Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 2, 2013

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $143.3600 (13.09%) ($129.4000 - $145.9500) on Wed. Oct. 2, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.23% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $143.3600(13.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 5.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(4%)    XOP(4%)    VWO(2%)    BNDX(1%)    EEM(1%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.615% (StdDev 5.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $129.14(11.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.98(19.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.7(26.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   199.4%
Market Cap   $2.91b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 10.89% (three month std-dev: 5.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(33%) Average negative next day return: -5.01%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 7.29%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.5%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.61%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2013	78.33	113.7	119.98	129.14	129.53	132.5	143.36(13.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	102	170	91	134	0.01	94%	0.9	88.4	5.23%	0	2.4	73	0
2	Oct_1_2013	77.63	110.86	116.4	122.71	124.13	128.3	126.77(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	270	60	85	0	93%	0.7	78.3	5.04%	0	1.4	65	0
3	Sep_30_2013	77.09	108.92	114.63	118.47	119.3	126.55	126.28(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	103	450	109	85	0.01	93%	0.72	66.7	5.04%	0	1.6	72	0
4	Sep_27_2013	76.54	107.11	113.09	115.16	113.94	119.97	130.97(10.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	106	340	115	79	0.01	93%	0.8	56.6	4.99%	0	2.2	79	0
5	Sep_26_2013	75.93	105.09	111.14	111.26	110.27	112.05	118.3(6.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	90	56	50	0	93%	0.64	51	4.87%	0	1.4	78	0

6	Sep_25_2013	75.45	103.72	110.54	109.55	109.11	107.91	111.23(5.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-90	-7	36	0	92%	0.55	44	4.83%	0	0.8	77	0
7	Sep_24_2013	75.04	102.69	110.72	109.21	109.54	108.48	105.56(-3.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-60	-27	55	0	89%	0.48	40.8	4.81%	0	0.3	80	0
8	Sep_23_2013	74.68	102.15	110.76	110.05	110.29	110.32	109.76(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	10	-8	90	0	89%	0.55	42.5	4.81%	0	0.8	86	0
9	Sep_20_2013	74.27	101.38	110.09	110.52	110.86	110.59	111.44(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10	-4	112	0	87%	0.6	43.8	4.82%	0	1	81	0
10	Sep_19_2013	73.83	100.42	108.7	110.98	111.8	110.26	109.76(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-70	-17	121	0	87%	0.6	43.8	4.82%	0	1	76	0

11	Sep_18_2013	73.39	99.72	107.23	111.72	112.6	111.13	109.55(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-70	-31	130	0	87%	0.6	46.3	4.82%	0	1.1	76	0
12	Sep_17_2013	72.95	98.88	105.16	112.48	113.38	113.34	109.76(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	37	20	-1	151	0	87%	0.62	46.9	4.82%	0	1.2	77	0
13	Sep_16_2013	72.5	98.16	103.05	111.47	112.99	114.07	112.07(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	110	30	153	0	87%	0.69	43.2	4.82%	0	1.6	71	0
14	Sep_13_2013	72	97.3	100.87	109.48	110.52	113.42	113.75(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	210	51	145	0	87%	0.74	37.1	4.81%	0	2	73	0
15	Sep_12_2013	71.47	96.39	98.59	105.99	107.06	111.92	113.47(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	103	350	91	137	0	87%	0.75	26.3	4.81%	0	2.4	74	0

16	Sep_11_2013	70.94	95.59	96.24	102.04	102.2	107.63	113.33(8.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	108	380	108	108	0.01	87%	0.78	19.4	4.82%	0	3	66	0
17	Sep_10_2013	70.39	94.79	93.77	96.83	97.49	102.19	104.72(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	89	360	98	62	0.01	86%	0.66	1.1	4.75%	0	2.2	63	0
18	Sep_9_2013	69.93	94.53	92.59	93.4	93.51	96.78	102.13(6.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	57	250	69	22	0.01	86%	0.62	-22.4	4.77%	0	1.8	56	0
19	Sep_6_2013	69.5	94.4	91.7	91.02	91	92.78	96.32(2.79%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	23	140	34	-12	0	85%	0.52	-36.1	4.74%	0	0.5	49	0
20	Sep_5_2013	69.14	94.56	91.25	90.11	90.52	90.25	93.71(7.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10	15	-33	0	86%	0.48	-23.9	4.75%	0	-0.2	43	0

21	Sep_4_2013	68.81	94.45	91.47	89.59	90.22	89.22	87.29(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-60	-20	-56	0	85%	0.38	-8.3	4.7%	0	-1.7	27	0
22	Sep_3_2013	68.55	94.74	92.11	90.17	90.25	90.79	87.57(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	40	-14	-58	0	82%	0.4	19.5	4.7%	0	-1.8	27	0
23	Aug_30_2013	68.28	95.48	93	91.55	90.69	91.21	90.23(-1.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	10	7	-46	0	82%	0.46	69	4.69%	0	-1.3	28	0
24	Aug_29_2013	67.97	95.89	93.61	92.4	91.46	89.71	91.77(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-160	-13	-54	0	82%	0.52	95.1	4.7%	0	-0.9	31	0
25	Aug_28_2013	67.62	95.59	94.19	92.55	92.59	90.17	91.07(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-180	-46	-70	0	80%		75.4	4.71%	0	-0.7	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.