Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 16, 2019

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $28.4500 (16.89%) ($25.8500 - $29.1100) on Mon. Sep. 16, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.39% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $28.4500(16.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(21%)    XOP(21%)    IYT(20%)    IWD(18%)    OIH(18%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    BWX(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    VXX(-7%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.695% (StdDev 3.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.86(14.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.74(19.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.64(25.66%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   42.7%
Market Cap   $341.571b

$. APA price fluctuates within 7.6% (three month std-dev: 3.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 4.57%(77%) Average negative next day return: -6.71%(23%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 6.87%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -6.09%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 10.45%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.16%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20191016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2019	26.19	22.64	23.74	24.86	24.83	25.88	28.45(16.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	88	290	62	167	17.81	53%	-0.19	64.1	3.39%	0	3.4	87	1.5
2	Sep_13_2019	26.24	22.24	23.02	23.9	23.91	23.87	24.34(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	-10	17	147	3.95	42%	-0.38	69.3	2.67%	0	1.9	81	1.8
3	Sep_12_2019	26.34	22.02	22.78	23.51	23.67	23.79	23.84(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	60	8	129	3.77	41%	-0.45	49.2	2.66%	0	1.7	68	1.8
4	Sep_11_2019	26.46	21.83	22.56	23.27	23.34	23.95	23.99(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	190	24	124	5.08	41%	-0.45	36.2	2.68%	0	2	66	1.7
5	Sep_10_2019	26.58	21.71	22.25	22.88	22.99	23.55	23.7(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	180	36	101	4.93	41%	-0.52	24.7	2.68%	0	2.1	64	1.6

6	Sep_9_2019	26.72	21.59	21.97	22.42	22.5	22.73	23.65(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	35	80	26	63	6.12	41%	-0.11	3.6	2.68%	0	2.5	62	1.7
7	Sep_6_2019	26.75	21.59	21.67	22.01	21.96	22.43	22.35(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	140	7	32	3.85	39%	-0.52	-26.5	2.56%	0	1.2	63	1.9
8	Sep_5_2019	26.89	21.49	21.57	21.95	21.85	22.26	22.67(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	120	24	51	4.96	39%	-0.55	-39.3	2.59%	0	1.7	72	1.6
9	Sep_4_2019	27.04	21.44	21.46	21.74	21.7	21.5	22.04(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-70	11	51	4.05	40%	-0.55	-67.7	2.56%	0	0.9	68	1
10	Sep_3_2019	27.19	21.48	21.43	21.52	21.57	21.44	21.41(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-40	-6	29	4.96	40%	-0.87	-77	2.63%	0	-0.1	47	-0.2

11	Aug_30_2019	27.43	21.56	21.47	21.44	21.56	21.9	21.57(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	130	13	35	3.15	40%	-0.51	-60.4	2.64%	0	0	51	0.1
12	Aug_29_2019	27.57	21.68	21.4	21.26	21.35	21.7	22.04(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	130	16	16	4.47	40%	-0.51	-57.7	2.64%	0	0.3	50	0.1
13	Aug_28_2019	27.71	21.77	21.2	21.15	21.09	21.21	21.63(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	30	3	-20	4	40%	-0.5	-54.3	2.63%	0	-0.1	44	-0.4
14	Aug_27_2019	27.85	21.89	21.05	21.17	21.14	21.01	20.96(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-50	-8	-43	5.23	38%	-0.54	-52.3	2.59%	0	-0.7	44	-0.8
15	Aug_26_2019	28	22.05	21.14	21.33	21.36	20.97	21(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-120	-15	-46	4.65	38%	-0.53	-50.5	2.61%	0	-0.8	39	-0.6

16	Aug_23_2019	28.15	22.16	21.19	21.51	21.55	21.28	20.69(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-80	-12	-52	7.44	36%	-0.46	-48.3	2.61%	0	-1.1	35	-1.1
17	Aug_22_2019	28.28	22.32	21.32	21.54	21.7	21.76	21.46(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	40	13	-60	4.56	35%	-0.39	-48.3	2.67%	0	-0.6	34	-0
18	Aug_21_2019	28.39	22.46	21.4	21.23	21.39	21.81	21.73(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	160	20	-88	5.03	37%	-0.46	-50.6	2.72%	0	-0.5	35	0.2
19	Aug_20_2019	28.52	22.6	21.42	20.9	20.89	21.65	21.75(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	250	14	-128	2.92	37%	-0.49	-55.1	2.75%	0	-0.6	34	-0.3
20	Aug_19_2019	28.66	22.73	21.52	20.93	20.62	20.97	21.9(5.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-22	70	17	-137	5.53	37%	-0.45	-57.9	2.75%	0	-0.6	37	-0.2

21	Aug_16_2019	28.79	22.82	21.63	20.86	20.66	20.13	20.84(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-51	-210	-14	-160	5.32	33%	-0.48	-66.4	2.68%	0	-1.4	36	-1
22	Aug_15_2019	28.93	22.99	21.95	21.09	20.95	20.26	19.93(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-72	-250	-42	-163	5.15	30%	-0.55	-75.3	2.6%	0	-2.3	26	-1.7
23	Aug_14_2019	29.09	23.19	22.37	21.59	21.54	21.18	20.08(-8.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-53	-120	-27	-132	6.01	32%	-0.55	-87.3	2.6%	0	-2.6	26	-2.1
24	Aug_13_2019	29.25	23.42	22.82	21.98	21.96	21.64	21.92(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-100	-14	-117	15.61	34%	-0.44	-105.3	2.45%	0	-1.5	30	-1
25	Aug_12_2019	29.38	23.58	23.04	22.18	22.04	21.9	21.55(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-60	-25	-113	9.21	34%		-99.6	2.46%	0	-1.8	32	-1.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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