Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $57.9600 (-0.6%) ($57.5000 - $61.4600) on Mon. Nov. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.25% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $57.9600(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 3.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 13% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(4%)    XLV(4%)    XBI(3%)    ARKG(2%)    IWM(2%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VCIT(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    CEMB(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.125% (StdDev 4.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.01(7.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.4(15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.13(25.64%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   50.8%
Market Cap   $1.177b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 12.46% (three month std-dev: 4.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.89%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.64%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 8.71%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.3%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 9.02%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.76%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2015	50.7	46.13	50.4	54.01	54.6	57.41	57.96(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	106	390	71	212	0.04	62%	0.12	65.5	4.25%	0	2.1	88	INF
2	Oct_30_2015	50.64	45.18	49.15	51.98	51.91	54.55	58.31(7.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	101	350	68	199	0.02	62%	0.12	60.8	4.25%	0	2.6	81	INF
3	Oct_29_2015	50.58	44.23	47.65	49.74	49.85	51.78	54.04(5.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	93	280	64	180	0.03	59%	0	48.6	4.14%	0	2.3	80	INF
4	Oct_28_2015	50.58	43.51	46.5	47.73	47.98	49.27	51.31(5.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	68	200	40	152	0.02	57%	-0.04	25	4.09%	0	2.2	79	INF
5	Oct_27_2015	50.6	43.02	45.55	46.55	46.52	47.92	48.44(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	210	22	130	0.01	55%	-0.08	1.7	4.04%	0	1.8	65	INF

6	Oct_26_2015	50.64	42.65	44.59	46.23	46.03	46.69	47.81(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	90	25	117	0.01	55%	-0.16	-21.5	4.06%	0	1.9	63	INF
7	Oct_23_2015	50.72	42.27	43.82	45.86	45.83	45.12	47.11(7.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-110	5	107	0.01	55%	-0.2	-48.7	4.05%	0	1.7	66	INF
8	Oct_22_2015	50.82	42.29	43.07	45.23	45.66	45.36	43.96(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-20	-10	92	0.02	52%	-0.2	-56.5	3.95%	0	0.5	60	INF
9	Oct_21_2015	50.92	42.65	42.55	45.02	45.3	46.53	45.43(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	210	22	96	0.02	52%	-0.16	-51.5	3.94%	0	0.7	62	INF
10	Oct_20_2015	51	42.97	42.12	44.32	44.36	45.96	46.83(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	260	57	94	0.02	52%	-0.12	-50.1	3.94%	0	0.8	59	INF

11	Oct_19_2015	51.06	43.25	41.57	42.66	42.65	44.07	45.99(4.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	230	42	55	0.01	52%	-0.16	-51.5	3.95%	0	0.5	60	INF
12	Oct_16_2015	51.14	43.72	40.91	41.5	41.19	42.75	43.96(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	240	38	27	0.01	50%	-0.16	-49	3.91%	0	0	59	INF
13	Oct_15_2015	51.22	44.34	40.52	40.63	40.26	41.23	42.91(2.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	24	140	38	-19	0.01	50%	-0.1	-47.9	3.9%	0	-0.2	39	INF
14	Oct_14_2015	51.27	44.88	40.25	39.73	39.53	39.63	41.93(8.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	0	6	-89	0.03	54%	-0.14	-50.3	3.89%	0	-0.4	32	INF
15	Oct_13_2015	51.34	45.46	40.24	39.62	39.52	39.29	38.5(-4.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-45	-50	-15	-133	0.01	50%	-0.25	-49.3	3.92%	0	-1	23	INF

16	Oct_12_2015	51.47	46.27	40.55	40.29	40.16	39.43	40.18(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-140	-6	-155	0.02	52%	-0.12	-47.7	3.92%	0	-0.9	23	INF
17	Oct_9_2015	51.53	46.99	40.6	40.22	40.49	39.76	39.62(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-110	-17	-204	0.01	55%	-0.08	-47.8	3.97%	0	-1.1	19	INF
18	Oct_8_2015	51.57	47.72	41.45	40.36	40.66	40.89	38.43(-7.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-62	60	-8	-222	0.02	55%	-0.17	-48.6	3.96%	0	-1.3	15	INF
19	Oct_7_2015	51.66	48.58	42.79	40.78	40.48	41.22	41.37(-1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-48	110	9	-218	0.02	59%	-0.04	-49.8	3.86%	0	-1.1	27	INF
20	Oct_6_2015	51.68	49.21	43.89	40.96	40.4	40.43	41.86(5.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-49	-40	7	-216	0.04	59%	-0.06	-52.7	3.88%	0	-1.1	29	INF

21	Oct_5_2015	51.71	49.87	45.03	40.88	40.8	39.74	39.83(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-66	-190	-12	-229	0.01	57%	-0.1	-53.8	3.83%	0	-1.6	22	INF
22	Oct_2_2015	51.76	50.58	46.71	41.05	41.05	40.37	40.32(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-96	-120	-50	-232	0.02	57%	-0.1	-59.2	3.86%	0	-1.7	24	INF
23	Oct_1_2015	51.81	51.33	48.43	42.74	42.42	41.86	40.53(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-82	-110	-44	-194	0.02	54%	-0.04	-57.3	3.87%	0	-2	26	INF
24	Sep_30_2015	51.83	52.12	49.88	45.14	44.76	41.74	42.28(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-86	-500	-59	-167	0.02	56%	-0.04	-52.4	3.87%	0	-2	26	INF
25	Sep_29_2015	51.85	52.87	51.12	47.32	47.23	42.97	41.44(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-122	-640	-111	-153	0.04	56%		-44.7	3.9%	0	-2.6	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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