Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $32.6200 (-0.76%) ($31.0800 - $32.8300) on Mon. Apr. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.04% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $32.6200(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(3%)    IBB(2%)    TIP(2%)    TLT(2%)    XBI(2%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    VCIT(-4%)    CEMB(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.52% (StdDev 3.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.8(2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.22(4.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.08(8.44%)
To recent high   -16.9%
To recent low   28.7%
Market Cap   $662m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 7.48% (three month std-dev: 3.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(45%) Average negative next day return: -2.57%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.83%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -5.36%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 8.34%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.44%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2016	34.72	30.08	31.22	31.8	31.69	32.21	32.62(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	100	21	49	0.02	46%	-0.32	54.1	3.04%	0	1.1	70	INF
2	Apr_22_2016	34.83	29.73	30.93	31.42	31.37	31.59	32.87(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	40	19	38	0.01	46%	-0.31	44.5	3.04%	0	1.4	69	INF
3	Apr_21_2016	34.94	29.41	30.76	31	31	31.18	31.29(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	40	4	41	0	43%	-0.4	36.2	2.98%	0	0.9	73	INF
4	Apr_20_2016	35.08	29.18	30.8	30.88	30.93	31.15	31.01(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	50	9	73	0.01	43%	-0.43	28.9	3%	0	0.8	76	INF
5	Apr_19_2016	35.23	29.05	30.77	30.8	30.78	30.83	31.22(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	10	10	105	0.01	43%	-0.45	24.3	3.01%	0	1	80	INF

6	Apr_18_2016	35.39	28.91	30.58	30.53	30.59	30.72	30.73(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	40	6	119	0.01	43%	-0.45	13.2	3.01%	0	0.9	76	INF
7	Apr_15_2016	35.55	28.78	30.46	30.34	30.39	30.74	30.73(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	36	90	2	138	0.01	43%	-0.14	3.1	3.03%	0	1	77	INF
8	Apr_14_2016	35.6	28.65	30.17	30.49	30.33	30.47	30.73(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	20	-1	154	0.03	43%	-0.45	-0.4	3.04%	0	1.1	67	INF
9	Apr_13_2016	35.76	28.56	29.78	30.73	30.65	30.04	30.59(2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-150	-6	167	0.01	40%	-0.47	-1.2	3.05%	0	1.1	67	INF
10	Apr_12_2016	35.93	28.54	29.28	30.74	30.94	30.2	29.89(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-150	-15	141	0.01	40%	-0.42	-5.9	3.19%	0	0.7	54	INF

11	Apr_11_2016	36.08	28.64	28.9	30.62	30.98	31.26	29.75(-5.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	30	100	-3	128	0.02	38%	-0.39	-10.5	3.19%	0	0.5	54	INF
12	Apr_8_2016	36.22	28.71	28.48	30.56	30.74	31.68	31.5(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	230	40	129	0.02	40%	-0.33	-13.3	3.17%	0	1.3	62	INF
13	Apr_7_2016	36.34	28.66	27.98	29.76	29.93	30.7	31.92(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	58	200	47	91	0.04	38%	-0.27	-28.1	3.18%	0	1.5	61	INF
14	Apr_6_2016	36.44	28.59	27.41	28.69	28.91	29.8	30.66(4.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	240	45	32	0.02	33%	-0.3	-44.8	3.22%	0	1	54	INF
15	Apr_5_2016	36.55	28.66	27.15	27.62	27.69	29.17	29.26(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	380	43	-21	0.02	30%	-0.38	-53.1	3.25%	0	0.3	42	INF

16	Apr_4_2016	36.69	28.86	27.04	26.92	26.71	28.03	29.47(7.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	25	320	55	-64	0.04	30%	-0.41	-53.2	3.27%	0	0.2	37	INF
17	Apr_1_2016	36.84	29.01	26.88	26.11	25.84	26.21	27.51(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	70	20	-133	0.03	25%	-0.62	-59	3.12%	0	-0.6	31	INF
18	Mar_31_2016	37.07	29.28	26.95	25.94	25.53	25.39	26.53(4.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-90	-6	-167	0.02	25%	-0.75	-59.2	3.09%	0	-1	30	INF
19	Mar_30_2016	37.35	29.56	27.21	25.96	25.97	25.48	25.34(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-64	-130	-23	-185	0.01	22%	-0.8	-62.2	3.09%	0	-1.6	22	INF
20	Mar_29_2016	37.65	29.9	27.73	26.61	26.46	25.66	25.76(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-70	-230	-34	-179	0.02	22%	-0.84	-61.9	3.09%	0	-1.6	20	INF

21	Mar_28_2016	37.97	30.25	28.37	27.17	27.32	26.45	25.41(-4.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-66	-210	-32	-169	0.02	22%	-1.33	-64	3.08%	0	-2	15	INF
22	Mar_24_2016	38.48	30.65	29.01	27.73	27.94	27.27	26.67(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-150	-27	-156	0.02	23%	-0.82	-69.3	3.05%	0	-1.8	25	INF
23	Mar_23_2016	38.8	31	29.45	28.1	28.24	28.19	26.6(-7.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-55	0	-22	-153	0.03	23%	-0.77	-75.8	3.07%	0	-2.1	24	INF
24	Mar_22_2016	39.1	31.35	29.92	28.63	28.5	28.62	28.63(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	20	-7	-142	0.01	25%	-0.79	-86.3	2.95%	0	-1.5	36	INF
25	Mar_21_2016	39.41	31.57	30.32	29.04	28.84	28.28	28.56(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-160	-26	-133	0.01	25%		-93.4	2.95%	0	-1.7	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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