Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 13, 2023

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $40.4850 (2.07%) ($40.4850 - $40.4850) on Thu. Apr. 13, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.96% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $40.4850(2.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(40%)    XLE(38%)    XOP(38%)    IWD(36%)    XRT(36%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-24%)    SHY(-22%)    IGOV(-22%)    VIXM(-19%)    GLD(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.48% (StdDev 2.96%)
Hourly BBV 2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.46(2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.47(5.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.48(10.98%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $486.063b

$. APA price fluctuates within 6.94% (three month std-dev: 2.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.94%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.97%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.42%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -3.27%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.35%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.62%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2023	41.44	36.48	38.47	39.46	39.8	40.08	40.49(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	80	19	128	4.8	53%	-0.14	50.6	2.96%	2	1.6	81	1.4
2	Apr_12_2023	41.5	36.05	38.01	38.98	39.17	39.82	39.67(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	130	15	124	3.54	55%	-0.22	33.9	2.94%	0.1	1.4	77	1.2
3	Apr_11_2023	41.59	35.79	37.63	38.62	38.78	39.53	39.97(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	150	25	122	4.26	55%	-0.12	23.5	2.98%	1.3	1.8	70	1.3
4	Apr_10_2023	41.64	35.51	37.17	38.47	38.26	38.53	39.1(2.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	30	19	133	4.65	55%	-0.31	12.3	2.97%	1.4	1.7	76	1.4
5	Apr_6_2023	41.77	35.32	36.71	37.84	38.29	38.04	38.09(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10	16	131	5.08	55%	-0.24	-7.3	2.93%	0.5	1.4	77	0.4

6	Apr_5_2023	41.87	35.24	36.31	37.3	37.78	37.99	38.1(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	80	6	119	5.1	55%	-0.26	-22.3	2.95%	-0.6	1.4	70	0.4
7	Apr_4_2023	41.98	35.22	35.93	36.86	37.09	38.54	37.86(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	290	29	130	7.32	53%	-0.24	-30.4	2.95%	-0	1.3	72	0.3
8	Apr_3_2023	42.08	35.25	35.65	36.47	36.6	37.58	39.21(9.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	74	200	55	132	8.45	51%	-0.21	-31.7	2.96%	1.6	1.8	62	0.1
9	Mar_31_2023	42.17	35.24	35	35.72	35.77	35.65	35.94(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-20	8	85	4.84	45%	-0.28	-36.2	2.82%	0.6	0.3	55	0.1
10	Mar_30_2023	42.29	35.47	34.6	35.41	35.65	35.62	35.39(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	10	3	51	6.69	45%	-0.24	-33.7	2.83%	-2	-0	48	-0.1

11	Mar_29_2023	42.39	35.69	34.34	35.14	35.42	35.9	35.89(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	120	15	22	5.85	45%	-0.33	-33.4	2.84%	0.4	0.1	45	-0.2
12	Mar_28_2023	42.53	35.86	33.95	34.83	34.95	35.68	35.91(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	160	20	-22	4.15	42%	-0.33	-33	2.82%	1.1	0	41	-0.3
13	Mar_27_2023	42.67	35.97	33.81	34.7	34.56	34.94	35.45(2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	60	23	-48	5.62	42%	-0.33	-33.2	2.87%	1.7	-0.2	37	-0.5
14	Mar_24_2023	42.81	36.15	33.7	34.2	34.52	34.22	34.43(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-30	16	-98	5.02	40%	-0.3	-35.8	2.84%	0	-0.6	31	-0.6
15	Mar_23_2023	42.94	36.38	33.81	33.66	34.15	34.17	34.01(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	50	0	-148	6.23	44%	-0.26	-42.3	2.86%	-2.1	-0.8	28	-0.8

16	Mar_22_2023	43.05	36.64	34.08	33.4	33.56	34.83	34.34(-2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	280	26	-157	8.71	42%	-0.28	-48.9	2.96%	0.7	-0.8	32	-0.8
17	Mar_21_2023	43.17	36.81	34.43	32.93	33.16	34.13	35.27(7.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	230	41	-171	8.69	45%	-0.25	-61.3	2.98%	1.8	-0.5	36	-0.8
18	Mar_20_2023	43.28	36.95	34.77	32.84	32.32	32.3	32.93(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-56	-50	-9	-196	5.21	41%	-0.28	-68.2	2.92%	1.3	-1.4	33	-1
19	Mar_17_2023	43.4	37.23	35.46	33.18	32.73	32.19	31.75(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-160	-27	-195	15.84	38%	-0.34	-77.9	2.85%	-0.9	-2	26	-1.3
20	Mar_16_2023	43.55	37.67	36.39	34	33.47	32.34	32.72(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-74	-280	-42	-168	6.27	40%	-0.32	-80.1	2.86%	-0.4	-2	29	-1.2

21	Mar_15_2023	43.69	38.11	37.16	34.86	34.25	33.26	31.97(-8.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-83	-250	-61	-148	10.38	40%	-0.3	-79	2.85%	-1.6	-2.7	25	-1.5
22	Mar_14_2023	43.82	38.65	37.97	36.13	35.51	34.6	34.82(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-230	-40	-99	8.13	44%	-0.2	-78.5	2.67%	-1.4	-1.9	41	-1.6
23	Mar_13_2023	43.91	39.04	38.36	36.99	36.45	35.24	34.64(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-62	-280	-56	-78	7.54	47%	-0.2	-68.3	2.67%	-1.4	-2.2	39	-2
24	Mar_10_2023	44	39.49	38.87	38.09	37.56	36.41	35.87(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-260	-53	-36	5.31	53%	-0.14	-52.1	2.77%	-1.8	-1.9	43	-2.3
25	Mar_9_2023	44.06	39.77	39.22	39.14	38.61	37.65	37(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-210	-42	-4	5.39	55%		-45.3	2.77%	-2	-1.6	38	-2.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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