Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $37.0300 (5.59%) ($34.5100 - $37.5200) on Mon. Aug. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.53% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $37.0300(5.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLV(2%)    BNDX(1%)    IBB(1%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VCIT(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    QQQ(-4%)    MCHI(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.765% (StdDev 3.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.42(4.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.12(5.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.68(6.78%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   30.3%
Market Cap   $752m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 4.35% (three month std-dev: 3.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(41%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(59%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 2.31%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.07%(67%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 3.15%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.51%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2016	32.1	34.68	35.12	35.42	35.42	35.67	37.03(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	50	20	19	0.02	66%	0.19	87.4	3.53%	0	1.6	60	INF
2	Aug_26_2016	32.04	34.34	35.12	34.8	35.06	35.22	35.07(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	50	4	6	0.01	63%	0.09	71.8	3.47%	0	0.4	64	INF
3	Aug_25_2016	32.01	34.11	34.93	34.71	34.81	35.17	34.86(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	80	4	9	0.01	63%	0.16	65	3.5%	0	0.4	57	INF
4	Aug_24_2016	31.96	33.88	34.94	34.73	34.7	34.9	34.72(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	40	6	15	0.02	66%	0.16	62.3	3.5%	0	0.4	57	INF
5	Aug_23_2016	31.91	33.68	34.91	34.8	34.64	34.44	35.42(4.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-50	-1	12	0.01	68%	0.19	60.9	3.55%	0	0.8	52	INF

6	Aug_22_2016	31.85	33.41	34.88	34.78	34.75	34.5	33.95(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-50	-12	27	0.01	66%	0.22	58.4	3.59%	0	0.2	69	INF
7	Aug_19_2016	31.78	33.19	34.84	35.07	35.02	34.84	34.58(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-40	-5	53	0.01	69%	0.25	57.5	3.58%	0	0.6	73	INF
8	Aug_18_2016	31.7	32.93	34.78	35.07	35.15	34.99	35(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-30	-3	75	0.01	69%	0.28	60.3	3.66%	0	0.9	76	INF
9	Aug_17_2016	31.61	32.69	34.68	35.17	35.13	35.21	35.07(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	10	2	98	0.01	70%	0.32	63.6	3.67%	0	1	76	INF
10	Aug_16_2016	31.51	32.44	34.66	35.03	35.02	35.31	35.28(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	60	5	117	0.01	70%	0.32	61.9	3.73%	0	1.2	72	INF

11	Aug_15_2016	31.41	32.14	34.23	35.01	34.9	35.05	35.42(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	20	13	127	0.01	70%	0.13	59.3	3.75%	0	1.4	75	INF
12	Aug_12_2016	31.37	31.87	33.72	34.58	34.68	34.73	35.07(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	20	6	116	0.01	70%	0.26	48.4	3.92%	0	1.4	76	INF
13	Aug_11_2016	31.29	31.54	33.23	34.34	34.28	34.76	35(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	90	7	115	0.01	67%	0.29	35.6	3.97%	0	1.5	74	INF
14	Aug_10_2016	31.2	31.22	32.74	34.12	34	34.62	34.37(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	120	10	111	0.01	65%	0.19	27.7	4.05%	0	1.5	67	INF
15	Aug_9_2016	31.14	31	32.36	34.24	33.73	33.81	35.21(5.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-30	22	126	0.02	65%	0.23	23.7	4.06%	0	2.1	71	INF

16	Aug_8_2016	31.07	30.8	31.8	33.32	33.35	33.37	33.25(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	10	12	103	0.01	63%	0.16	9	4.01%	0	1.3	70	INF
17	Aug_5_2016	31.02	30.78	31.4	32.7	32.54	33.64	33.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	39	220	23	87	0.01	65%	0.16	-1.5	4%	0	1.6	66	INF
18	Aug_4_2016	30.97	30.75	30.93	31.92	31.63	33.32	33.88(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	52	350	43	77	0.01	61%	0.16	-7.1	4.08%	0	1.7	72	INF
19	Aug_3_2016	30.92	30.65	30.53	31.14	30.61	31.44	35(14.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	43	140	37	60	0.03	61%	0.13	-14.8	4.18%	0	2.4	73	INF
20	Aug_2_2016	30.88	30.53	29.98	30.25	29.92	29.93	30.59(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-30	5	25	0.01	57%	-0.03	-20.7	3.8%	0	0	51	INF

21	Aug_1_2016	30.89	30.64	29.98	30.09	29.89	29.79	30.17(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-40	3	8	0.01	57%	-0.06	-11.8	3.8%	0	-0.3	42	INF
22	Jul_29_2016	30.91	30.8	29.85	29.88	29.72	29.91	29.96(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	30	3	-13	0	55%	-0.03	-2.5	3.83%	0	-0.5	35	INF
23	Jul_28_2016	30.92	30.88	29.71	29.75	29.5	30	29.96(-2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	90	6	-41	0	55%	-0.03	2.6	3.87%	0	-0.5	33	INF
24	Jul_27_2016	30.93	30.91	29.6	29.79	29.36	29.54	30.59(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-0	9	-55	0.01	52%	-0.06	6	3.86%	0	-0.2	44	INF
25	Jul_26_2016	30.95	30.86	29.55	29.68	29.39	29.01	29.75(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-120	-2	-78	0.01	50%		6.3	3.9%	0	-0.6	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.