Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $62.1900 (-2.03%) ($61.8700 - $63.1300) on Fri. Oct. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.42% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $62.1900(-2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(31%)    OIH(27%)    XLE(25%)    IWD(23%)    IYT(23%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.21% (StdDev 2.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $62.96
5 Day Moving Average   $62.93(-1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.82(-1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.96(-1.22%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $746.653b

$. APA price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 2.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.49%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.47%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2016	56.06	62.96	62.82	62.93	63.17	62.95	62.19(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10	-10	-22	3.18	64%	0.13	55.7	2.42%	0	-0.5	42	0
2	Oct_20_2016	55.99	62.87	62.94	62.85	62.93	63.64	63.48(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	80	12	-18	3.45	64%	0.13	56.9	2.43%	0	0.4	47	0
3	Oct_19_2016	55.92	62.75	62.94	62.57	62.64	63.39	64.32(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	23	90	35	-14	3.62	64%	0.13	58	2.42%	0	1	52	0
4	Oct_18_2016	55.85	62.58	62.98	62.57	62.11	62.21	62.83(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	0	7	-29	4.13	64%	0.13	54.4	2.43%	0	0.1	44	0
5	Oct_17_2016	55.78	62.34	63.07	62.25	62.05	61.89	61.85(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-14	-23	3.51	64%	0.07	49.4	2.43%	0	-0.2	66	0

6	Oct_14_2016	55.74	62.16	63.29	62.72	62.49	62.01	61.77(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-60	-15	-0	3.58	64%	0.07	48.9	2.43%	0	-0.2	63	0
7	Oct_13_2016	55.7	62.02	63.51	63.03	63	62.22	62.07(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-90	-26	16	4.74	64%	0.07	49.1	2.43%	0	0	64	0
8	Oct_12_2016	55.66	61.87	63.7	63.43	63.47	62.97	62.71(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-50	-27	35	3.33	66%	0.09	49.1	2.44%	0	0.3	60	0
9	Oct_11_2016	55.61	61.59	63.81	63.82	63.94	63.78	62.87(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10	-11	60	2.97	66%	0.09	54.7	2.49%	0	0.5	62	0
10	Oct_10_2016	55.56	61.34	63.53	64	63.94	63.98	64.16(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-20	-2	78	2.36	66%	0.13	68.1	2.47%	0	1.1	79	0

11	Oct_7_2016	55.49	61.11	63.14	63.96	64.33	64.1	63.33(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10	-13	83	3.92	66%	0.13	86	2.47%	0	0.9	75	0
12	Oct_6_2016	55.42	60.91	62.83	64.07	64.34	64.69	64.09(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	50	4	100	3.37	66%	0.13	107.9	2.47%	0	1.3	73	0
13	Oct_5_2016	55.35	60.65	62.53	64	64.3	64.56	64.65(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	40	17	115	3.45	63%	0.18	119.7	2.47%	0	1.5	75	0
14	Oct_4_2016	55.25	60.18	62.14	63.81	64.06	64	63.79(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	10	17	128	6.33	63%	0.16	108.4	2.51%	0	1.2	78	0
15	Oct_3_2016	55.16	59.59	61.53	62.97	63.48	64.03	63.95(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	80	22	113	2.9	63%	0.2	101.8	2.53%	0	1.5	74	0

16	Sep_30_2016	55.05	58.98	60.93	62.17	62.31	64.13	63.87(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	210	45	99	5.29	63%	0.18	84.5	2.53%	0	1.5	61	0
17	Sep_29_2016	54.95	58.29	60.38	61.4	61.38	62.92	63.74(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	170	66	89	7.89	64%	0.18	67.6	2.53%	0	1.5	62	0
18	Sep_28_2016	54.85	57.6	59.85	60.85	60.43	60.49	63.7(6.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10	21	58	8.11	66%	0.2	56.9	2.56%	0	1.6	63	0
19	Sep_27_2016	54.74	57.03	59.14	60.29	60.31	59.84	59.59(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-50	-6	44	4.28	59%	0.13	53.8	2.47%	0	0.7	66	0
20	Sep_26_2016	54.67	56.69	58.94	59.87	60.41	60.36	59.94(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	20	5	60	3.95	59%	0.13	50.2	2.56%	0	0.9	74	0

21	Sep_23_2016	54.6	56.31	58.91	59.45	59.71	60.79	60.02(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	140	15	85	6.19	56%	0.09	45.6	2.66%	0	1	75	0
22	Sep_22_2016	54.55	55.94	58.83	59.16	59.28	60.46	61(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	150	49	129	7.24	56%	0.18	43	2.67%	0	1.4	80	0
23	Sep_21_2016	54.45	55.51	58.61	58.7	58.48	58.62	60.89(5.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	10	25	147	7.52	56%	0.17	42.8	2.68%	0	1.5	80	0
24	Sep_20_2016	54.36	55.11	58.04	58.7	58.07	58.1	57.49(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	10	-3	136	3	54%	0.07	42.4	2.59%	0	0.7	64	0
25	Sep_19_2016	54.32	54.89	57.53	57.87	57.97	58.33	57.85(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	50	1	136	3.26	54%		47.9	2.61%	0	0.9	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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