Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $41.7500 (-1.3%) ($41.6100 - $42.3723) on Tue. Sep. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $41.7500(-1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(29%)    OIH(25%)    XLE(24%)    IYT(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.23(-1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.21(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.36(3.44%)
To recent high   -16.9%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $501.251b

$. APA price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.32%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.24%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.02%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2017	45.96	40.36	41.21	42.23	42.22	42.17	41.75(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	31	-10	3	115	1.87	44%	-0.17	43.3	2.18%	0	1.1	67	INF
2	Sep_18_2017	46.04	40.25	40.99	41.98	42.1	42.33	42.3(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	50	20	115	2.55	44%	-0.13	31.2	2.18%	0	1.7	66	INF
3	Sep_15_2017	46.1	40.13	40.71	41.47	41.59	42.27	42.52(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	120	32	97	3.1	48%	-0.13	13	2.23%	0	2.2	62	INF
4	Sep_14_2017	46.16	39.99	40.33	40.83	40.93	41.87	42.22(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	170	37	69	4.12	46%	-0.17	-16.3	2.22%	0	2.3	61	INF
5	Sep_13_2017	46.24	39.89	39.94	40.53	40.31	40.91	42.34(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	37	90	34	46	4.4	46%	-0.17	-44.7	2.25%	0	3	59	INF

6	Sep_12_2017	46.32	39.83	39.58	40.09	40.03	39.98	40.52(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10	12	15	2.39	41%	-0.17	-84.5	2.19%	0	1	53	INF
7	Sep_11_2017	46.4	39.87	39.45	39.87	39.95	39.72	39.76(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-30	-7	-2	2.56	41%	-0.22	-99.5	2.17%	0	-0.1	52	INF
8	Sep_8_2017	46.5	39.99	39.47	39.81	39.94	40.07	39.3(-3.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	30	1	-3	3.73	44%	-0.21	-97.1	2.2%	0	-0.7	43	INF
9	Sep_7_2017	46.6	40.14	39.54	39.72	39.79	40.19	40.73(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	80	26	4	4.13	45%	-0.17	-94.5	2.16%	0	0.5	55	INF
10	Sep_6_2017	46.68	40.27	39.47	39.25	39.36	39.8	40.13(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	90	20	-19	2.9	47%	-0.24	-102.7	2.17%	0	-0.1	45	INF

11	Sep_5_2017	46.79	40.45	39.43	39	39.02	39.4	39.42(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	70	14	-42	2.89	47%	-0.28	-104.1	2.19%	0	-0.7	33	INF
12	Sep_1_2017	46.92	40.68	39.44	38.98	38.82	38.92	39.48(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	10	2	-61	2.96	47%	-0.28	-95.2	2.17%	0	-0.6	33	INF
13	Aug_31_2017	47.05	40.95	39.52	39.1	38.92	38.63	38.84(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-70	-13	-76	4.99	47%	-0.34	-101.2	2.17%	0	-1	24	INF
14	Aug_30_2017	47.21	41.21	39.63	39.34	39.29	38.73	38.37(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-41	-100	-25	-90	4.72	47%	-0.32	-94	2.17%	0	-1.2	18	INF
15	Aug_29_2017	47.36	41.67	39.86	39.71	39.65	39.21	38.87(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-42	-80	-24	-94	3.11	47%	-0.34	-82.2	2.17%	0	-1	16	INF

16	Aug_28_2017	47.52	42.14	40.12	39.91	39.96	39.85	39.35(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-20	-7	-96	3.89	47%	-0.27	-72.9	2.18%	0	-0.9	16	INF
17	Aug_25_2017	47.65	42.63	40.34	39.95	40	40.09	40.06(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	20	1	-109	2.4	44%	-0.29	-65.3	2.18%	0	-0.8	17	INF
18	Aug_24_2017	47.79	43.1	40.56	40	39.91	40.06	40.03(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	20	4	-121	1.89	44%	-0.25	-59.2	2.24%	0	-0.9	14	INF
19	Aug_23_2017	47.91	43.6	40.8	39.97	39.95	39.91	40.24(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	-10	1	-132	3.81	44%	-0.23	-58	2.24%	0	-0.9	28	INF
20	Aug_22_2017	48.02	44.02	41.11	40.05	40.01	39.76	39.89(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-53	-50	-17	-162	3.01	43%	-0.25	-58.7	2.23%	0	-1.1	17	INF

21	Aug_21_2017	48.14	44.47	41.52	40.38	40.36	39.98	39.52(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-60	-70	-21	-178	4.07	43%	-0.25	-56.9	2.24%	0	-1.4	13	INF
22	Aug_18_2017	48.26	44.9	42.01	40.79	40.77	40.26	40.31(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-90	-25	-192	3.05	45%	-0.25	-57.7	2.26%	0	-1.3	13	INF
23	Aug_17_2017	48.38	45.32	42.49	41.2	41.22	40.74	39.89(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-75	-80	-31	-208	2.73	45%	-0.27	-56.6	2.25%	0	-1.6	10	INF
24	Aug_16_2017	48.51	45.81	42.93	41.75	41.75	41.29	40.63(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-77	-80	-28	-222	3.31	45%	-0.23	-54.2	2.25%	0	-1.6	10	INF
25	Aug_15_2017	48.62	46.28	43.63	42.34	42.23	41.7	41.54(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-77	-100	-31	-213	4.04	45%		-50.8	2.23%	0	-1.6	22	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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