Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $96.3200 (2.79%) ($89.7400 - $97.9300) on Fri. Sep. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.74% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $96.3200(2.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(4%)    XOP(4%)    VWO(2%)    BNDX(1%)    EEM(1%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.37% (StdDev 4.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $84.39(-12.39%)
5 Day Moving Average   $91.02(5.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.7(5.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.4(2.03%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   107.2%
Market Cap   $1.955b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 4.32% (three month std-dev: 4.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.48%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131006

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_6_2013	69.5	94.4	91.7	91.02	91	92.78	96.32(2.79%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	23	140	34	-12	0	85%	0.52	-36.1	4.74%	0	0.5	49	NAN
2	Sep_5_2013	69.14	94.56	91.25	90.11	90.52	90.25	93.71(7.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10	15	-33	0	86%	0.48	-23.9	4.75%	0	-0.2	43	NAN
3	Sep_4_2013	68.81	94.45	91.47	89.59	90.22	89.22	87.29(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-60	-20	-56	0	85%	0.38	-8.3	4.7%	0	-1.7	27	NAN
4	Sep_3_2013	68.55	94.74	92.11	90.17	90.25	90.79	87.57(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	40	-14	-58	0	82%	0.4	19.5	4.7%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
5	Aug_30_2013	68.28	95.48	93	91.55	90.69	91.21	90.23(-1.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	10	7	-46	0	82%	0.46	69	4.69%	0	-1.3	28	NAN

6	Aug_29_2013	67.97	95.89	93.61	92.4	91.46	89.71	91.77(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-160	-13	-54	0	82%	0.52	95.1	4.7%	0	-0.9	31	NAN
7	Aug_28_2013	67.62	95.59	94.19	92.55	92.59	90.17	91.07(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-180	-46	-70	0	80%	0.51	75.4	4.71%	0	-0.7	31	NAN
8	Aug_27_2013	67.28	94.81	95.05	93.67	93.98	93.21	90.23(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-50	-27	-45	0	80%	0.52	65.2	4.75%	0	-0.5	53	NAN
9	Aug_26_2013	66.93	93.96	96.03	94.29	94.86	95.01	94.43(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	30	0	-21	0	80%	0.62	58.9	4.74%	0	0	57	NAN
10	Aug_23_2013	66.52	92.86	96.7	94.67	94.97	94.76	94.5(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10	-2	-20	0	77%	0.65	55.1	4.74%	0	0.2	42	NAN

11	Aug_22_2013	66.09	91.79	97.33	95.05	95.05	94.7	92.54(-4.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-30	-4	-15	0.01	77%	0.64	53.7	4.79%	0	0.1	46	NAN
12	Aug_21_2013	65.67	90.83	98.14	96.08	94.17	95.18	96.67(3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-5	20	-10	9	0	77%	0.75	55	4.78%	0	0.5	66	NAN
13	Aug_20_2013	65.18	89.63	97.66	96.71	95.04	95.4	93.31(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-30	11	44	0	77%	0.7	55.5	4.81%	0	0.3	74	NAN
14	Aug_19_2013	64.73	88.54	97.64	98.03	96.04	93.16	96.32(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-270	-29	67	0	77%	0.81	57.4	4.81%	0	0.6	77	NAN
15	Aug_16_2013	64.21	87.27	98.21	99.04	97.43	94.69	96.39(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-20	-250	-62	106	0.01	77%	0.85	58.7	4.85%	0	0.7	78	NAN

16	Aug_15_2013	63.67	85.97	98.39	99.95	99.77	98.93	97.72(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-60	-20	172	0	77%	0.9	58.8	4.88%	0	0.9	77	NAN
17	Aug_14_2013	63.1	84.56	97.17	100.48	100.61	100.18	99.82(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	59	-30	7	214	0	77%	1.02	61.7	4.91%	0	1.1	78	NAN
18	Aug_13_2013	62.46	83.04	94.64	98.7	99.86	100.62	99.89(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	90	21	214	0.01	77%	1.05	61.9	4.95%	0	1.2	78	NAN
19	Aug_12_2013	61.81	81.52	91.85	97.13	96.7	101.04	101.36(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	300	20	210	0.01	77%	1.16	66	4.98%	0	1.5	81	NAN
20	Aug_9_2013	61.1	79.96	88.79	97.31	96.53	99.09	100.94(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	112	160	68	242	0.01	77%	1.19	79.4	5.02%	0	1.7	80	NAN

21	Aug_8_2013	60.38	78.56	85.82	96.73	96.7	92.37	100.38(10.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	-310	4	225	0.01	77%	1.24	97.9	5.06%	0	1.9	80	NAN
22	Aug_7_2013	59.64	76.82	82.87	93.45	95.62	93.98	90.93(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-50	-44	193	0.01	75%	1	106.5	4.96%	0	1.3	78	NAN
23	Aug_6_2013	59.05	75.43	80.92	89.75	93.85	101.04	92.05(-9.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	130	670	100	221	0.02	75%	1.1	103.1	4.99%	0	1.6	77	NAN
24	Aug_5_2013	58.41	73.73	78.68	85.4	86.88	97.27	102.27(4.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	204	890	196	227	0.02	82%	1.49	95.7	4.79%	0	2.7	92	NAN
25	Aug_2_2013	57.55	71.31	75.25	78.93	78.77	86.66	98(16.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	166	700	171	152	0.02	82%		88	4.82%	0	2.8	85	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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