Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $28.2100 (9.81%) ($25.6600 - $28.4200) on Fri. May. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.65% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $28.2100(9.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(2%)    TIP(2%)    TLT(2%)    XBI(2%)    XLV(2%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VCIT(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)    CEMB(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.825% (StdDev 3.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.55(-41.33%)
Resistance Level   $29.34
5 Day Moving Average   $27.79(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.14(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.34(-3.85%)
To recent high   -26.3%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $573m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 6.13% (three month std-dev: 3.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.06%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.38%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.16%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.06%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.19%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2016	32.88	29.34	28.14	27.79	27.54	26.65	28.21(9.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-250	-13	-64	0.01	38%	-0.39	-36.9	3.65%	0	-0.6	38	INF
2	May_12_2016	33.01	29.46	28.12	27.96	28.13	27.01	25.69(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-54	-260	-39	-99	0.01	36%	-0.48	-36.8	3.44%	0	-2.1	28	INF
3	May_11_2016	33.17	29.73	28.5	28.59	28.79	28.44	26.88(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-60	-14	-79	0.01	37%	-0.42	-34.8	3.48%	0	-1.8	37	INF
4	May_10_2016	33.31	29.93	28.74	28.62	28.96	29.26	28.56(-3.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	110	1	-84	0.01	41%	-0.36	-38.8	3.42%	0	-1	43	INF
5	May_9_2016	33.43	30	28.93	28.77	28.7	29.15	29.61(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	100	12	-79	0.01	42%	-0.36	-35	3.45%	0	-0.3	45	INF

6	May_6_2016	33.55	30.01	29.19	28.55	28.65	28.66	29.05(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	10	10	-79	0.01	42%	-0.36	-38.1	3.42%	0	-0.7	45	INF
7	May_5_2016	33.67	30.14	29.53	28.35	28.62	28.25	28.84(6.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-60	-8	-82	0.02	40%	-0.36	-29.3	3.45%	0	-0.9	44	INF
8	May_4_2016	33.79	30.29	29.77	28.45	28.6	28.64	27.02(-7.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	30	-17	-83	0.01	37%	-0.44	-11.8	3.36%	0	-2.3	35	INF
9	May_3_2016	33.94	30.49	30.2	28.87	28.93	28.99	29.33(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	20	-0	-64	0.01	40%	-0.38	15.4	3.23%	0	-0.9	45	INF
10	May_2_2016	34.07	30.5	30.39	29.12	29.09	28.57	28.49(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-130	-28	-61	0.01	40%	-0.41	34.8	3.21%	0	-1.6	45	INF

11	Apr_29_2016	34.21	30.56	30.63	29.95	29.75	28.87	28.07(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-230	-40	-34	0.01	40%	-0.38	65.5	3.2%	0	-1.9	44	INF
12	Apr_28_2016	34.34	30.57	30.93	30.91	30.74	29.6	29.33(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-280	-31	-2	0.01	41%	-0.38	81	3.17%	0	-0.8	40	INF
13	Apr_27_2016	34.47	30.45	31.09	31.3	31.42	30.63	29.12(-4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-21	-160	-30	6	0.02	41%	-0.38	73.4	3.17%	0	-0.7	36	INF
14	Apr_26_2016	34.6	30.3	31.27	31.68	31.74	31.89	30.59(-6.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	40	-7	28	0.02	43%	-0.35	64	3.13%	0	0.1	52	INF
15	Apr_25_2016	34.72	30.08	31.22	31.8	31.69	32.21	32.62(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	100	21	49	0.02	46%	-0.32	54.1	3.04%	0	1.1	70	INF

16	Apr_22_2016	34.83	29.73	30.93	31.42	31.37	31.59	32.87(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	40	19	38	0.01	46%	-0.31	44.5	3.04%	0	1.4	69	INF
17	Apr_21_2016	34.94	29.41	30.76	31	31	31.18	31.29(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	40	4	41	0	43%	-0.4	36.2	2.98%	0	0.9	73	INF
18	Apr_20_2016	35.08	29.18	30.8	30.88	30.93	31.15	31.01(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	50	9	73	0.01	43%	-0.43	28.9	3%	0	0.8	76	INF
19	Apr_19_2016	35.23	29.05	30.77	30.8	30.78	30.83	31.22(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	10	10	105	0.01	43%	-0.45	24.3	3.01%	0	1	80	INF
20	Apr_18_2016	35.39	28.91	30.58	30.53	30.59	30.72	30.73(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	40	6	119	0.01	43%	-0.45	13.2	3.01%	0	0.9	76	INF

21	Apr_15_2016	35.55	28.78	30.46	30.34	30.39	30.74	30.73(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	36	90	2	138	0.01	43%	-0.14	3.1	3.03%	0	1	77	INF
22	Apr_14_2016	35.6	28.65	30.17	30.49	30.33	30.47	30.73(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	20	-1	154	0.03	43%	-0.45	-0.4	3.04%	0	1.1	67	INF
23	Apr_13_2016	35.76	28.56	29.78	30.73	30.65	30.04	30.59(2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-150	-6	167	0.01	40%	-0.47	-1.2	3.05%	0	1.1	67	INF
24	Apr_12_2016	35.93	28.54	29.28	30.74	30.94	30.2	29.89(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-150	-15	141	0.01	40%	-0.42	-5.9	3.19%	0	0.7	54	INF
25	Apr_11_2016	36.08	28.64	28.9	30.62	30.98	31.26	29.75(-5.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	30	100	-3	128	0.02	38%		-10.5	3.19%	0	0.5	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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