Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $52.0800 (8.14%) ($47.1800 - $52.8500) on Thu. May. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $52.0800(8.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(5%)    XBI(5%)    XLV(5%)    IWM(2%)    TIP(2%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    CEMB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2% (StdDev 4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.75(9.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.49(12.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.14(17.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   40.9%
Market Cap   $1.057b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 7.57% (three month std-dev: 4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 4.12%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.28%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.3%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.58%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.73%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.81%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2015	43.85	44.14	46.49	47.75	47.44	48.98	52.08(8.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	210	37	100	0.04	55%	0.57	60.6	4%	0	2.4	74	0
2	May_27_2015	43.6	43.48	45.56	46.77	46.31	47.51	48.16(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	150	37	100	0.03	50%	0.48	57.3	3.89%	0	1.6	71	0
3	May_26_2015	43.39	43.06	45.15	45.81	45.63	45.89	49(7.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	30	27	96	0.05	50%	0.91	50.8	3.89%	0	2.1	71	0
4	May_22_2015	43	42.59	44.54	44.93	44.78	45.11	45.5(3.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	40	-2	81	0.01	44%	0.05	48	3.73%	0	1.2	62	0
5	May_21_2015	42.98	42.37	44.43	44.83	44.77	45.37	44.03(-6.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	90	12	97	0.03	44%	0.44	53	3.73%	0	0.7	57	0

6	May_20_2015	42.79	42.21	44	44.98	44.6	44.46	47.18(8.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-50	16	100	0.03	49%	0.49	56.9	3.67%	0	2.1	65	0
7	May_19_2015	42.58	41.86	43.17	44.17	44.38	44.18	43.33(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-20	-11	75	0.02	41%	0.42	53.7	3.51%	0	0.7	64	0
8	May_18_2015	42.4	41.69	42.79	44.35	44.39	44.75	44.59(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	60	8	87	0.03	41%	0.4	55.3	3.49%	0	1.4	64	0
9	May_15_2015	42.23	41.46	42.39	44.09	44.17	44.58	45.01(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	70	11	84	0.01	48%	0.07	50.8	3.64%	0	1.8	65	0
10	May_14_2015	42.2	41.16	42.02	43.97	43.9	44.04	44.8(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	20	23	88	0.02	48%	0.43	53	3.67%	0	2	59	0

11	May_13_2015	42.02	40.92	41.62	42.85	43.3	44.04	43.12(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	110	21	65	0.02	54%	0.41	45.5	3.66%	0	1.4	57	0
12	May_12_2015	41.85	40.78	41.24	41.97	42.13	43.76	44.24(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	280	31	42	0.02	58%	0.43	35.2	3.95%	0	2.3	61	0
13	May_11_2015	41.67	40.58	40.8	40.96	41.22	42.85	43.26(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	38	300	42	26	0.03	58%	0.31	22.6	4.01%	0	2	61	0
14	May_8_2015	41.54	40.47	40.45	40.43	40.33	40.5	44.45(13.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.4	17	20	20	6	0.04	58%	0.36	20.1	4%	0	3.3	64	0
15	May_7_2015	41.39	40.22	40.07	39.86	40.19	39.59	39.2(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-80	-18	-15	0.03	49%	0.32	9.7	3.65%	0	-1.2	52	0

16	May_6_2015	41.26	40.2	40.24	40.25	40.77	40.15	38.71(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-9	-70	-11	-2	0.04	49%	0.34	17.3	3.67%	0	-1.7	44	0
17	May_5_2015	41.12	40.25	40.45	40.36	40.86	40.78	39.2(-3.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-6	20	-9	2	0.03	53%	0.42	22.6	3.67%	0	-1.3	45	0
18	May_4_2015	40.95	40.28	40.55	40.53	40.69	41.39	40.6(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	130	10	11	0.01	53%	0.42	16.8	3.73%	0	0.4	49	0
19	May_1_2015	40.78	40.23	40.5	40.4	40.44	40.93	41.58(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	90	14	5	0.01	48%	0.49	-4	3.8%	0	1.7	49	0
20	Apr_30_2015	40.58	40.14	40.27	40.35	40.26	39.99	41.16(4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	-50	1	-4	0.02	48%	0.47	-15.2	3.83%	0	1.4	57	0

21	Apr_29_2015	40.39	40.05	40.18	40.28	40.36	39.94	39.27(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-70	-14	-5	0.02	45%	0.42	-28.8	3.8%	0	-1.1	57	0
22	Apr_28_2015	40.22	40.07	40.31	40.57	40.64	40.53	40.04(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10	-4	10	0.01	40%	0.45	-23.7	3.81%	0	-0	55	0
23	Apr_27_2015	40.04	40.15	40.37	40.54	40.73	40.78	39.97(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	5	20	2	15	0.03	40%	0.45	-2	3.93%	0	-0.2	52	0
24	Apr_24_2015	39.86	40.27	40.52	40.57	40.51	40.74	41.3(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	40	8	25	0.01	40%	0.48	16.8	3.93%	0	1.1	59	0
25	Apr_23_2015	39.67	40.25	40.37	40.17	40.29	40.67	40.81(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	70	8	17	0.01	40%		11.7	3.96%	0	0.6	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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