Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $120.6100 (4.55%) ($113.8800 - $121.1700) on Tue. Sep. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.11% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $120.6100(4.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT declines -7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(6%)    XLV(5%)    IWM(3%)    XHB(3%)    XLB(3%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    XLU(-2%)    XLP(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.555% (StdDev 3.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $102.29(-15.19%)
Resistance Level   $128.7
5 Day Moving Average   $117.04(3.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.95(2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $128.7(-6.29%)
To recent high   -20.7%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $2.448b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 9.59% (three month std-dev: 3.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.84%(67%) Average negative next day return: 0%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -6.36%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.28%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.36%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2014	126.89	128.7	117.95	117.04	116.41	116.75	120.61(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	0	10	-133	0.02	42%	-0.02	-54.4	3.11%	0	-0.7	16	INF
2	Sep_15_2014	126.91	130.21	118.65	116.37	116.5	116.28	115.36(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-46	-10	-5	-167	0.02	40%	-0.05	-50.1	3.09%	0	-1.1	4	INF
3	Sep_12_2014	126.97	131.85	120.48	116.75	117.14	116.07	116.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-54	-50	-11	-182	0.02	38%	-0.05	-47.2	3.09%	0	-1.2	4	INF
4	Sep_11_2014	127.03	133.34	122.22	116.83	117.12	116.72	116.2(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-73	-20	-31	-199	0.04	43%	-0.07	-45.8	3.15%	0	-1.3	9	INF
5	Sep_10_2014	127.12	134.54	124.33	117.17	117.71	118.2	116.83(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-56	40	-11	-189	0.02	46%	-0.06	-47	3.33%	0	-1.5	9	INF

6	Sep_9_2014	127.2	135.79	126.98	119.03	119.06	117.53	117.25(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-66	-90	-28	-178	0.04	46%	0.01	-41.1	3.46%	0	-1.6	16	INF
7	Sep_8_2014	127.19	137.12	129.68	121.38	121.48	117.22	117.25(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-123	-240	-97	-199	0.04	46%	-0.08	-31.4	3.46%	0	-1.9	13	INF
8	Sep_5_2014	127.29	138.35	132.6	124.89	125.25	120.58	116.62(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-142	-250	-126	-190	0.03	46%	0.06	-17	3.46%	0	-2.3	19	INF
9	Sep_4_2014	127.21	139.47	135.48	128.44	129.32	125.74	117.88(-6.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-120	-170	-106	-161	0.04	46%	0.13	-0.2	3.47%	0	-2.7	25	INF
10	Sep_3_2014	127.05	140.49	138.54	132.47	132.66	129.91	126.14(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-98	-140	-90	-123	0.02	49%	0.23	23.6	3.39%	0	-2.2	41	INF

11	Sep_2_2014	126.76	140.66	140.5	136.09	136.09	132.89	129.01(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-83	-160	-80	-91	0.03	49%	0.3	41.1	3.39%	0	-1.8	41	INF
12	Aug_29_2014	126.38	140.53	142.84	139.24	139.42	135.41	134.82(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-90	-200	-97	-67	0.02	51%	0.17	43.2	3.32%	0	-0.7	44	INF
13	Aug_28_2014	126.17	139.99	144.24	141.57	142.55	139.28	134.33(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-81	-140	-94	-40	0.02	51%	0.11	44.2	3.33%	0	-0.6	47	INF
14	Aug_27_2014	126.03	139.49	145.45	143.6	145.07	143.44	138.04(-4.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-40	-50	-53	1	0.03	51%	0.2	47.5	3.31%	0	-0.2	55	INF
15	Aug_26_2014	125.78	138.97	145.66	145.49	146.09	145.82	144.27(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-0	-16	34	0.02	53%	0.21	52	3.26%	0	0.6	63	INF

16	Aug_25_2014	125.52	138.07	145.34	145.57	146.31	146.7	144.76(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	30	-5	56	0.01	53%	0.2	51.8	3.28%	0	0.7	72	INF
17	Aug_22_2014	125.27	137.15	145.12	147.04	146.78	146.37	146.44(1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-20	-5	93	0.01	53%	0.19	56	3.28%	0	1	76	INF
18	Aug_21_2014	125.03	136.21	144.47	147.42	147.9	145.92	144.48(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-80	-25	114	0.02	53%	0.14	62.3	3.28%	0	0.9	77	INF
19	Aug_20_2014	124.85	135.28	143.72	147.57	148.47	147.18	147.49(1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-40	-26	138	0.01	53%	0.14	67.3	3.27%	0	1.3	79	INF
20	Aug_19_2014	124.67	134.18	142.53	145.8	147.58	149.88	144.69(-4.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	150	25	161	0.03	53%	0.14	65.2	3.26%	0	1.1	70	INF

21	Aug_18_2014	124.49	133.21	140.84	144.93	145.46	149.75	152.11(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	127	220	104	195	0.02	56%	0.19	63.5	3.2%	0	2.1	79	INF
22	Aug_15_2014	124.26	131.9	137.98	142.94	142.73	145.29	148.33(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	105	120	83	172	0.02	56%	0.11	59	3.21%	0	2	76	INF
23	Aug_14_2014	124.12	130.41	135.3	141.2	141.58	141.17	145.25(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	-10	28	132	0.02	56%	0.1	49.8	3.2%	0	1.9	71	INF
24	Aug_13_2014	124	129.08	132.97	139.4	141.08	140.18	138.6(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10	-18	98	0.03	54%	0.01	41.1	3.16%	0	1.4	68	INF
25	Aug_12_2014	123.99	128.34	131.71	138.73	140.23	142	140.35(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	120	36	117	0.02	54%		33.9	3.15%	0	1.8	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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