Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $146.3000 (-2.15%) ($144.2000 - $151.7600) on Wed. Jan. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $146.3000(-2.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 8.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(7%)    IWM(4%)    XOP(4%)    BNDX(1%)    DIA(1%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    XLU(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $144.38(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $137.77(6.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.98(10.85%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   34.8%
Market Cap   $2.97b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 6.48% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.72%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2.19%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -5.06%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.8%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.64%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2014	122.21	131.98	137.77	144.38	144.66	147.26	146.3(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	77	130	46	171	0.01	61%	0.48	67.7	3.25%	0	1.7	75	0
2	Jan_14_2014	121.63	130.92	135.74	142.74	142.4	146.07	149.52(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	118	170	99	176	0.02	61%	0.46	72.5	3.35%	0	2.3	74	0
3	Jan_13_2014	121.07	129.39	132.89	139.7	139.52	142.06	145.88(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	113	120	102	146	0.03	61%	0.44	77	3.36%	0	2.5	69	0
4	Jan_10_2014	120.54	128.03	130.49	135.79	135.57	138.73	140.84(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	77	160	69	99	0.01	63%	0.42	73.8	3.33%	0	2.2	68	0
5	Jan_9_2014	120.04	127.18	128.66	132.99	132.21	136.98	139.34(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	100	230	106	83	0.02	56%	0.37	72	3.46%	0	2.3	63	0

6	Jan_8_2014	119.6	126.43	127.24	130.13	129.04	132.41	138.11(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	86	160	95	57	0.01	50%	0.39	74.2	3.64%	0	2.7	66	0
7	Jan_7_2014	119.14	125.4	126.11	127.71	127.1	127.45	134.33(6.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	39	0	45	22	0.03	50%	0.34	74.6	3.85%	0	2.7	61	0
8	Jan_6_2014	118.74	124.45	125.49	125.12	125.62	125.67	126.35(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	10	-6	-6	0.01	46%	0.25	47.6	3.79%	0	0.6	62	0
9	Jan_3_2014	118.44	123.92	125.55	124.36	124.99	126.76	126.84(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	110	24	9	0.01	56%	0.25	28	3.88%	0	0.8	63	0
10	Jan_2_2014	118.14	123.53	125.72	123.62	124.29	125.57	125.02(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	90	32	12	0.03	61%	0.38	20.9	4.24%	0	0.4	51	0

11	Dec_31_2013	117.69	123.27	125.76	123.86	123.54	123.22	126(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-30	-4	-1	0.01	61%	0.21	22.8	4.55%	0	0.6	51	0
12	Dec_30_2013	117.44	122.94	125.78	124.33	124.23	123.01	121.38(-0.97%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-18	-70	-24	2	0	61%	0.18	32.9	4.53%	0	-0.4	58	0
13	Dec_27_2013	117.23	122.99	125.75	125.94	125.56	123.85	122.57(-0.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-18	-100	-28	14	0	64%	0.19	56.2	4.55%	0	-0.1	63	0
14	Dec_26_2013	117.01	122.89	125.58	126.87	126.66	125.44	123.13(-2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-15	-70	-28	24	0.02	66%	0.5	71.5	4.74%	0	0.1	64	0
15	Dec_24_2013	116.43	122.67	125.79	128.04	127.42	127.27	126.21(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-20	-11	44	0	67%	0.21	90	4.79%	0	0.8	61	0

16	Dec_23_2013	116.19	122.3	125.73	127.86	128.31	127.87	128.38(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	6	57	0.01	67%	0.27	97.2	4.82%	0	1.4	62	0
17	Dec_20_2013	115.88	121.54	124.73	127.44	128.02	127.58	129.43(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-10	-11	48	0.01	67%	0.4	90.5	4.82%	0	1.7	64	0
18	Dec_19_2013	115.42	120.64	123.37	125.55	128.92	128.75	127.19(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	70	19	43	0.01	67%	0.48	73.3	4.82%	0	1.4	56	0
19	Dec_18_2013	114.87	119.82	122.18	124.08	127.06	128.47	129.01(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	150	7	26	0.02	67%	0.53	61.2	4.81%	0	1.9	61	0
20	Dec_17_2013	114.27	118.8	121.11	123.27	125.36	129.1	125.3(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	260	39	35	0.03	67%	0.48	51.4	4.8%	0	1.3	60	0

21	Dec_16_2013	113.72	118.16	120.49	123.33	124.75	125.66	126.28(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	90	60	45	0.05	67%	0.49	51.5	4.81%	0	1.7	60	0
22	Dec_13_2013	113.16	117.52	119.73	121.67	122.73	121.62	119.98(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-40	-15	12	0.01	66%	0.43	43.8	4.77%	0	0.5	63	0
23	Dec_12_2013	112.67	117.28	119.94	120.78	121.98	121.62	119.84(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	140	15	29	0.01	66%	0.44	39.9	4.77%	0	0.6	65	0
24	Dec_11_2013	112.18	116.91	119.96	119.81	120.14	123.84	124.95(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	220	54	49	0.02	67%	0.5	25.6	4.74%	0	1.8	74	0
25	Dec_10_2013	111.62	116.32	119.26	118.59	118.55	120.12	125.58(6.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	43	90	42	47	0.02	67%		9.2	4.84%	0	2.2	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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