Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $48.8600 (1.88%) ($48.5400 - $49.7500) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.02% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $48.8600(1.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(29%)    OIH(26%)    XLE(24%)    IYT(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.01% (StdDev 2.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.89(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.54(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.85(2.11%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $586.613b

$. APA price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 2.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.07%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -0.54%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.7%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2017	49.36	47.85	48.54	48.89	48.99	48.61	48.86(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-50	8	74	3.56	50%	-0.08	57.1	2.02%	0	0.9	55	0
2	Jul_24_2017	49.4	47.72	48.38	48.66	48.91	48.53	47.96(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-40	-24	42	2.62	50%	-0.08	37.8	2.05%	0	0.2	45	0
3	Jul_21_2017	49.44	47.63	48.31	48.81	48.95	49.36	48.41(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	70	3	54	3.35	50%	-0.08	27.3	2.04%	0	0.6	52	0
4	Jul_20_2017	49.48	47.5	48.01	48.84	48.87	49.28	49.35(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	60	28	54	3.46	50%	-0.06	19.5	2.03%	0	1.4	57	0
5	Jul_19_2017	49.51	47.31	47.66	48.61	48.52	48.55	49.86(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-0	15	34	6.1	48%	-0.06	7.5	2.03%	0	2	60	0

6	Jul_18_2017	49.54	47.18	47.41	48.16	48.3	48.46	47.73(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	30	4	23	2.32	42%	-0.1	-8.8	1.97%	0	0.5	58	0
7	Jul_17_2017	49.59	47.27	47.55	48.05	48.13	48.5	48.68(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	60	20	43	3.01	42%	-0.1	-5.2	2.02%	0	1.1	62	0
8	Jul_14_2017	49.64	47.29	47.45	47.74	47.78	48.15	48.56(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	60	31	48	2.31	42%	-0.1	-7.5	2.02%	0	1	62	0
9	Jul_13_2017	49.69	47.25	47.33	47.05	47.3	47.77	48.24(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	90	29	34	2.62	41%	-0.12	-20	2.03%	0	0.8	63	0
10	Jul_12_2017	49.75	47.21	47.21	46.55	46.66	47.42	47.58(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	120	17	20	3.22	41%	-0.18	-27.5	2.05%	0	0.3	61	0

11	Jul_11_2017	49.84	47.28	47.08	46.57	46.41	46.84	47.2(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	50	10	10	3.35	41%	-0.06	-22.2	2.04%	0	-0.1	48	0
12	Jul_10_2017	49.87	47.34	46.99	46.99	46.72	45.9	47.11(4.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-140	-14	-5	5.68	43%	-0.16	-8.2	2.04%	0	-0.2	39	0
13	Jul_7_2017	49.95	47.4	46.89	47.16	47.28	45.99	45.11(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-53	-180	-58	-36	4.34	39%	-0.22	-0.7	1.99%	0	-1.6	32	0
14	Jul_6_2017	50.06	47.51	46.98	47.63	47.91	47.54	45.77(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-40	-35	-23	3.54	41%	-0.2	8.5	1.98%	0	-1.3	44	0
15	Jul_5_2017	50.16	47.57	46.99	47.9	48.14	48.56	47.65(-3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	13	80	19	-4	2.25	44%	-0.3	14.9	1.95%	0	0.1	50	0

16	Jul_3_2017	50.31	47.59	46.98	47.61	47.76	48.28	49.33(2.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	24	90	38	-17	1.28	47%	-0.16	10.5	1.9%	0	1.4	49	0
17	Jun_30_2017	50.39	47.45	46.97	46.99	47.16	47.71	47.93(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	90	28	-38	2.82	43%	-0.18	-9.3	1.86%	0	0.4	47	0
18	Jun_29_2017	50.48	47.41	47.1	46.62	46.78	47.23	47.45(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	80	32	-43	3.55	46%	-0.2	-20.8	1.87%	0	0	46	0
19	Jun_28_2017	50.58	47.4	47.12	46.25	46.34	46.61	47.14(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	50	18	-57	2.56	49%	-0.2	-39.3	1.93%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	Jun_27_2017	50.68	47.38	47.18	45.96	46.34	46.33	46.21(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	50	0	-70	2.12	47%	-0.24	-58.7	1.95%	0	-1	50	0

21	Jun_26_2017	50.8	47.46	47.47	46.26	46.07	46.06	46.21(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10	-17	-60	2.49	47%	-0.27	-61.1	1.95%	0	-1.1	44	0
22	Jun_23_2017	50.94	47.56	47.7	46.98	46.62	45.8	46.08(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-150	-37	-34	10.02	47%	-0.25	-57.9	1.95%	0	-1.3	50	0
23	Jun_22_2017	51.07	47.65	47.94	47.67	47.58	46.08	45.63(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-44	-230	-56	-9	2.69	47%	-0.23	-52.8	1.95%	0	-1.9	47	0
24	Jun_21_2017	51.19	47.86	48.11	48.11	48.35	47.43	45.66(-4.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-41	-120	-56	5	5.13	47%	-0.29	-43.9	1.95%	0	-2	46	0
25	Jun_20_2017	51.34	48.08	48.27	48.52	48.66	49.09	47.72(-4.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	70	-10	41	5.36	50%		-39.1	1.89%	0	-0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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