Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $40.7400 (2.11%) ($40.1100 - $41.1600) on Wed. Apr. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $40.7400(2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(5%)    XBI(5%)    XLV(5%)    IWM(3%)    XOP(3%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    CEMB(-3%)    BND(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.08(1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.15(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.26(1.19%)
To recent high   -23.4%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $827m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.57%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.07%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.13%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2015	39.48	40.26	40.15	40.08	40.03	40.29	40.74(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	40	5	11	0.01	40%	0.43	22.8	3.97%	0	0.5	57	0
2	Apr_21_2015	39.31	40.24	40.02	40.03	40.01	39.92	39.9(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-20	-2	7	0.04	40%	0.41	37.7	3.98%	0	-0.4	54	0
3	Apr_20_2015	39.15	40.17	40.01	40.19	40.21	39.77	40.11(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-80	-9	0	0.03	40%	0.38	29.2	4.03%	0	-0.1	41	0
4	Apr_17_2015	39	40.11	39.95	40.46	40.46	40.1	39.27(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-60	-11	-5	0.02	40%	0	10.2	4.03%	0	-0.8	34	0
5	Apr_16_2015	39	40.14	40.02	40.59	40.75	40.66	40.39(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	-0	5	-1	0.01	46%	0.41	-22.8	4.05%	0	0.2	46	0

6	Apr_15_2015	38.84	40.04	39.93	40.21	40.38	40.83	40.46(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	90	6	-13	0.01	46%	0.44	-70.7	4.21%	0	0.4	47	0
7	Apr_14_2015	38.67	39.88	39.82	39.98	39.91	40.84	40.74(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	160	15	-17	0.01	52%	0.44	-107.2	4.24%	0	0.6	52	0
8	Apr_13_2015	38.5	39.86	39.9	39.79	39.61	39.94	41.44(3.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	40	17	-8	0.02	56%	0.47	-139.5	4.46%	0	1.2	64	0
9	Apr_10_2015	38.32	39.99	39.96	39.41	39.36	38.99	39.9(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-70	-4	-12	0.01	56%	0.45	-128.3	4.57%	0	-0.1	57	0
10	Apr_9_2015	38.15	40.39	40.09	39.4	39.54	39.29	38.5(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-30	-9	-11	0.02	64%	0.45	-89.2	4.59%	0	-0.7	46	0

11	Apr_8_2015	37.98	40.88	40.36	39.59	39.84	39.73	39.34(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-0	-1	4	0.02	66%	0.45	-76.7	5.52%	0	-0.5	57	0
12	Apr_7_2015	37.81	41.36	40.47	39.61	39.8	39.79	39.76(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	10	-6	10	0.03	66%	0.45	-67	5.56%	0	-0.4	64	0
13	Apr_6_2015	37.64	41.81	40.35	40.03	39.99	39.96	39.55(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10	-7	11	0.01	66%	0.72	-61.2	5.56%	0	-0.6	48	0
14	Apr_2_2015	37.37	42.27	40.3	40.61	40.5	39.82	39.83(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-130	-7	5	0.02	66%	0.4	-54.1	5.53%	0	-0.5	38	0
15	Apr_1_2015	37.22	42.8	40.31	40.91	40.95	40.01	39.48(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-160	-15	-15	0.03	66%	0.4	-51.3	5.53%	0	-0.7	32	0

16	Mar_31_2015	37.07	43.39	40.21	41.23	41.27	41.18	39.41(-5.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10	-8	-32	0.04	66%	0.38	-48.2	5.57%	0	-0.8	31	0
17	Mar_30_2015	36.93	43.93	40.01	41.41	41.3	41.89	41.86(-1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	90	15	-51	0.03	69%	0.44	-47.1	5.51%	0	-0.4	33	0
18	Mar_27_2015	36.77	44.38	39.84	40.68	40.67	41.36	42.49(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	120	17	-80	0.04	69%	0.44	-49.8	5.5%	0	-0.4	35	0
19	Mar_26_2015	36.61	44.86	39.99	39.94	39.94	40.71	41.3(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	130	11	-102	0.02	69%	0.47	-50.9	5.54%	0	-0.6	32	0
20	Mar_25_2015	36.44	45.44	40.64	39.65	39.66	39.97	41.09(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	60	15	-109	0.04	69%	0.47	-50.4	5.54%	0	-0.8	29	0

21	Mar_24_2015	36.27	45.93	41.33	39.07	39.21	39.17	40.32(5.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	0	7	-124	0.05	69%	0.47	-53.4	5.59%	0	-1	25	0
22	Mar_23_2015	36.1	46.47	42.21	38.4	38.87	39.34	38.22(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-36	120	-3	-136	0.04	69%	0.36	-58.2	5.6%	0	-1.5	24	0
23	Mar_20_2015	35.97	47.21	43.3	38.86	38.8	39.25	38.78(-2.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-38	80	-7	-132	0.03	63%	0.39	-56.8	5.79%	0	-1.6	23	0
24	Mar_19_2015	35.83	47.89	44.36	40.07	39.49	38.4	39.83(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-51	-240	-24	-131	0.02	63%	0.45	-48.6	5.82%	0	-1.6	23	0
25	Mar_18_2015	35.67	48.46	45.47	41.86	41.46	38.35	38.22(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-70	-550	-51	-127	0.03	66%		-34.4	5.8%	0	-2.3	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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