Trading Signals: APTV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: APTV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 17, 2011 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aptiv PLC)
APTV latest price $22.1400 (-1.77%) ($21.7600 - $22.4400) on Thu. Jan. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $22.1400(-1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APTV advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APTV advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APTV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(65%)    PEJ(65%)    XLY(63%)    SPY(62%)    EWG(60%)
Factors Impacting APTV price   APTV will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.98(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.8(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.57(2.64%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $5.978b

Aptiv Plc engages in the design, development, and manufacture of vehicle components. The firm also provides electrical, electronic, and safety technology solutions to the global automotive and commercial vehicle markets. It operates through the following business segments: Signal and Power Solutions; Advanced Safety and User Experience segments; and Eliminations and Other. The Signal and Power Solutions segment covers component and systems integration expertise in infotainment and connectivity; body controls and security systems; displays; passive and active safety electronics; autonomous driving software and technologies; and software development. The Eliminations and Other segment comprises of elimination of inter-segment transactions, other expenses, and income of a non-operating or strategic nature. The company was founded on May 19, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. APTV price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.64%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.09%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.6%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2012	21.21	21.57	21.8	21.98	22.15	22.45	22.14(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	120	12	79	0.67	52%	0.14	33.9	1.8%	0	1.2	71	NAN
2	Jan_4_2012	21.18	21.56	21.73	21.79	21.92	22.49	22.54(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	43	200	32	75	0.39	52%	0.19	44.6	1.8%	0	2.1	63	NAN
3	Jan_3_2012	21.14	21.52	21.58	21.61	21.61	21.85	22.24(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	80	17	47	0.98	52%	0.19	55.9	1.82%	0	1.7	57	NAN
4	Dec_30_2011	21.1	21.47	21.45	21.55	21.59	21.35	21.54(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-70	-6	24	0.13	46%	0.05	79.1	1.75%	0	0.2	46	NAN
5	Dec_29_2011	21.09	21.44	21.39	21.6	21.73	21.37	21.42(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-100	-14	15	0.29	46%	0.09	93	1.78%	0	-0	46	NAN

6	Dec_28_2011	21.07	21.41	21.32	21.59	21.73	21.84	21.19(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	40	-10	-3	0.14	46%	0	100	1.8%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
7	Dec_27_2011	21.07	21.36	21.33	21.66	21.81	22.08	21.65(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	110	19	3	0.44	50%	0.1	82.3	1.79%	0	0.6	41	NAN
8	Dec_23_2011	21.05	21.29	21.31	21.52	21.62	21.79	21.94(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	70	21	-12	0.54	50%	0.19	52.4	1.8%	0	1	51	NAN
9	Dec_22_2011	21.01	21.18	21.28	21.33	21.38	21.53	21.79(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	60	14	-27	0.37	50%	0.14	33.2	1.83%	0	0.9	55	NAN
10	Dec_21_2011	20.98	21.07	21.26	21.16	21.23	21.44	21.4(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	80	15	-29	0.27	50%	0.1	0	1.84%	0	0.5	59	NAN

11	Dec_20_2011	20.96	21	21.31	21.01	21.16	21.22	21.5(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	40	10	-28	0.32	50%	0.1	0	1.88%	0	0.7	60	NAN
12	Dec_19_2011	20.94	21	21.37	20.97	21.01	21.02	20.99(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	10	-10	-11	0.15	44%	0.05	0	1.84%	0	0.1	66	NAN
13	Dec_16_2011	20.93	20.94	21.45	21.08	21.14	21.1	20.97(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-0	-7	22	0.21	44%	0	0	1.89%	0	0	65	NAN
14	Dec_15_2011	20.93	20.96	21.45	21.23	21.24	21.01	20.96(1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-70	-13	56	0.71	44%	0	0	1.94%	0	0	68	NAN
15	Dec_14_2011	20.93	20.96	21.49	21.38	21.36	21.18	20.64(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-60	-24	-10	1.05	44%	-0.1	0	1.95%	0	26.1	67	NAN

16	Dec_13_2011	20.95	20.96	21.53	21.65	21.58	21.47	21.31(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-50	-12	-5	0.56	52%	0.14	0	1.87%	0	26.3	70	NAN
17	Dec_12_2011	20.92	20.96	21.42	21.82	21.7	21.54	21.51(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-70	-8	-3	0.43	52%	0.14	0	1.91%	0	25.9	65	NAN
18	Dec_9_2011	20.89	20.96	21.28	21.87	21.82	21.7	21.75(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-50	0	0	0.49	52%	0.29	0	1.95%	0	25.9	56	NAN
19	Dec_8_2011	20.83	20.96	21.08	21.79	21.81	21.85	21.69(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	20	8	3	0.38	52%	0.29	0	2.01%	0	25.8	52	NAN
20	Dec_7_2011	20.77	20.96	20.88	21.62	21.67	21.94	22(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	90	20	8	0.17	52%	0.48	0	2.04%	0	26.2	50	NAN

21	Dec_6_2011	20.67	20.96	20.66	21.38	21.37	21.77	22.13(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	130	32	13	0.52	52%	0.58	0	2.11%	0	28	50	NAN
22	Dec_5_2011	20.55	20.96	20.47	20.96	21.06	21.4	21.77(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	130	31	12	2.07	52%	0.54	0	2.16%	0	31.1	50	NAN
23	Dec_2_2011	20.44	20.96	20.37	20.61	20.63	20.98	21.37(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	120	25	10	0.58	52%	0.44	0	2.2%	0	34.5	50	NAN
24	Dec_1_2011	20.35	20.96	20.34	20.27	20.33	20.72	20.81(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	140	26	10	0.48	43%	0.25	0	2.13%	0	36.5	50	NAN
25	Nov_30_2011	20.3	20.96	20.34	20.03	20.04	20.28	20.84(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	90	19	8	0.57	43%		0	2.26%	0	35.9	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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