Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 12, 2019

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $36.5000 (2.41%) ($36.1800 - $38.1150) on Fri. Apr. 12, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $36.5000(2.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(24%)    EMHY(21%)    IYT(21%)    OIH(21%)    DIA(19%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    BWX(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    VXX(-9%)    UUP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.66(2.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35(4.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.04(4.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $438.219b

$. APA price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.59%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.39%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.95%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.6%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2019	32.45	35.04	35	35.66	35.74	36.27	36.5(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	110	31	43	6.47	57%	0.12	56.4	2.06%	0	1.8	58	2.4
2	Apr_11_2019	32.41	34.93	34.8	35.47	35.4	35.4	35.64(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10	20	29	3.06	55%	0	69.9	2.06%	0	1	55	1.6
3	Apr_10_2019	32.41	34.86	34.73	35.02	35.18	35.22	35.72(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	20	19	0	3.15	55%	0.03	59.9	2.06%	0	1.2	47	1.3
4	Apr_9_2019	32.4	34.79	34.65	34.49	34.6	35.4	34.88(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	170	14	-29	2.7	57%	-0.06	49	2.04%	0	0.1	48	0.6
5	Apr_8_2019	32.42	34.73	34.71	34.37	34.27	35.15	35.56(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	26	170	39	-15	3.38	57%	-0.06	38.8	2.11%	0	1	56	1.2

6	Apr_5_2019	32.44	34.6	34.64	34.25	34.01	33.8	35.57(6.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	-60	14	-32	5.55	57%	-0.03	25.9	2.11%	0	1	53	1.3
7	Apr_4_2019	32.45	34.42	34.55	34.07	34.09	33.38	33.37(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-140	-40	-63	5.9	55%	-0.09	11.8	1.97%	0	-1.1	46	1.2
8	Apr_3_2019	32.48	34.42	34.82	34.41	34.63	34.23	33.06(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-29	-60	-29	-28	5.19	55%	-0.06	21.1	2.03%	0	-1.3	46	1
9	Apr_2_2019	32.5	34.43	35.06	34.8	34.91	34.81	34.28(-1.97%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-11	-10	-16	3	2.82	62%	-0.06	29.3	1.97%	0	-0.1	52	1.2
10	Apr_1_2019	32.52	34.41	35.06	35.08	35.06	35.03	34.97(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-2	28	3.33	64%	-0.06	40.1	1.98%	0	0.6	61	1.2

11	Mar_29_2019	32.54	34.34	35.1	35.07	35.24	35.01	34.66(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-30	-2	46	3.89	64%	-0.06	41.6	1.98%	0	0.3	66	1
12	Mar_28_2019	32.56	34.31	35.09	35.1	35.15	35.1	35.09(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10	-16	64	3.07	64%	-0.09	44	1.98%	0	0.8	73	0.7
13	Mar_27_2019	32.59	34.21	35.02	35.3	35.23	35.47	35.02(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	40	4	91	2.61	64%	-0.06	50.2	2%	0	0.8	60	0.2
14	Mar_26_2019	32.61	34.14	34.96	35.35	35.31	35.2	35.66(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-30	14	114	2.76	68%	-0.06	50.8	1.99%	0	1.5	66	0.4
15	Mar_25_2019	32.63	34.01	34.76	35.12	35.13	35	34.92(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-30	-11	88	3.35	67%	-0.03	46.5	2.12%	0	0.9	56	-0.9

16	Mar_22_2019	32.64	33.93	34.56	35.14	35.16	35.41	34.82(-3.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	50	7	88	4.1	62%	-0.06	49.1	2.21%	0	0.9	56	-1
17	Mar_21_2019	32.66	33.86	34.3	35.06	35.05	35.26	36.08(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	40	22	79	3.7	66%	-0.06	52.6	2.17%	0	2.4	60	1.4
18	Mar_20_2019	32.68	33.71	34	34.7	34.7	34.91	35.29(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	40	9	60	4.33	58%	-0.06	57.3	2.17%	0	2.1	62	1.3
19	Mar_19_2019	32.7	33.63	33.74	34.51	34.55	34.85	34.49(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	60	14	45	2.77	56%	-0.06	74.8	2.32%	0	1.3	55	1.7
20	Mar_18_2019	32.72	33.57	33.66	34.35	34.35	34.49	35.01(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	30	22	47	2.89	53%	-0.06	91.4	2.32%	0	2.2	61	1.8

21	Mar_15_2019	32.74	33.47	33.5	33.89	33.97	34.25	34.45(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	60	19	28	5.01	53%	-0.12	112.4	2.33%	0	1.7	56	2.2
22	Mar_14_2019	32.78	33.38	33.44	33.39	33.57	34.21	34.27(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	150	23	11	3.14	50%	-0.12	109.1	2.35%	0	1.6	55	2
23	Mar_13_2019	32.82	33.29	33.33	33.19	33.03	33.69	34.32(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	22	130	28	4	3.73	50%	-0.18	102.4	2.4%	0	1.8	56	1.8
24	Mar_12_2019	32.88	33.13	33.24	32.88	32.73	32.92	33.68(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	30	12	-18	5.92	50%	-0.24	59.1	2.39%	0	0.8	49	1.8
25	Mar_11_2019	32.96	32.97	33.17	32.89	32.67	32.37	32.75(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-80	-11	-29	4.67	48%		31.9	2.38%	0	-0.2	47	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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