Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $66.6400 (-0.16%) ($66.5300 - $67.4200) on Wed. Dec. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $66.6400(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(30%)    OIH(26%)    XLE(25%)    IYT(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.64(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.62(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.59(1.6%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $800.08b

$. APA price fluctuates within 2.79% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(100%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.17%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -4.88%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.97%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.05%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2016	59.41	65.59	66.62	66.64	66.82	66.96	66.64(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	20	9	18	1.57	76%	0.29	58.4	2.23%	0	0.6	65	0
2	Dec_20_2016	59.24	65.39	66.59	66.46	66.58	66.82	66.75(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	30	3	13	1.95	76%	0.29	51.2	2.34%	0	0.7	56	0
3	Dec_19_2016	59.07	65.22	66.55	66.58	66.48	66.67	66.7(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	14	20	6	37	1.97	76%	0.25	63.6	2.34%	0	0.8	79	0
4	Dec_16_2016	58.92	64.99	66.52	66.6	66.56	66.34	66.39(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-20	-3	52	3.76	76%	0.24	72	2.35%	0	0.7	74	0
5	Dec_15_2016	58.78	64.75	66.41	66.64	66.82	66.29	66.74(1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-50	-12	59	2.76	78%	0.26	76.8	2.35%	0	0.9	66	0

6	Dec_14_2016	58.63	64.54	66.26	66.59	66.99	66.79	65.74(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-0	-14	64	3.83	78%	0.24	87.2	2.38%	0	0.6	59	0
7	Dec_13_2016	58.49	64.42	66.29	66.72	67.03	67.36	67.35(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	50	9	91	4.03	75%	0.26	105.2	2.36%	0	1.4	69	0
8	Dec_12_2016	58.34	64.01	65.67	66.52	66.81	67.19	66.79(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	50	17	81	4.87	75%	0.22	98	2.42%	0	1.2	63	0
9	Dec_9_2016	58.21	63.57	65.15	66.44	66.32	66.7	66.56(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	27	30	10	76	2.41	75%	0.24	91.3	2.42%	0	1.2	66	0
10	Dec_8_2016	58.07	63.17	64.79	66.15	66.26	66.44	66.5(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	20	18	80	2.86	79%	0.21	89.6	2.42%	0	1.2	68	0

11	Dec_7_2016	57.95	62.75	64.49	65.88	66.26	65.94	66.39(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	10	-2	68	5.18	81%	0.19	82.5	2.57%	0	1.3	63	0
12	Dec_6_2016	57.84	62.29	64.09	65.79	65.89	66.09	66.35(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	30	19	71	2.15	81%	0.17	74.9	2.68%	0	1.4	58	0
13	Dec_5_2016	57.74	61.84	63.76	64.67	65.8	65.83	66.41(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	60	32	69	3.6	81%	0.17	60.7	2.68%	0	1.6	69	0
14	Dec_2_2016	57.64	61.33	63.31	63.66	64.19	65.7	65.11(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	190	12	55	2.07	82%	0.14	43.2	2.7%	0	1.3	70	0
15	Dec_1_2016	57.56	60.86	62.94	63.2	63.49	65.78	65.14(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	270	69	80	4.64	82%	0.16	28.3	2.72%	0	1.4	68	0

16	Nov_30_2016	57.47	60.55	62.65	62.91	62.69	62.67	65.95(8.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	-10	41	78	6.96	76%	0.14	23.7	2.78%	0	1.9	70	0
17	Nov_29_2016	57.39	60.2	62.34	62.21	62.08	61.21	60.74(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-100	-43	58	4.39	72%	0.1	17.1	2.58%	0	0.2	65	0
18	Nov_28_2016	57.33	60.14	62.21	62.72	62.78	62.71	61.35(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-0	-10	90	4.02	72%	0.1	19.2	2.58%	0	0.5	64	0
19	Nov_25_2016	57.27	60.1	61.91	62.86	63.05	62.96	62.84(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-0	9	110	1.83	72%	0.17	18.6	2.56%	0	1.1	73	0
20	Nov_23_2016	57.17	60.01	61.48	62.57	62.78	62.84	63.65(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	28	20	-1	115	2.34	72%	0.16	12.5	2.54%	0	1.5	77	0

21	Nov_22_2016	57.08	59.89	60.92	62.33	62.78	63.14	62.47(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	70	6	110	3.3	72%	0.09	5.5	2.53%	0	1.1	57	0
22	Nov_21_2016	57.03	59.77	60.38	62.52	62.66	62.72	63.27(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	10	27	117	3.45	72%	0.12	3.2	2.53%	0	1.5	59	0
23	Nov_18_2016	56.96	59.66	59.79	61.65	62.21	62.19	62.08(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	30	15	87	2.75	74%	0.11	-8.1	2.52%	0	1.1	57	0
24	Nov_17_2016	56.9	59.63	59.2	60.78	61.26	62.59	61.4(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	180	28	56	2.97	74%	0.11	-17.7	2.56%	0	0.8	51	0
25	Nov_16_2016	56.84	59.71	58.62	60.16	60.13	62.23	62.45(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	240	71	37	3	74%		-21.1	2.55%	0	1.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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