Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $33.8800 (3.2%) ($32.8300 - $34.5100) on Mon. Mar. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.75% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $33.8800(3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(3%)    XLV(3%)    ARKG(2%)    IWC(2%)    TIP(2%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    VCIT(-4%)    CEMB(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.375% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.69(-35.98%)
Resistance Level   $34.56
5 Day Moving Average   $32.77(3.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.92(2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.56(-1.97%)
To recent high   -24.3%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $688m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 5.96% (three month std-dev: 2.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.2%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.26%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.8%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2016	41.34	34.56	32.92	32.77	32.77	33.28	33.88(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	110	16	-96	0.02	32%	-0.24	-39.1	2.75%	0	-0.3	27	INF
2	Mar_4_2016	41.44	34.62	32.98	32.52	32.46	32.92	32.83(-1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	90	11	-133	0.01	28%	-0.26	-44.6	2.74%	0	-0.9	18	INF
3	Mar_3_2016	41.55	34.8	33.26	32.56	32.47	32.27	33.18(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-50	2	-144	0.01	28%	-0.22	-41.8	2.75%	0	-0.8	33	INF
4	Mar_2_2016	41.64	34.94	33.51	32.62	32.6	32	32.13(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-130	-22	-159	0.01	24%	-0.17	-41	2.71%	0	-1.4	33	INF
5	Mar_1_2016	41.71	35.13	33.92	32.87	33	32.67	31.85(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-60	-15	-143	0.01	24%	-0.19	-41.4	2.71%	0	-1.7	41	INF

6	Feb_29_2016	41.79	35.38	34.55	33.07	33.09	33.19	32.62(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	20	-13	-118	0.01	24%	-0.19	-40.4	2.68%	0	-1.6	46	INF
7	Feb_26_2016	41.87	35.56	35.19	33.5	33.2	33.33	33.04(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	0	-12	-82	0.01	24%	-0.12	-36.7	2.68%	0	-1.5	45	INF
8	Feb_25_2016	41.92	35.68	35.63	34.08	33.72	32.98	33.46(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-190	-19	-61	0.01	24%	-0.19	-29.1	2.7%	0	-1.5	41	INF
9	Feb_24_2016	42	35.79	35.96	34.57	34.34	33.07	33.39(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-280	-51	-54	0.01	32%	-0.21	-23.7	2.7%	0	-1.7	44	INF
10	Feb_23_2016	42.09	35.94	36.16	35.14	35.59	34.45	32.83(-5.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-49	-190	-52	-39	0.02	32%	-0.17	-10.5	2.83%	0	-2.3	42	INF

11	Feb_22_2016	42.16	36.11	36.39	36.23	36.55	35.62	34.79(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-38	-150	-47	-12	0.01	35%	-0.14	17.3	2.75%	0	-1.2	44	INF
12	Feb_19_2016	42.22	36.17	36.45	37.13	37.34	36.74	35.91(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-14	-100	-26	23	0.01	37%	-0.12	46.7	2.74%	0	-0.2	52	INF
13	Feb_18_2016	42.27	36.17	36.51	37.42	37.93	37.49	35.91(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	6	-40	-8	49	0.02	37%	-0.17	59.4	2.76%	0	-0.2	55	INF
14	Feb_17_2016	42.34	36.13	36.52	37.55	37.67	37.95	36.26(-5.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	16	60	1	60	0.06	34%	-0.12	61	2.78%	0	0.1	55	INF
15	Feb_16_2016	42.39	36.08	36.47	37.3	37.33	38.38	38.29(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	200	44	67	0.01	37%	-0.21	49.1	2.76%	0	1.9	58	INF

16	Feb_12_2016	42.48	35.91	36.28	36.54	36.31	37.4	39.27(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	41	190	41	42	0.01	28%	-0.33	19.7	3.13%	0	3.2	63	INF
17	Feb_11_2016	42.62	35.66	35.9	35.7	35.42	36.29	37.38(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	20	150	23	11	0.01	23%	-0.37	-31.3	3.11%	0	2.3	58	INF
18	Feb_10_2016	42.78	35.47	35.66	35.52	35.19	35.23	36.54(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-20	12	1	0.01	23%	-0.42	-85.2	3.11%	0	1.4	59	INF
19	Feb_9_2016	42.96	35.46	35.53	35.38	35.32	34.55	35(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-160	-15	-17	0.02	17%	-0.53	-138.8	3.06%	0	-0.6	45	INF
20	Feb_8_2016	43.19	35.53	35.65	35.52	35.59	35.15	34.51(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-80	-27	-13	0.04	17%	-0.55	-172	3.05%	0	-1.3	49	INF

21	Feb_5_2016	43.43	35.71	35.8	35.94	35.95	36.09	35.07(-3.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	30	-3	14	0.01	17%	-0.46	-154.4	3.06%	0	-0.7	52	INF
22	Feb_4_2016	43.63	35.89	35.88	36.09	36.09	36.03	36.47(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10	11	31	0.01	18%	-0.41	-134.1	3.07%	0	0.5	64	INF
23	Feb_3_2016	43.81	36.12	35.73	35.81	35.84	35.81	35.84(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-0	-3	23	0.03	18%	-0.45	-97.7	3.11%	0	-0.2	66	INF
24	Feb_2_2016	44.01	36.52	35.74	35.71	35.78	36.15	35.7(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	80	3	21	0.01	18%	-0.43	-63.3	3.13%	0	-0.3	46	INF
25	Feb_1_2016	44.2	36.89	35.69	35.81	35.71	35.87	36.61(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	20	11	21	0.02	18%		-50.9	3.12%	0	-0.1	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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