Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $144.4800 (-2.04%) ($142.6400 - $149.3800) on Thu. Aug. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.28% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $144.4800(-2.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(6%)    XLV(5%)    IWM(3%)    XHB(3%)    XLB(3%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    XLU(-2%)    XLP(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.64% (StdDev 3.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $147.42(-1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.47(0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $136.21(6.07%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   25.5%
Market Cap   $2.933b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 7.14% (three month std-dev: 3.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 4.7%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.05%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 5.9%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.33%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.3%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2014	125.03	136.21	144.47	147.42	147.9	145.92	144.48(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-80	-25	114	0.02	53%	0.14	62.3	3.28%	0	0.9	77	INF
2	Aug_20_2014	124.85	135.28	143.72	147.57	148.47	147.18	147.49(1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-40	-26	138	0.01	53%	0.14	67.3	3.27%	0	1.3	79	INF
3	Aug_19_2014	124.67	134.18	142.53	145.8	147.58	149.88	144.69(-4.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	150	25	161	0.03	53%	0.14	65.2	3.26%	0	1.1	70	INF
4	Aug_18_2014	124.49	133.21	140.84	144.93	145.46	149.75	152.11(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	127	220	104	195	0.02	56%	0.19	63.5	3.2%	0	2.1	79	INF
5	Aug_15_2014	124.26	131.9	137.98	142.94	142.73	145.29	148.33(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	105	120	83	172	0.02	56%	0.11	59	3.21%	0	2	76	INF

6	Aug_14_2014	124.12	130.41	135.3	141.2	141.58	141.17	145.25(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	-10	28	132	0.02	56%	0.1	49.8	3.2%	0	1.9	71	INF
7	Aug_13_2014	124	129.08	132.97	139.4	141.08	140.18	138.6(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10	-18	98	0.03	54%	0.01	41.1	3.16%	0	1.4	68	INF
8	Aug_12_2014	123.99	128.34	131.71	138.73	140.23	142	140.35(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	120	36	117	0.02	54%	0.02	33.9	3.15%	0	1.8	71	INF
9	Aug_11_2014	123.96	127.68	130.18	135.95	137.89	141.98	142.17(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	120	250	117	128	0.02	54%	-0.02	23	3.15%	0	2.4	75	INF
10	Aug_8_2014	123.98	127.14	128.47	132.16	133.38	138.46	139.65(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	126	290	134	102	0.02	54%	-0.13	2.6	3.15%	0	2.4	68	INF

11	Aug_7_2014	124.14	126.66	127.14	128.48	129.01	133.81	136.22(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	123	270	136	84	0.01	51%	-0.1	-22.1	3.14%	0	2.1	75	INF
12	Aug_6_2014	124.27	126.28	126.01	125.62	125.5	128.31	135.24(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	80	150	90	50	0.02	51%	-0.08	-43.3	3.21%	0	2	74	INF
13	Aug_5_2014	124.37	126.15	124.97	123.8	123.64	124.22	126.49(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	30	24	11	0.02	47%	-0.12	-50.2	3.1%	0	0.1	53	INF
14	Aug_4_2014	124.52	126.3	124.88	123.62	123.82	122.68	123.2(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-60	-18	-11	0.01	47%	-0.15	-36.5	3.1%	0	-0.6	42	INF
15	Aug_1_2014	124.71	127	125.31	124.21	124.71	123.06	121.24(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-80	-47	-26	0.01	47%	-0.16	-16.1	3.1%	0	-1.2	33	INF

16	Jul_31_2014	124.91	127.68	125.22	125.5	125.72	124.97	121.94(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-40	-34	-28	0.01	47%	-0.27	3.9	3.12%	0	-1.2	37	INF
17	Jul_30_2014	125.25	127.68	125.05	126.31	126.5	126.36	126.14(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-0	-1	-23	0.01	49%	-0.24	15.5	3.1%	0	-0.4	44	INF
18	Jul_29_2014	125.55	128.23	124.89	126.27	126.41	126.47	125.58(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	10	-4	-39	0.01	49%	-0.26	18.1	3.1%	0	-0.6	38	INF
19	Jul_28_2014	125.88	128.07	125.14	126.32	126.48	126.65	126.14(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	10	3	-38	0.02	49%	-0.25	11.2	3.1%	0	-0.4	46	INF
20	Jul_25_2014	126.2	127.78	125.8	126.6	126.54	126.34	127.68(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	-10	17	-37	0.01	49%	-0.31	-3.8	3.1%	0	-0	39	INF

21	Jul_24_2014	126.59	127.78	126.15	124.91	125.67	126.32	126(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	50	16	-55	0.01	49%	-0.23	-19.9	3.1%	0	-0.3	42	INF
22	Jul_23_2014	126.88	127.49	126.54	123.56	124.06	126.74	125.93(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	160	41	-60	0.02	49%	-0.24	-31.1	3.11%	0	-0.3	44	INF
23	Jul_22_2014	127.19	127.36	127.33	123.3	122.79	125.03	125.86(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	31	120	57	-46	0.01	53%	-0.28	-41.7	3.11%	0	-0.3	52	INF
24	Jul_21_2014	127.55	127.51	127.72	123.84	122.71	121.38	127.54(6.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-20	-100	-8	-56	0.01	57%	-0.31	-41.6	3.24%	0	0	58	INF
25	Jul_18_2014	127.95	127.99	128.68	125.08	124.32	120.56	119.21(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-88	-230	-97	-59	0.01	53%		-32.5	3.24%	0	-1.4	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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