	17.87	18.93	18.97	18.95	18.91	18.85	18.96(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-30	-4	-7	0	58%	0.06	72.3	1.55%	0	0.1	58	0
22	Aug_19_2016	17.86	18.89	18.98	19.01	18.94	18.84	18.73(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-50	-10	-2	0	58%	0.11	69.2	1.55%	0	-0.5	45	0
23	Aug_18_2016	17.84	18.87	19.03	19.07	19.04	18.97	18.97(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-30	-2	17	0	58%	0.06	72.4	1.56%	0	0.3	56	0
24	Aug_17_2016	17.83	18.83	19.05	19.06	19.05	19.04	18.99(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10	1	20	0	58%	0.11	74	1.56%	0	0.4	51	0
25	Aug_16_2016	17.81	18.79	19.04	19.01	19.03	19.12	19.09(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	40	4	20	0	58%		66.5	1.56%	0	0.7	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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