Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 13, 2020

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $42.1000 (-9.03%) ($37.0300 - $48.4700) on Wed. May. 13, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.03% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $42.1000(-9.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 22.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(52%)    XBI(50%)    IBB(49%)    ARKK(43%)    IPO(39%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -5.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-12%)    VXX(-10%)    TBT(-4%)    USO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.015% (StdDev 10.03%)
Hourly BBV -1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $42.73(-1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.99(2.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.39(29.98%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   352.2%
Market Cap   $855m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 32.32% (three month std-dev: 10.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.34%(75%) Average negative next day return: -6.19%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.95%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -11.6%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.12%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.52%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2020	16.88	32.39	40.99	42.73	43.82	44.93	42.1(-9.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	250	-6	131	0.66	75%	1.87	80.2	10.03%	-1	0.9	81	0.1
2	May_12_2020	16.57	31.19	40.13	42.62	42.92	46.7	46.28(-4.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	70	640	32	183	0.8	75%	2.22	84.3	9.93%	1	1.4	86	1.2
3	May_11_2020	16.21	29.76	38.51	41.1	41.38	42.71	48.44(23.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	76	250	33	203	1.04	76%	2.47	85.8	9.9%	2.9	1.8	89	2.3
4	May_8_2020	15.82	28.12	36.67	39.24	39.56	39.14	39.17(4.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	49	-50	-7	216	0.59	74%	1.87	89.4	9.53%	-0.3	1.2	87	2
5	May_7_2020	15.53	26.91	35.11	39.55	39.78	40.05	37.64(-9.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	68	60	4	260	0.94	74%	1.77	95.9	9.61%	-1.1	1.1	87	1.4

6	May_6_2020	15.26	25.72	33.51	38.93	39.73	39.97	41.58(7.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	87	100	18	295	0.84	74%	2.14	96.3	9.5%	1.5	1.7	94	0.8
7	May_5_2020	14.94	24.29	31.32	37.18	37.95	39.51	38.67(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	86	350	16	297	0.65	74%	1.98	95.1	9.48%	-0.3	1.6	88	1.1
8	May_4_2020	14.65	22.99	29.34	35.42	36.16	39.49	39.16(-3.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	101	710	35	300	1.25	75%	2.09	92.4	9.47%	0.7	1.9	89	0.5
9	May_1_2020	14.35	21.63	27.21	33.68	33.78	36.4	40.72(17.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	117	550	52	311	1.58	75%	2.28	89.8	9.38%	1.7	2.4	92	0.4
10	Apr_30_2020	14.03	20.16	24.83	30.05	31.48	32.83	34.54(5.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	97	440	41	265	1.41	73%	1.74	81	9.18%	1.1	2.2	92	1.3

11	Apr_29_2020	13.79	19.02	23.02	27.24	28.43	31.17	32.83(10.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	87	810	39	231	0.83	73%	1.7	69.6	9.2%	1.8	2.4	93	1.7
12	Apr_28_2020	13.56	18	21.47	24.54	25.58	30.13	29.84(-2.04%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	1.1	94	1370	56	207	1.8	72%	1.5	60.1	9.16%	0	2.4	92	1.2
13	Apr_27_2020	13.36	17.12	20.21	22.3	22.69	25.69	30.46(34.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	93	980	62	186	2.42	71%	1.6	53.3	9.16%	0	3.2	94	1.4
14	Apr_24_2020	13.15	16.32	18.73	19.82	20.01	21.03	22.57(10.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	390	25	150	0.51	66%	1	57.3	8.19%	0	2.2	92	0.9
15	Apr_23_2020	13.02	15.92	17.98	18.84	19.02	19.68	20.51(6.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	47	270	16	140	0.31	65%	0.85	59.7	8.13%	0	1.9	91	0.4

16	Apr_22_2020	12.91	15.65	17.31	18.14	18.38	18.99	19.34(3.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	270	9	130	0.32	66%	0.78	61.9	8.12%	0	1.7	90	0.3
17	Apr_21_2020	12.81	15.43	16.75	17.87	17.97	18.35	18.64(3.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	160	6	127	0.46	66%	0.71	67.5	8.15%	0	1.6	77	-0.2
18	Apr_20_2020	12.72	15.14	16.22	17.76	17.67	17.78	18.06(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	30	6	131	0.3	66%	0.55	71.1	8.16%	0	1.5	77	0.6
19	Apr_17_2020	12.65	14.84	15.72	17.45	17.53	17.6	17.67(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	40	9	112	0.48	66%	0.4	75.5	8.23%	0	1.5	57	1.2
20	Apr_16_2020	12.6	14.59	15.22	16.95	17.16	17.56	17(-5.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	200	13	89	1.29	66%	0.56	79	8.23%	0	1.3	58	1.1

21	Apr_15_2020	12.53	14.41	14.79	16.3	16.39	17.47	18(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	31	480	21	59	0.25	66%	0.64	73.4	8.19%	0	2.1	58	1.1
22	Apr_14_2020	12.45	14.19	14.32	15.44	15.47	16.75	18.05(9.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	590	29	29	0.39	66%	0.65	67.6	8.19%	0	2.5	60	1.5
23	Apr_13_2020	12.37	13.89	13.8	14.47	14.51	15.32	16.51(8.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	17	400	22	-0	0.23	66%	0.81	48.6	8.14%	0	2	67	1.2
24	Apr_9_2020	12.27	13.54	13.68	13.76	13.84	14.19	15.19(10.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	190	14	-7	0.18	65%	0.49	1	8.08%	0	1	67	0.9
25	Apr_8_2020	12.21	13.28	13.65	13.26	13.38	13.7	13.76(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	190	6	-14	0.08	63%		-30.2	8%	0	0.3	58	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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