Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $66.4100 (2%) ($65.7597 - $67.7600) on Mon. Dec. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $66.4100(2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(31%)    OIH(27%)    XLE(25%)    IYT(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.67(2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.76(4.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.84(7.39%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.5%
Market Cap   $797.318b

$. APA price fluctuates within 4.66% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.49%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.41%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -2.63%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 3.17%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.83%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2016	57.74	61.84	63.76	64.67	65.8	65.83	66.41(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	60	32	69	3.6	81%	0.17	60.7	2.68%	0	1.6	69	0
2	Dec_2_2016	57.64	61.33	63.31	63.66	64.19	65.7	65.11(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	190	12	55	2.07	82%	0.14	43.2	2.7%	0	1.3	70	0
3	Dec_1_2016	57.56	60.86	62.94	63.2	63.49	65.78	65.14(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	270	69	80	4.64	82%	0.16	28.3	2.72%	0	1.4	68	0
4	Nov_30_2016	57.47	60.55	62.65	62.91	62.69	62.67	65.95(8.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	-10	41	78	6.96	76%	0.14	23.7	2.78%	0	1.9	70	0
5	Nov_29_2016	57.39	60.2	62.34	62.21	62.08	61.21	60.74(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-100	-43	58	4.39	72%	0.1	17.1	2.58%	0	0.2	65	0

6	Nov_28_2016	57.33	60.14	62.21	62.72	62.78	62.71	61.35(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-0	-10	90	4.02	72%	0.1	19.2	2.58%	0	0.5	64	0
7	Nov_25_2016	57.27	60.1	61.91	62.86	63.05	62.96	62.84(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-0	9	110	1.83	72%	0.17	18.6	2.56%	0	1.1	73	0
8	Nov_23_2016	57.17	60.01	61.48	62.57	62.78	62.84	63.65(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	28	20	-1	115	2.34	72%	0.16	12.5	2.54%	0	1.5	77	0
9	Nov_22_2016	57.08	59.89	60.92	62.33	62.78	63.14	62.47(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	70	6	110	3.3	72%	0.09	5.5	2.53%	0	1.1	57	0
10	Nov_21_2016	57.03	59.77	60.38	62.52	62.66	62.72	63.27(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	10	27	117	3.45	72%	0.12	3.2	2.53%	0	1.5	59	0

11	Nov_18_2016	56.96	59.66	59.79	61.65	62.21	62.19	62.08(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	30	15	87	2.75	74%	0.11	-8.1	2.52%	0	1.1	57	0
12	Nov_17_2016	56.9	59.63	59.2	60.78	61.26	62.59	61.4(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	180	28	56	2.97	74%	0.11	-17.7	2.56%	0	0.8	51	0
13	Nov_16_2016	56.84	59.71	58.62	60.16	60.13	62.23	62.45(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	240	71	37	3	74%	0.14	-21.1	2.55%	0	1.1	50	0
14	Nov_15_2016	56.76	59.76	58.27	59.28	58.95	59.93	63.39(7.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	51	100	66	7	6.05	74%	0.21	-28.2	2.55%	0	1.5	52	0
15	Nov_14_2016	56.64	59.7	57.8	57.98	57.96	58.04	58.93(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	10	9	-52	2.99	70%	0.07	-44	2.39%	0	-0.3	43	0

16	Nov_11_2016	56.6	59.84	57.83	57.69	57.67	57.98	57.72(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	40	9	-68	3.52	70%	0	-51.7	2.39%	0	-0.9	35	0
17	Nov_10_2016	56.6	60.05	58.1	57.37	57.51	57.89	58.32(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	50	27	-75	3.27	66%	0.04	-59	2.39%	0	-0.7	34	0
18	Nov_9_2016	56.58	60.23	58.4	56.81	56.92	57.37	58.02(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-23	60	4	-103	3.27	66%	0.02	-69	2.42%	0	-0.9	30	0
19	Nov_8_2016	56.57	60.47	58.74	57.1	56.68	57.13	56.93(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-28	30	-1	-110	2.34	66%	0.04	-70.6	2.41%	0	-1.5	23	0
20	Nov_7_2016	56.55	60.78	59.11	57.62	57.27	56.47	57.45(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-120	-9	-111	4.61	66%	0.05	-68.6	2.42%	0	-1.4	32	0

21	Nov_4_2016	56.52	61.11	59.52	58.03	57.87	56.24	56.14(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-80	-210	-64	-127	6.24	63%	0.05	-66.8	2.41%	0	-2.2	32	0
22	Nov_3_2016	56.49	61.49	60.15	58.94	58.95	58.07	55.52(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-71	-100	-60	-104	8.76	65%	0.02	-64.9	2.44%	0	-3	30	0
23	Nov_2_2016	56.48	61.94	60.97	60.18	60.07	59.49	59.46(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-70	-22	-61	4.96	73%	0.09	-62.7	2.33%	0	-1.6	39	0
24	Nov_1_2016	56.43	62.2	61.44	60.62	60.72	59.83	59.53(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-100	-25	-46	2.78	67%	0.11	-55.7	2.33%	0	-1.8	36	0
25	Oct_31_2016	56.37	62.42	61.78	60.83	61.03	60.65	59.48(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-30	-29	-43	2.59	67%		-43.1	2.42%	0	-2.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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