Trading Signals: APD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: APD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Air Products and Chemicals Inc.)
APD latest price $137.9100 (2.79%) ($134.4400 - $138.2000) on Thu. Oct. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $137.9100(2.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APD advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APD advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(73%)    IWD(68%)    VYM(68%)    IVE(67%)    SDY(66%)
Factors Impacting APD price   APD will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-11%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $133.66(3.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $130.61(5.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $132.46(4.11%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $30.464b

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. engages in the manufacture and distribution of atmospheric gases. It operates through the following segments: Industrial Gases-Americas; Industrial Gases-EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa); Industrial Gases-Asia; Industrial Gases-Global; and Corporate and Other. The Industrial Gases-America, EMEA and Asia segment markets and produces atmospheric gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; process gases such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, syngas, and specialty gases; and equipment for the production and processing of gases such as air separation units and non-cryogenic generators. The Industrial Gases-Global segment comprises cryogenic and gas processing equipment for air separation. The Corporate and Other segment includes LNG equipment and helium storage and distribution sale of equipment businesses and corporate support functions. The company was founded by Leonard Parker Pool on September 30, 1940 and is headquartered in Allentown, PA.

$. APD price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.89%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 6.07%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.78%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.22%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.51%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2015	139.46	132.46	130.61	133.66	133.82	134.97	137.91(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	92	60	100	68	1.55	57%	-0.06	-20.9	1.71%	0	1.3	53	INF
2	Oct_7_2015	139.55	132.34	129.69	131.93	131.93	133.22	134.17(1.04%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	37	70	50	-1	1.44	55%	-0.1	-36	1.71%	0	0.5	37	INF
3	Oct_6_2015	139.69	132.45	129.25	130.62	130.64	132.67	132.79(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	67	110	97	-23	0.93	55%	-0.11	-41.6	1.71%	0	0.1	34	INF
4	Oct_5_2015	139.84	132.74	129.16	129.22	129.2	130.64	132.92(1.84%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	67	80	105	-48	1.95	55%	-0.11	-49.8	1.71%	0	0	43	INF
5	Oct_2_2015	140	132.88	129.25	127.69	127.37	128.61	130.52(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	60	44	-98	1.74	53%	-0.12	-63.9	1.71%	0	-0.5	39	INF

6	Oct_1_2015	140.17	133.31	129.59	127.11	126.58	127.76	129.27(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	50	44	-113	2.26	54%	-0.11	-66.5	1.7%	0	-0.9	34	INF
7	Sep_30_2015	140.33	133.79	130.48	127.15	126.76	126.14	127.58(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	-40	9	-123	1.72	54%	-0.13	-65.4	1.7%	0	-1.4	29	INF
8	Sep_29_2015	140.51	134.24	131.55	127.73	127.19	125.4	125.82(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-115	-110	-100	-158	1.49	51%	-0.14	-64.9	1.69%	0	-1.9	23	INF
9	Sep_28_2015	140.71	134.94	132.57	129.09	128.83	127.38	125.25(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-105	-80	-93	-142	1.48	51%	-0.17	-54.4	1.74%	0	-2.4	18	INF
10	Sep_25_2015	140.95	135.74	133.66	131.01	130.6	128.97	127.63(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-85	-100	-76	-112	1.72	53%	-0.13	-44.4	1.73%	0	-2.3	34	INF

11	Sep_24_2015	141.13	136.42	134.58	132.41	132.12	130.28	129.46(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-105	-100	-103	-112	1.29	53%	-0.12	-38.2	1.72%	0	-2.3	31	INF
12	Sep_23_2015	141.3	136.87	135.34	134.32	133.84	132.24	130.48(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-96	-90	-98	-89	1.07	53%	-0.11	-36.8	1.72%	0	-2.5	34	INF
13	Sep_22_2015	141.45	137.14	136.05	135.96	135.78	133.97	132.62(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-63	-100	-67	-52	1.64	53%	-0.11	-46.3	1.71%	0	-2.1	46	INF
14	Sep_21_2015	141.6	137.17	136.73	136.56	136.84	135.45	134.87(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-62	-60	-67	-45	1.06	53%	-0.08	-66.9	1.7%	0	-1	42	INF
15	Sep_18_2015	141.72	137.32	136.86	136.68	136.99	137.59	134.6(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	40	-22	-36	1.72	52%	-0.06	-86.7	1.71%	0	-1.3	39	INF

16	Sep_17_2015	141.81	137.6	137.36	137.05	137.02	138.23	139.03(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	60	75	4	2.2	55%	-0.09	-94.3	1.67%	0	0.7	46	INF
17	Sep_16_2015	141.94	137.84	137.32	136.54	136.17	136.38	138.68(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	0	23	-22	1.1	56%	-0.11	-84.4	1.67%	0	0.3	52	INF
18	Sep_15_2015	142.09	138.16	137.04	136.25	135.98	135.8	135.62(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-20	-26	-44	0.94	54%	-0.11	-74	1.65%	0	-0.8	54	INF
19	Sep_14_2015	142.25	138.69	137.42	136.98	136.79	135.97	135.48(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-50	-18	-14	0.79	54%	-0.11	-62.8	1.65%	0	-0.9	58	INF
20	Sep_11_2015	142.4	139.23	137.94	137.06	137.4	136.16	136.42(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-60	-53	-19	1.41	54%	-0.1	-57.1	1.65%	0	-0.7	49	INF

21	Sep_10_2015	142.54	139.68	138.35	137.7	137.59	137.61	136.51(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-0	-51	-8	2.1	54%	-0.11	-52.6	1.65%	0	-0.8	45	INF
22	Sep_9_2015	142.69	140.11	138.51	138.18	138.46	138.64	137.22(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	20	39	19	1.19	54%	-0.11	-51.2	1.66%	0	-0.7	40	INF
23	Sep_8_2015	142.84	140.57	138.32	137.92	138.22	137.58	139.25(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-30	-12	-31	0.93	54%	-0.14	-50.8	1.65%	0	-0.3	40	INF
24	Sep_4_2015	143.04	140.99	137.68	137.98	137.68	138.27	135.9(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	20	-39	-77	0.99	50%	-0.11	-45.6	1.61%	0	-1.1	34	INF
25	Sep_3_2015	143.2	141.51	137.86	138.93	138.36	138.86	139.6(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	26	10	52	-51	0.88	53%		-37.1	1.58%	0	-0.4	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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