Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Genomic Revolution ETF)
ARKG latest price $17.7800 (1.6%) ($17.7800 - $17.7800) on Wed. May. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $17.7800(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKG advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKG advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(79%)    XBI(78%)    IBB(75%)    IWO(71%)    SKYY(68%)
Factors Impacting ARKG price   ARKG will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.14(3.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.89(5.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.01(4.53%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKG price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.17%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.79%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.73%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.36%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2016	17.28	17.01	16.89	17.14	17.24	17.57	17.78(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	150	27	40	0	56%	-0.17	-56.9	1.9%	0	1.5	63	INF
2	May_24_2016	17.31	17.02	16.78	16.94	16.93	17.22	17.5(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	120	20	18	0	56%	-0.12	-60.5	1.89%	0	0.8	61	INF
3	May_23_2016	17.33	17.07	16.78	16.78	16.79	16.91	17.06(1.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	9	50	14	-8	0	53%	-0.06	-57.5	1.87%	0	-0	43	INF
4	May_20_2016	17.34	17.14	16.72	16.69	16.69	16.65	16.78(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-20	3	-32	0	53%	-0.23	-58.2	1.87%	0	-0.5	36	INF
5	May_19_2016	17.38	17.22	16.71	16.65	16.65	16.66	16.56(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	0	2	-50	0	53%	-0.29	-57.7	1.88%	0	-0.9	37	INF

6	May_18_2016	17.43	17.31	16.73	16.65	16.66	16.72	16.82(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	40	3	-78	0	53%	-0.23	-60.8	1.87%	0	-0.6	33	INF
7	May_17_2016	17.47	17.39	16.72	16.59	16.56	16.65	16.68(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	30	-3	-106	0	56%	-0.23	-62.8	1.87%	0	-0.9	29	INF
8	May_16_2016	17.51	17.46	16.79	16.65	16.6	16.59	16.61(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10	-5	-119	0	61%	-0.06	-58.5	1.9%	0	-1	25	INF
9	May_13_2016	17.52	17.57	16.89	16.76	16.7	16.47	16.57(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-110	-8	-119	0	61%	-0.28	-51.4	2.01%	0	-1.2	25	INF
10	May_12_2016	17.57	17.68	16.98	16.79	16.85	16.61	16.25(-3.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-45	-90	-15	-136	0	61%	-0.23	-51.3	2.02%	0	-1.8	21	INF

11	May_11_2016	17.61	17.8	17.16	16.89	16.93	16.93	16.83(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	10	-3	-135	0	59%	-0.23	-50.8	1.96%	0	-1.3	25	INF
12	May_10_2016	17.65	17.89	17.29	16.87	16.91	17.09	17.01(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	80	0	-133	0	59%	-0.23	-53.4	2.06%	0	-1.2	30	INF
13	May_9_2016	17.69	17.96	17.44	16.95	16.83	16.93	17.16(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	20	-2	-123	0	59%	-0.17	-52.5	2.05%	0	-1.2	36	INF
14	May_6_2016	17.72	18.01	17.58	17.06	16.9	16.93	16.7(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-39	-100	-12	-121	0	53%	-0.23	-52.7	2.08%	0	-2	21	INF
15	May_5_2016	17.76	18.09	17.76	17.21	17.14	16.73	16.76(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-180	-24	-115	0	50%	-0.17	-48.5	2.09%	0	-2.3	27	INF

16	May_4_2016	17.79	18.19	17.94	17.46	17.32	17.06	16.73(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-50	-130	-33	-99	0	50%	-0.22	-35	2.13%	0	-2.9	26	INF
17	May_3_2016	17.83	18.28	18.11	17.76	17.69	17.55	17.42(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-70	-16	-75	0	54%	-0.06	-15.4	2.07%	0	-2.3	32	INF
18	May_2_2016	17.84	18.32	18.19	17.99	17.89	17.57	17.68(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-140	-20	-58	0	54%	-0.11	17.2	2.07%	0	-1.9	45	INF
19	Apr_29_2016	17.86	18.36	18.31	18.18	18.12	17.84	17.46(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-26	-120	-24	-33	0	54%	-0.17	56.9	2.07%	0	-2.8	44	INF
20	Apr_28_2016	17.89	18.39	18.44	18.39	18.41	18.22	18.02(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-70	-11	-6	0	51%	-0.11	91.1	2.03%	0	-1.2	46	INF

21	Apr_27_2016	17.91	18.37	18.51	18.49	18.49	18.4	18.21(-2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-30	-7	6	0	51%	-0.11	96.3	2.16%	0	-0.5	46	INF
22	Apr_26_2016	17.93	18.34	18.55	18.51	18.56	18.6	18.59(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	20	6	17	0	49%	-0.06	78.4	2.14%	0	0.6	54	INF
23	Apr_25_2016	17.94	18.26	18.51	18.43	18.48	18.58	18.61(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	50	0	9	0	49%	-0.06	59.8	2.16%	0	0.6	59	INF
24	Apr_22_2016	17.95	18.18	18.46	18.48	18.39	18.52	18.54(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	30	2	10	0	51%	-0.11	60.4	2.16%	0	0.7	53	INF
25	Apr_21_2016	17.97	18.11	18.44	18.49	18.43	18.38	18.5(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	5	-30	0	18	0	51%		65	2.17%	0	0.7	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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