Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $32.9000 (-2.69%) ($31.5000 - $34.9100) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.81% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $32.9000(-2.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLV(2%)    XOP(2%)    ARKG(1%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
VCIT(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)    CEMB(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.905% (StdDev 3.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.6(4.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.34(8.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.91(3.1%)
To recent high   -15.2%
To recent low   28.1%
Market Cap   $668m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 9.93% (three month std-dev: 3.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.26%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 10.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.7%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.17%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.53%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	31.46	31.91	30.34	31.6	31.71	32.93	32.9(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	280	38	41	0.01	54%	-0.22	-46.6	3.81%	0	0.3	49	INF
2	Jul_1_2016	31.53	32.16	30.03	30.76	30.75	31.74	33.81(7.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	29	220	39	0	0.01	58%	-0.1	-44	3.86%	0	0.5	46	INF
3	Jun_30_2016	31.56	32.33	29.58	29.81	29.93	30.49	31.43(3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	140	25	-61	0.01	57%	-0.19	-45.2	3.78%	0	-0.2	31	INF
4	Jun_29_2016	31.62	32.66	29.46	29.26	29.27	29.77	30.38(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	120	11	-109	0.01	57%	-0.13	-44.8	3.77%	0	-0.6	24	INF
5	Jun_28_2016	31.66	33.06	29.56	29.05	29.02	29.37	29.47(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	80	11	-146	0.01	55%	-0.16	-43.3	3.76%	0	-0.9	16	INF

6	Jun_27_2016	31.71	33.45	29.85	28.9	28.95	28.77	28.7(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-48	-40	-4	-179	0.02	55%	-0.22	-41.7	3.8%	0	-1.2	12	INF
7	Jun_24_2016	31.78	33.83	30.33	29.18	28.98	28.67	29.05(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-100	-12	-193	0.01	55%	-0.22	-38.1	3.82%	0	-1.2	12	INF
8	Jun_23_2016	31.85	34.16	30.96	29.32	29.38	29.12	28.7(-2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-58	-60	-11	-199	0.02	52%	-0.25	-35.6	3.82%	0	-1.5	14	INF
9	Jun_22_2016	31.93	34.56	31.73	29.68	29.69	29.3	29.33(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-90	-16	-194	0.01	52%	-0.19	-27.9	3.92%	0	-1.5	15	INF
10	Jun_21_2016	31.99	34.92	32.64	30.16	30.16	29.65	28.7(-4.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-120	-24	-187	0.02	52%	-0.25	-19.4	3.91%	0	-1.9	10	INF

11	Jun_20_2016	32.07	35.23	33.62	30.94	30.87	30.08	30.1(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-190	-26	-168	0.01	54%	-0.19	-7.4	3.86%	0	-1.7	23	INF
12	Jun_17_2016	32.13	35.38	34.47	31.68	31.63	30.68	29.75(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-68	-210	-41	-149	0.01	54%	-0.19	5.9	3.86%	0	-2	30	INF
13	Jun_16_2016	32.19	35.54	35.33	32.87	32.79	31.67	30.52(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-250	-40	-112	0.01	53%	-0.16	30.3	3.86%	0	-1.9	36	INF
14	Jun_15_2016	32.24	35.54	36.16	34.09	33.99	32.59	31.71(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-300	-48	-81	0.01	51%	-0.12	48.9	3.88%	0	-1.4	36	INF
15	Jun_14_2016	32.28	35.57	36.9	35.5	35.34	33.91	32.62(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-300	-46	-38	0.02	51%	-0.09	67.9	3.92%	0	-1.1	40	INF

16	Jun_13_2016	32.31	35.45	37.41	36.69	36.78	35.39	33.81(-5.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-28	-260	-38	4	0.01	51%	-0.06	74.2	3.9%	0	-0.5	54	INF
17	Jun_10_2016	32.33	35.22	37.68	37.67	37.73	36.78	35.7(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-170	-29	46	0.01	53%	0	75.1	3.85%	0	0.1	68	INF
18	Jun_9_2016	32.33	34.76	37.68	38.15	38.28	38.17	36.61(-5.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10	-13	80	0.01	51%	0.03	65.1	3.83%	0	0.5	73	INF
19	Jun_8_2016	32.32	34.3	37.67	38.15	38.39	38.68	38.78(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	40	4	126	0.01	52%	0.12	64	3.82%	0	1.1	86	INF
20	Jun_7_2016	32.28	33.79	37.39	38.53	38.37	38.4	38.57(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	-10	8	154	0.01	53%	0.19	63.7	3.85%	0	1.1	80	INF

21	Jun_6_2016	32.22	33.33	36.96	38.26	38.29	38.09	38.71(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	-30	8	174	0.01	53%	0.12	65.1	3.86%	0	1.3	83	INF
22	Jun_3_2016	32.18	32.84	36.33	37.69	37.86	38.34	38.08(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	100	12	186	0.01	54%	0.12	64.5	3.86%	0	1.3	84	INF
23	Jun_2_2016	32.14	32.37	35.73	37.1	37.16	38.48	38.5(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	250	25	210	0.01	54%	0.16	62	3.88%	0	1.6	88	INF
24	Jun_1_2016	32.09	31.78	34.89	36.67	36.48	37.38	38.78(4.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	81	160	32	226	0.02	54%	0.06	58.4	3.87%	0	1.8	82	INF
25	May_31_2016	32.07	31.28	34.09	36.11	35.95	35.85	37.24(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	67	-30	15	222	0.01	52%		58.3	3.91%	0	1.7	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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