Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $54.7400 (-0.76%) ($53.4100 - $57.4000) on Wed. Aug. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.3% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $54.7400(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(5%)    XBI(4%)    XLV(4%)    IWM(2%)    TIP(2%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    CEMB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.15% (StdDev 4.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.09(3.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.9(3.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.18(6.96%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   41.4%
Market Cap   $1.111b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 6.66% (three month std-dev: 4.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.2%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.48%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.22%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.94%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.93%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2015	46.19	51.18	52.9	53.09	53.31	54.36	54.74(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	150	24	37	0.02	65%	0.41	71.2	4.3%	0	1	66	INF
2	Aug_4_2015	46	50.57	52.66	52.54	52.59	53.12	55.16(5.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	70	18	32	0.02	65%	0.33	57.9	4.32%	0	1.3	69	INF
3	Aug_3_2015	45.85	49.97	52.26	52.02	52.12	52.26	52.5(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	20	-1	17	0.01	64%	0.15	52.6	4.3%	0	0.7	54	INF
4	Jul_31_2015	45.78	49.57	52.01	52.32	52.19	52.05	51.73(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-30	-2	29	0.03	64%	0.07	54.4	4.33%	0	0.6	68	INF
5	Jul_30_2015	45.75	49.23	51.95	52.43	52.41	51.97	51.31(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-60	-7	44	0.02	65%	0.07	50.8	4.33%	0	0.5	72	INF

6	Jul_29_2015	45.72	48.86	51.89	52.65	52.59	52.33	52.01(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-40	-7	68	0.01	65%	0.04	42.2	4.36%	0	0.8	78	INF
7	Jul_28_2015	45.7	48.54	51.72	52.74	52.62	52.86	52.57(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	30	4	97	0.03	65%	0.09	28	4.37%	0	1	81	INF
8	Jul_27_2015	45.66	48.11	51.6	52.5	52.41	52.85	53.97(3.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	50	18	126	0.02	65%	0.09	10.9	4.35%	0	1.5	82	INF
9	Jul_24_2015	45.62	47.63	50.92	51.66	51.65	52.39	52.29(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	100	10	120	0.01	65%	0.04	-4.9	4.36%	0	1.3	73	INF
10	Jul_23_2015	45.6	47.37	50.25	51.41	51.16	51.97	52.43(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	45	100	18	125	0.01	65%	0	-15.2	4.36%	0	1.4	71	INF

11	Jul_22_2015	45.6	47.25	49.34	51.03	50.75	50.92	52.43(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	10	12	119	0.03	65%	0.04	-22.9	4.36%	0	1.5	73	INF
12	Jul_21_2015	45.58	47.48	48.35	50.57	50.52	50.35	51.38(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-30	-4	98	0.03	65%	0	-16.2	4.36%	0	1	63	INF
13	Jul_20_2015	45.58	47.69	47.51	50.58	50.68	50.59	49.77(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10	6	104	0.02	65%	-0.07	-10.6	4.35%	0	0.5	65	INF
14	Jul_17_2015	45.61	47.82	46.95	50.02	50.37	50.7	51.03(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	70	18	100	0.02	65%	-0.04	-13.2	4.34%	0	0.7	65	INF
15	Jul_16_2015	45.63	47.91	46.28	48.86	49.28	50.77	50.54(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	240	34	79	0.04	65%	0	-18.3	4.36%	0	0.5	55	INF

16	Jul_15_2015	45.63	48.05	45.56	47.33	47.68	50.04	50.12(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	370	55	40	0.06	65%	-0.02	-25.8	4.36%	0	0.4	46	INF
17	Jul_14_2015	45.64	48.15	45.07	45.75	45.69	47.79	51.45(9.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	40	320	59	-19	0.04	65%	-0.02	-33.8	4.34%	0	0.7	37	INF
18	Jul_13_2015	45.65	48.18	44.26	44.03	43.92	45.32	46.97(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	220	30	-96	0.03	62%	-0.11	-42.5	4.19%	0	-0.2	32	INF
19	Jul_10_2015	45.7	48.44	44	43.47	43.42	43.6	45.22(5.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	30	14	-135	0.03	62%	-0.13	-47.4	4.19%	0	-0.6	38	INF
20	Jul_9_2015	45.76	48.81	44.19	43.36	43.41	42.52	42.91(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-140	-12	-164	0.02	60%	-0.15	-52.4	4.17%	0	-1.1	32	INF

21	Jul_8_2015	45.83	49.36	44.96	43.51	43.64	43.24	42.21(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-60	-24	-175	0.03	60%	-0.24	-53.2	4.17%	0	-1.4	30	INF
22	Jul_7_2015	45.94	49.92	46.51	44.23	44.17	44.31	42.84(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	20	-0	-141	0.06	60%	-0.07	-53	4.17%	0	-1.5	34	INF
23	Jul_6_2015	45.97	50.46	47.88	44.46	44.31	44.04	44.17(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	-50	1	-127	0.02	60%	-0.04	-55	4.15%	0	-1.4	36	INF
24	Jul_2_2015	45.99	51.03	48.77	44.58	44.06	44.02	44.66(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-40	-18	-132	0.03	60%	0.09	-54.3	4.15%	0	-1.4	38	INF
25	Jul_1_2015	45.95	51.67	49.7	45.18	44.8	44.57	43.68(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-60	-18	-121	0.05	60%		-49.3	4.14%	0	-1.9	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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