Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Genomic Revolution ETF)
ARKG latest price $17.4800 (-2.29%) ($17.4800 - $17.4800) on Tue. Mar. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $17.4800(-2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKG advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(78%)    XBI(77%)    IBB(74%)    IWO(71%)    SKYY(68%)
Factors Impacting ARKG price   ARKG will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.52(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.05(2.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.54(5.68%)
To recent high   -16.8%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKG price fluctuates within 4.59% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.57%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.86%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.95%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.55%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.8%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2016	18.71	16.54	17.05	17.52	17.61	17.7	17.48(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	50	4	88	0	37%	-0.11	50.1	2.34%	0	1.2	66	0
2	Mar_7_2016	18.73	16.44	16.94	17.42	17.56	17.76	17.89(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	100	24	96	0	36%	-0.11	38.3	2.33%	0	1.9	77	0
3	Mar_4_2016	18.75	16.34	16.82	17.11	17.31	17.52	17.59(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	120	16	91	0	36%	-0.11	25.8	2.34%	0	1.8	82	0
4	Mar_3_2016	18.77	16.28	16.7	16.93	17.04	17.36	17.38(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	40	150	20	100	0	35%	-0.05	20.5	2.34%	0	1.8	81	0
5	Mar_2_2016	18.78	16.22	16.59	16.7	16.84	17.09	17.28(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	130	21	91	0	35%	-0.05	1.4	2.35%	0	1.9	66	0

6	Mar_1_2016	18.79	16.17	16.49	16.51	16.59	16.72	16.96(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	70	10	82	0	35%	-0.16	-18.1	2.35%	0	1.5	65	0
7	Feb_29_2016	18.82	16.15	16.39	16.4	16.45	16.6	16.35(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	70	-0	80	0	32%	-0.16	-35.5	2.27%	0	0.4	63	0
8	Feb_26_2016	18.85	16.16	16.28	16.47	16.41	16.46	16.66(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	10	6	77	0	34%	-0.11	-42.1	2.29%	0	1	57	0
9	Feb_25_2016	18.87	16.15	16.12	16.43	16.39	16.3	16.26(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-50	-3	49	0	32%	-0.16	-54.8	2.28%	0	0.2	46	0
10	Feb_24_2016	18.9	16.21	16.07	16.43	16.37	16.36	16.33(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-3	45	0	32%	-0.11	-45.3	2.28%	0	0.2	50	0

11	Feb_23_2016	18.92	16.26	16	16.46	16.37	16.49	16.38(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	30	7	37	0	32%	-0.16	-40.6	2.28%	0	0.2	48	0
12	Feb_22_2016	18.95	16.33	15.91	16.37	16.38	16.38	16.74(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	0	23	15	0	32%	-0.16	-36.6	2.27%	0	0.5	48	0
13	Feb_19_2016	18.98	16.38	15.83	16.04	16.21	16.27	16.45(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	60	16	-27	0	32%	-0.11	-43.2	2.26%	0	0.1	47	0
14	Feb_18_2016	19	16.43	15.82	15.76	16	16.38	16.38(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	210	16	-54	0	35%	-0.11	-50.9	2.26%	0	-0.1	48	0
15	Feb_17_2016	19.02	16.48	15.82	15.64	15.7	16.15	16.37(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	210	22	-81	0	35%	-0.11	-58.9	2.3%	0	-0.1	38	0

16	Feb_16_2016	19.04	16.54	15.8	15.49	15.55	15.63	15.92(5.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	50	15	-114	0	32%	-0.21	-63.1	2.27%	0	-0.7	33	0
17	Feb_12_2016	19.08	16.61	15.88	15.39	15.48	15.25	15.1(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-90	-17	-162	0	26%	-0.31	-72.9	2.14%	0	-1.6	20	0
18	Feb_11_2016	19.14	16.75	16.03	15.57	15.58	15.46	15.02(-4.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-63	-50	-27	-170	0	26%	-0.26	-79.2	2.14%	0	-2	19	0
19	Feb_10_2016	19.19	16.88	16.19	15.88	15.79	15.71	15.77(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-50	-9	-159	0	28%	-0.31	-89.1	2.06%	0	-1.4	30	0
20	Feb_9_2016	19.25	17.02	16.36	15.98	16.02	15.69	15.64(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-140	-18	-153	0	28%	-0.31	-91.9	2.06%	0	-1.7	30	0

21	Feb_8_2016	19.31	17.14	16.55	16.16	16.18	15.88	15.42(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-130	-30	-144	0	28%	-0.36	-103.5	2.05%	0	-2.2	25	0
22	Feb_5_2016	19.38	17.31	16.8	16.43	16.38	16.35	16.02(-3.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-20	-14	-109	0	30%	-0.31	-110.9	2.01%	0	-1.7	32	0
23	Feb_4_2016	19.44	17.46	16.99	16.43	16.57	16.49	16.53(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	-30	2	-91	0	32%	-0.26	-115.4	1.98%	0	-1.2	34	0
24	Feb_3_2016	19.49	17.61	17.1	16.55	16.55	16.41	16.29(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-60	-23	-103	0	32%	-0.31	-111.3	1.97%	0	-1.5	33	0
25	Feb_2_2016	19.55	17.81	17.22	16.8	16.68	16.66	16.53(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-30	-17	-95	0	35%		-93.2	1.97%	0	-1.3	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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