Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $52.6400 (-0.6%) ($52.2000 - $53.1100) on Fri. Apr. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $52.6400(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(30%)    OIH(26%)    XLE(24%)    IYT(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.05(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.82(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.23(2.75%)
To recent high   -17.5%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $631.996b

$. APA price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(42%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 2.02%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.35%(62%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 2.37%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2017	58.69	51.23	51.82	52.05	52.17	52.57	52.64(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	60	21	70	4.99	39%	-0.15	37.3	1.55%	0	1.5	58	INF
2	Apr_6_2017	58.78	51.11	51.58	51.8	51.82	52.32	52.96(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	70	26	56	3.15	39%	-0.17	22.2	1.56%	0	2.1	58	INF
3	Apr_5_2017	58.88	50.98	51.29	51.62	51.59	51.78	51.7(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	20	3	34	3.86	35%	-0.2	11.4	1.53%	0	0.8	53	INF
4	Apr_4_2017	59	50.87	51.18	51.92	51.82	51.33	51.89(1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-70	-2	42	2.33	35%	-0.14	2.4	1.53%	0	1.2	54	INF
5	Apr_3_2017	59.08	50.83	51.02	51.78	52.01	51.4	51.04(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-70	-20	30	2.88	32%	-0.12	-8.9	1.5%	0	0.2	55	INF

6	Mar_31_2017	59.15	50.88	51.01	51.52	51.85	52.31	51.39(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	80	5	35	5.74	32%	-0.12	-20.3	1.51%	0	0.6	58	INF
7	Mar_30_2017	59.22	50.9	50.98	51.29	51.38	52.63	52.09(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	180	66	57	4.64	32%	-0.1	-33.7	1.51%	0	1.3	62	INF
8	Mar_29_2017	59.28	50.88	50.87	50.89	50.68	51.38	53.18(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	60	80	66	43	4.57	34%	-0.07	-47.7	1.5%	0	2.3	66	INF
9	Mar_28_2017	59.32	50.85	50.62	50.36	50.18	50.12	51.22(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-20	11	10	3.06	25%	-0.1	-75.4	1.4%	0	0.4	65	INF
10	Mar_27_2017	59.38	50.91	50.53	50.18	50.13	49.98	49.72(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-20	-23	-19	2.9	18%	-0.12	-89	1.36%	0	-1.2	40	INF

11	Mar_24_2017	59.45	51.06	50.59	50.42	50.4	50.24	50.24(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-20	-10	-19	2.65	18%	-0.08	-88.3	1.36%	0	-0.8	37	INF
12	Mar_23_2017	59.5	51.21	50.6	50.62	50.53	50.28	50.09(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-40	-22	-29	3.49	18%	-0.17	-87.8	1.37%	0	-1	36	INF
13	Mar_22_2017	59.6	51.36	50.66	50.81	50.84	50.56	50.54(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-40	-15	-27	2.96	18%	-0.17	-80.9	1.37%	0	-0.6	40	INF
14	Mar_21_2017	59.7	51.56	50.56	50.92	51.03	50.78	50.3(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-30	-13	-49	2.83	18%	-0.15	-67.9	1.37%	0	-0.8	33	INF
15	Mar_20_2017	59.79	51.83	50.65	50.93	51.04	51.12	50.93(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	20	4	-53	2.67	18%	-0.17	-71.7	1.36%	0	-0.6	38	INF

16	Mar_17_2017	59.89	52.04	50.76	50.77	50.83	51.27	51.22(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	60	24	-59	5.23	18%	-0.18	-73.2	1.36%	0	-0.5	38	INF
17	Mar_16_2017	60	52.23	50.83	50.57	50.54	50.95	51.08(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	60	27	-78	3.6	18%	-0.18	-76.1	1.37%	0	-0.6	34	INF
18	Mar_15_2017	60.11	52.45	50.9	50.48	50.38	50.38	51.07(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10	24	-94	3.26	18%	-0.17	-77	1.36%	0	-0.7	38	INF
19	Mar_14_2017	60.21	52.66	51.06	50.15	50.16	50.12	50.33(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-0	-17	-141	4.17	13%	-0.2	-82.9	1.37%	0	-1.1	26	INF
20	Mar_13_2017	60.33	52.99	51.28	50.34	50.24	50.39	50.16(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-49	10	-13	-156	4.05	13%	-0.2	-77.7	1.38%	0	-1.3	22	INF

21	Mar_10_2017	60.45	53.35	51.56	50.75	50.62	50.2	50.23(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-70	-16	-158	6.19	13%	-0.23	-75.2	1.39%	0	-1.4	26	INF
22	Mar_9_2017	60.59	53.69	51.88	51.12	51.04	50.1	50.63(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-83	-130	-53	-171	7.19	13%	-0.25	-76.5	1.4%	0	-1.4	28	INF
23	Mar_8_2017	60.74	54	52.12	51.38	51.58	51.05	49.41(-3.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-96	-60	-64	-190	5.31	7%	-0.23	-76.7	1.35%	0	-2.1	19	INF
24	Mar_7_2017	60.88	54.4	52.67	52.09	51.98	51.99	51.28(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-0	-19	-154	3.38	8%	-0.18	-82	1.29%	0	-1.6	23	INF
25	Mar_6_2017	60.99	54.73	53.12	52.35	52.28	52.1	52.19(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-30	-2	-149	2.13	8%		-84.3	1.27%	0	-1.3	21	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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