Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Genomic Revolution ETF)
ARKG latest price $18.1900 (0.66%) ($18.0100 - $18.1900) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $18.1900(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKG advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(79%)    XBI(78%)    IBB(74%)    IWO(71%)    SKYY(68%)
Factors Impacting ARKG price   ARKG will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.31(-0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.11(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.52(3.82%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKG price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.44%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.22%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.99%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	18.08	17.52	18.11	18.31	18.33	18.15	18.19(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-70	-4	93	0	50%	-0.17	42.5	2.25%	0	1	61	INF
2	Apr_11_2016	18.11	17.47	18	18.29	18.4	18.34	18.07(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-0	-7	88	0	47%	-0.11	38.2	2.3%	0	0.9	63	INF
3	Apr_8_2016	18.13	17.42	17.88	18.36	18.38	18.5	18.37(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	50	6	96	0	47%	-0.11	39	2.38%	0	1.4	70	INF
4	Apr_7_2016	18.15	17.36	17.75	18.25	18.35	18.46	18.53(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	60	16	106	0	45%	-0.11	36.3	2.38%	0	1.8	79	INF
5	Apr_6_2016	18.17	17.28	17.6	18.05	18.19	18.46	18.38(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	50	10	96	0	42%	-0.06	29.4	2.41%	0	1.9	71	INF

6	Apr_5_2016	18.18	17.23	17.49	17.88	17.98	18.25	18.12(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	120	15	95	0	42%	-0.05	27.5	2.44%	0	1.7	67	INF
7	Apr_4_2016	18.19	17.21	17.39	17.65	17.82	18.12	18.38(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	150	28	85	0	40%	-0.11	30.2	2.44%	0	2.3	61	INF
8	Apr_1_2016	18.21	17.16	17.24	17.33	17.48	17.7	17.84(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	110	14	52	0	38%	-0.11	23.9	2.46%	0	1.6	58	INF
9	Mar_31_2016	18.23	17.13	17.08	17.17	17.22	17.52	17.55(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	130	51	39	0	38%	-0.16	27.8	2.46%	0	1.1	51	INF
10	Mar_30_2016	18.26	17.11	16.97	17.07	13.9	17.25	17.5(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	1130	9	8	0	38%	-0.11	32.5	2.46%	0	1	55	INF

11	Mar_29_2016	18.28	17.08	16.88	17.05	13.79	16.92	17(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	107	1020	128	42	0	35%	-0.22	38.2	2.43%	0	-0.2	44	INF
12	Mar_28_2016	18.32	17.06	16.89	17.09	13.89	10.56	16.77(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-2240	-5	-18	0	35%	-0.27	34.1	2.42%	0	-0.7	37	INF
13	Mar_24_2016	18.37	17.05	16.92	17.13	13.98	10.66	17.05(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-146	-2210	-166	-86	0	35%	-0.22	36.7	2.42%	0	0	44	INF
14	Mar_23_2016	18.41	17.02	16.92	16.95	17.13	17.23	17.05(-2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	70	7	-33	0	35%	-0.16	23.6	2.42%	0	0.1	47	INF
15	Mar_22_2016	18.44	16.99	16.92	16.83	16.9	17.31	17.4(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	180	16	-41	0	35%	-0.16	16	2.42%	0	0.8	51	INF

16	Mar_21_2016	18.47	16.94	16.94	16.68	16.67	17.03	17.19(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	150	13	-50	0	35%	-0.16	11.7	2.41%	0	0.5	53	INF
17	Mar_18_2016	18.5	16.91	17	16.67	16.57	16.49	16.95(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-50	1	-36	0	35%	-0.16	26.8	2.41%	0	0.1	59	INF
18	Mar_17_2016	18.53	16.89	17.06	16.7	16.66	16.32	16.14(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-150	-23	-33	0	33%	-0.22	41.7	2.31%	0	-1.5	47	INF
19	Mar_16_2016	18.57	16.89	17.19	16.94	16.9	16.66	16.49(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-110	-16	5	0	33%	-0.16	63.4	2.32%	0	-0.9	56	INF
20	Mar_15_2016	18.6	16.91	17.28	17.05	17.11	17	16.62(-3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-30	-13	29	0	36%	-0.16	72.1	2.32%	0	-0.6	56	INF

21	Mar_14_2016	18.63	16.88	17.32	17.23	17.2	17.14	17.15(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-30	-10	54	0	37%	-0.16	85.7	2.33%	0	0.5	62	INF
22	Mar_11_2016	18.66	16.79	17.25	17.37	17.27	17.22	17.1(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-40	-8	63	0	36%	-0.11	70.8	2.34%	0	0.5	55	INF
23	Mar_10_2016	18.68	16.69	17.22	17.47	17.48	17.26	17.34(1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-90	-3	78	0	36%	-0.05	57.1	2.35%	0	0.9	62	INF
24	Mar_9_2016	18.69	16.61	17.12	17.48	17.54	17.33	17.06(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-70	-11	77	0	36%	-0.11	54	2.35%	0	0.6	60	INF
25	Mar_8_2016	18.71	16.54	17.05	17.52	17.61	17.7	17.48(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	50	4	88	0	37%		50.1	2.34%	0	1.2	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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