Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 25, 2023

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $39.7150 (1.22%) ($39.7150 - $39.7150) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.49% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $39.7150(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(84%)    XLE(80%)    OIH(76%)    USO(70%)    VYM(39%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-5%)    JETS(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLY(-3%)    VXX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.245% (StdDev 2.49%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.69(2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.09(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.33(9.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.4%
Market Cap   $476.818b

$. APA price fluctuates within 5.92% (three month std-dev: 2.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -4.2%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.25%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.27%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2023	35.25	36.33	38.09	38.69	38.86	39.48	39.72(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	120	24	128	4.04	46%	0	65.9	2.49%	1.2	1.6	75	1.2
2	Jul_24_2023	35.25	35.99	37.84	38.32	38.44	38.92	39.24(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	100	29	137	3.82	46%	-0.06	60.9	2.54%	1.1	1.6	75	1.6
3	Jul_21_2023	35.27	35.66	37.43	37.78	38.1	38.24	38.56(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	50	20	122	3.21	46%	-0.06	49.7	2.54%	1.8	1.4	71	1.1
4	Jul_20_2023	35.29	35.39	37.08	37.39	37.59	38.24	37.88(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	90	1	110	2.87	44%	-0.06	45.4	2.54%	-0.3	1.3	72	1.4
5	Jul_19_2023	35.31	35.2	36.68	37.53	37.27	37.97	38.06(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	110	16	127	2.88	44%	0	51.1	2.56%	0.7	1.5	75	1.5

6	Jul_18_2023	35.31	34.96	36.31	37.42	37.39	37.21	37.88(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-40	16	136	3.54	44%	-0.03	54	2.57%	1.5	1.6	75	1.9
7	Jul_17_2023	35.32	34.77	35.93	37.3	37.26	36.58	36.54(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-130	-16	131	3.05	39%	-0.08	57.9	2.53%	-0.9	1	69	1.4
8	Jul_14_2023	35.35	34.67	35.71	37	37.44	37.58	36.62(-4.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	60	5	141	4.48	39%	-0.08	56.9	2.56%	-1.3	1.2	72	1.2
9	Jul_13_2023	35.38	34.51	35.43	36.66	37.05	37.93	38.54(2.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	73	200	46	155	4.46	42%	0.03	51.1	2.48%	1.8	2.6	77	1
10	Jul_12_2023	35.37	34.25	34.88	35.69	36.06	37.31	37.51(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	65	270	49	113	7.74	39%	0	44.5	2.47%	1	2.6	65	1.1

11	Jul_11_2023	35.37	34.02	34.4	35.05	35.14	36.16	37.29(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	61	210	52	86	6.95	39%	0.06	38.4	2.47%	1.7	3.2	67	-0.3
12	Jul_10_2023	35.35	33.81	33.97	34.4	34.4	34.8	35.04(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	80	21	42	2.68	33%	-0.08	28.9	2.35%	0.9	1.8	53	-0.5
13	Jul_7_2023	35.38	33.75	33.72	34.25	34.16	34.12	34.92(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-20	9	17	5.67	33%	-0.17	39.7	2.37%	1.6	1.9	50	-0.3
14	Jul_6_2023	35.44	33.72	33.54	34.02	34.09	34.01	33.68(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10	-2	2	3.07	28%	-0.23	53.8	2.34%	-0.7	-0.1	52	-0.6
15	Jul_5_2023	35.52	33.7	33.59	33.92	34.11	34.19	34.33(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	30	12	6	3.04	28%	-0.45	55.4	2.33%	-0.2	1.1	52	0.9

16	Jul_3_2023	35.68	33.63	33.5	33.63	33.83	34.17	34.05(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	90	11	-4	1.7	36%	-0.25	40.7	2.35%	0	0.7	56	1.2
17	Jun_30_2023	35.77	33.61	33.52	33.45	33.53	34.03	34.28(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	16	110	21	-1	3.95	36%	-0.2	35.9	2.61%	1.2	1.2	55	1
18	Jun_29_2023	35.84	33.51	33.54	33.11	33.25	33.49	33.78(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	60	15	-13	2.44	36%	-0.25	1.6	2.61%	1.7	0.4	48	1
19	Jun_28_2023	35.93	33.41	33.51	33	32.95	33.04	33.17(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	10	-5	-31	3.52	36%	-0.31	-16.3	2.6%	1	-0.3	43	1.2
20	Jun_27_2023	36.04	33.37	33.58	33.22	32.96	33.02	32.87(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10	-4	-18	3.18	39%	-0.25	-15	2.6%	-0.3	-0.6	50	1.1

21	Jun_26_2023	36.13	33.4	33.62	33.36	33.31	32.86	33.17(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-100	-7	-15	2.86	39%	-0.25	-10.4	2.63%	1.2	-0.3	52	1
22	Jun_23_2023	36.22	33.41	33.65	33.6	33.4	32.91	32.56(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-120	-31	-17	4.31	39%	-0.28	1.7	2.62%	-1.1	-1.1	45	1.1
23	Jun_22_2023	36.32	33.5	33.82	34.02	33.86	33.76	33.26(-2.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-0	-30	-7	21	3.15	39%	-0.3	27.4	2.61%	-0.6	-0.3	58	1.4
24	Jun_21_2023	36.43	33.53	33.93	34.07	34.11	33.9	34.27(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-40	3	45	3.12	46%	-0.27	42.4	2.6%	0.5	0.9	65	1.3
25	Jun_20_2023	36.53	33.49	33.83	34	33.93	33.95	33.54(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-0	-6	43	3.82	49%		43.8	2.74%	-1.1	0.1	59	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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