Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $47.1800 (-5.47%) ($42.9800 - $51.4500) on Wed. Jan. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.76% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $47.1800(-5.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 33.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(6%)    XBI(5%)    XLV(5%)    IWM(3%)    XHB(3%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -3.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    GLD(-3%)    CEMB(-3%)    BND(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.38% (StdDev 6.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.57(-0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.85(12.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.71(35.93%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   109.3%
Market Cap   $958m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 26.02% (three month std-dev: 6.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2015	51.53	34.71	41.85	47.57	47.97	49.43	47.18(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	86	240	14	301	0.06	62%	-1.6	70.9	6.76%	0	1.4	89	INF
2	Jan_20_2015	52.37	33.83	39.98	46.61	47.04	48.87	49.91(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	114	300	43	325	0.13	62%	-1.65	75.2	6.74%	0	1.8	93	INF
3	Jan_16_2015	53.25	32.78	37.74	44.46	44.62	46.52	48.86(8.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	104	310	36	307	0.06	62%	-1.63	81.9	6.7%	0	2.1	87	INF
4	Jan_15_2015	54.13	31.61	35.49	42.1	42.6	45.21	44.94(-4.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	114	460	56	287	0.14	59%	-1.74	86.3	6.63%	0	2	84	INF
5	Jan_14_2015	55.09	30.56	33.57	39.06	39.61	42.72	46.97(10.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	114	590	70	246	0.14	59%	-1.78	80.8	6.6%	0	2.7	89	INF

6	Jan_13_2015	56.09	29.3	31.4	35.27	35.89	40	42.35(8.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	98	850	70	180	0.12	51%	-1.85	76	6.47%	0	2.8	83	INF
7	Jan_12_2015	57.15	28.33	29.72	32.35	32.53	36.51	39.2(5.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	82	870	72	113	0.1	48%	-1.89	70.5	6.52%	0	2.9	66	INF
8	Jan_9_2015	58.25	27.47	28.46	30.04	29.85	31.78	37.03(24.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	55	430	55	55	0.43	48%	-1.87	66.5	6.54%	0	3.3	63	INF
9	Jan_8_2015	59.36	26.72	27.45	27.97	28.11	28.56	29.75(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	130	18	5	0.03	34%	-2	60.1	5.75%	0	1.4	61	INF
10	Jan_7_2015	60.57	26.39	27.09	27.24	27.44	27.91	28(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	140	9	-9	0.02	29%	-1.96	47.3	5.71%	0	0.7	63	INF

11	Jan_6_2015	61.78	26.13	26.99	26.89	27.04	27.66	27.79(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	180	12	-2	0.02	18%	-2.03	37.1	5.78%	0	0.7	68	INF
12	Jan_5_2015	63.06	25.89	27.23	26.61	26.6	26.98	27.65(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	100	3	8	0.02	18%	-1.93	26.8	9.09%	0	0.7	64	INF
13	Jan_2_2015	64.3	25.65	27.48	26.6	26.52	26.42	26.67(2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-40	-2	23	0.01	24%	-2.97	21.3	9.09%	0	0.4	65	INF
14	Dec_31_2014	66.27	25.5	27.51	26.87	26.81	26.22	26.11(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-160	-3	37	0.02	22%	-1.73	22.8	9.31%	0	0.2	65	INF
15	Dec_30_2014	67.44	25.37	27.43	26.91	27.04	26.62	26.25(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-90	-6	41	0.02	22%	-1.72	22	9.45%	0	0.3	63	INF

16	Dec_29_2014	68.62	25.3	27.17	27.08	27.13	27.41	26.39(-4.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	80	-8	45	0.02	20%	-1.65	24.5	9.45%	0	0.4	64	INF
17	Dec_26_2014	69.77	25.27	26.96	27.93	27.57	27.46	27.58(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-70	-3	63	0.01	22%	-2.46	39.3	9.68%	0	0.9	67	INF
18	Dec_24_2014	71.53	25.14	26.51	28.52	28.18	26.86	28(6.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-360	-4	75	0.01	21%	-1.38	52.9	9.64%	0	1.2	69	INF
19	Dec_23_2014	72.53	24.94	25.98	28.27	28.77	27.68	26.32(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-210	-7	71	0.01	21%	-1.33	55.6	9.58%	0	0.6	62	INF
20	Dec_22_2014	73.51	24.83	25.68	27.99	28.62	29.51	27.09(-11.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	290	8	74	0.03	27%	-1.28	53.3	9.59%	0	1	63	INF

21	Dec_19_2014	74.46	24.69	25.25	27.17	27.45	29.86	30.66(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	650	27	64	0.03	28%	-1.22	42.4	9.76%	0	2.6	68	INF
22	Dec_18_2014	75.38	24.31	24.43	25.82	25.8	27.74	30.52(14.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	34	520	32	40	0.07	28%	-1.27	27.2	9.76%	0	3.4	62	INF
23	Dec_17_2014	76.35	23.9	23.59	24.26	24.3	25.04	26.74(7.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	13	220	16	5	0.06	25%	-1.28	-4.2	9.56%	0	2.5	54	INF
24	Dec_16_2014	77.34	23.69	23.22	23.42	23.5	23.85	24.92(8.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	110	6	-14	0.03	27%	-1.31	-40.3	9.53%	0	1.3	53	INF
25	Dec_15_2014	78.37	23.64	23.07	23.06	23.19	23.56	23.03(-3.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	130	3	-22	0.02	27%		-60.1	9.48%	0	-0.6	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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