Trading Signals: APD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: APD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Air Products and Chemicals Inc.)
APD latest price $144.3200 (0.85%) ($141.6300 - $144.4600) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $144.3200(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APD advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APD declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(73%)    VYM(68%)    IVE(67%)    SPY(67%)    VT(67%)
Factors Impacting APD price   APD will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $141.59(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142.05(1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $143.62(0.49%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $31.879b

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. engages in the manufacture and distribution of atmospheric gases. It operates through the following segments: Industrial Gases-Americas; Industrial Gases-EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa); Industrial Gases-Asia; Industrial Gases-Global; and Corporate and Other. The Industrial Gases-America, EMEA and Asia segment markets and produces atmospheric gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; process gases such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, syngas, and specialty gases; and equipment for the production and processing of gases such as air separation units and non-cryogenic generators. The Industrial Gases-Global segment comprises cryogenic and gas processing equipment for air separation. The Corporate and Other segment includes LNG equipment and helium storage and distribution sale of equipment businesses and corporate support functions. The company was founded by Leonard Parker Pool on September 30, 1940 and is headquartered in Allentown, PA.

$. APD price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.06%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.22%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.36%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	143.59	143.62	142.05	141.59	141.42	142.87	144.32(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	70	75	14	0.88	50%	0.01	-19.5	1.41%	0	0.2	49	0
2	Jan_21_2015	143.57	143.77	141.82	140.72	140.65	141.47	143.1(1.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	49	40	70	-13	0.75	50%	-0.01	-10.8	1.43%	0	-0.2	41	0
3	Jan_20_2015	143.58	143.95	141.58	140.42	139.93	139.97	141.38(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10	-5	-69	0.97	50%	-0.05	-0.4	1.43%	0	-0.8	34	0
4	Jan_16_2015	143.65	144.12	141.53	140.62	140.32	139.83	139.71(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-30	-28	-97	1.46	50%	-0.08	3	1.44%	0	-1.3	29	0
5	Jan_15_2015	143.77	144.23	142.08	141.35	141.19	139.9	139.46(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-75	-70	-64	-108	0.92	50%	-0.1	8.3	1.46%	0	-1.5	30	0

6	Jan_14_2015	143.91	144.17	142.57	142.56	142.21	140.82	139.93(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-92	-80	-86	-109	1.02	50%	-0.09	8.1	1.48%	0	-1.4	30	0
7	Jan_13_2015	144.04	144.1	143.22	143.03	143.46	142.47	141.62(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-40	-34	-86	0.69	50%	-0.06	0.4	1.49%	0	-0.7	35	0
8	Jan_12_2015	144.13	143.96	143.86	142.85	143.34	143.6	142.37(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	20	-18	-79	0.53	50%	-0.04	-11.4	1.52%	0	-0.4	39	0
9	Jan_9_2015	144.19	144.02	144.5	142.53	142.98	144.45	143.36(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	27	80	51	-45	0.74	50%	-0.02	-16	1.54%	0	-0.2	49	0
10	Jan_8_2015	144.22	143.97	145	142.95	142.41	143.09	145.54(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	34	20	53	-22	1	50%	0.03	-17	1.54%	0	0.4	62	0

11	Jan_7_2015	144.17	143.91	145.27	142.68	142.43	141.52	142.25(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-50	-32	-33	0.68	45%	-0.06	-18.1	1.5%	0	-0.4	65	0
12	Jan_6_2015	144.25	144.08	145.84	143.52	143.27	141.74	140.73(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-77	-80	-96	-20	1.19	45%	-0.1	-10.8	1.51%	0	-0.9	62	0
13	Jan_5_2015	144.39	144.39	146.52	145.04	144.7	143.35	140.78(-3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-62	-70	-91	27	1.76	45%	-0.11	0	1.55%	0	-0.9	60	0
14	Jan_2_2015	144.55	144.65	146.98	146.71	146.25	144.8	145.43(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-37	-80	-73	72	1.35	53%	0.03	0	1.43%	0	0.2	55	0
15	Dec_31_2014	144.51	144.64	146.62	147.34	147.37	146.05	144.23(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-42	-60	-82	77	1.04	53%	-0.01	0	1.45%	0	-0.1	56	0

16	Dec_30_2014	144.52	144.62	146	148.21	148.21	147.7	146.44(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-20	-46	89	0.65	58%	0.06	0	1.44%	0	0.5	53	0
17	Dec_29_2014	144.43	144.5	145.16	148.49	148.64	148.7	148.34(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	10	8	95	0.53	58%	0.15	0	1.45%	0	1	54	0
18	Dec_26_2014	144.22	144.5	144.16	148.23	148.33	148.72	149.12(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	20	26	10	0.32	58%	0.19	0	1.48%	0	41	52	0
19	Dec_24_2014	143.95	144.5	143.52	147.3	147.69	148.58	148.58(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	51	50	60	24	0.27	58%	0.19	0	1.52%	0	41.9	54	0
20	Dec_23_2014	143.68	144.5	142.81	145.77	146.43	147.94	148.58(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	87	90	102	41	0.67	58%	0.22	0	1.56%	0	42.8	54	0

21	Dec_22_2014	143.37	144.5	142.34	143.42	144.1	146.8	147.83(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	105	150	123	49	0.99	58%	0.21	0	1.61%	0	44.3	56	0
22	Dec_19_2014	143.07	144.5	142.01	141.32	141.62	144.92	147.04(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	135	170	159	64	2.29	58%	0.2	0	1.67%	0	45.4	55	0
23	Dec_18_2014	142.79	144.5	141.88	139.52	139.47	141.4	144.45(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	94	100	110	44	2.26	53%	0.09	0	1.67%	0	45.6	50	0
24	Dec_17_2014	142.66	144.5	141.94	139.29	138.62	138.32	140.96(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-30	4	2	1.57	42%	-0.1	0	1.57%	0	43.4	50	0
25	Dec_16_2014	142.8	144.5	142.37	139.5	139.61	137.55	136.82(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-89	-100	-104	-42	1.24	21%		0	1.29%	0	40.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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