Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $50.6700 (2.07%) ($50.0700 - $51.7450) on Mon. Aug. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $50.6700(2.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(31%)    OIH(28%)    XLE(26%)    IVE(23%)    IWD(23%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $42.3(-16.52%)
Resistance Level   $53.05
5 Day Moving Average   $50.43(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.04(-0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.05(-4.49%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $608.344b

$. APA price fluctuates within 4.81% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.78%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.19%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.44%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.63%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2016	53.74	53.05	51.04	50.43	50.48	50.04	50.67(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	-60	1	-78	4.48	45%	0.02	-46.4	2.35%	0	-0.9	33	0
2	Aug_5_2016	53.73	53.27	51.17	50.27	50.32	50.23	49.64(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10	-29	-115	5.65	51%	-0.02	-51.8	2.34%	0	-1.4	26	0
3	Aug_4_2016	53.74	53.56	51.56	50.84	50.67	50.92	50.18(-3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-22	20	2	-95	5.23	49%	0.02	-50	2.55%	0	-1.4	25	0
4	Aug_3_2016	53.73	53.81	51.88	50.84	50.87	50.41	51.73(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-80	-4	-104	4.23	49%	0.07	-51	2.54%	0	-0.9	29	0
5	Aug_2_2016	53.69	54	52.15	51.18	51.15	50.42	49.94(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-57	-100	-34	-125	2.56	46%	0.02	-50.7	2.55%	0	-1.9	21	0

6	Aug_1_2016	53.68	54.25	52.66	51.74	51.76	51.34	49.87(-5.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-45	-60	-21	-117	3.43	46%	-0.06	-42.2	2.55%	0	-2.2	19	0
7	Jul_29_2016	53.71	54.61	53.31	52.16	52.11	51.87	52.5(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-40	-12	-103	2.49	49%	-0.04	-37.2	2.49%	0	-1.2	41	0
8	Jul_28_2016	53.73	54.77	53.74	52.39	52.26	52.18	51.84(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-20	-14	-92	1.92	47%	-0.04	-41.3	2.5%	0	-1.7	38	0
9	Jul_27_2016	53.75	54.98	54.24	52.71	52.73	52.34	51.76(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-50	-14	-77	2.39	49%	-0.04	-41.6	2.54%	0	-2	39	0
10	Jul_26_2016	53.77	55.13	54.73	53.27	53.19	52.35	52.75(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-120	-28	-65	1.83	51%	-0.02	-43.7	2.56%	0	-1.7	40	0

11	Jul_25_2016	53.78	55.12	55.21	53.75	53.73	53.11	51.97(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-80	-40	-49	2.74	49%	-0.04	-43.4	2.57%	0	-2.1	41	0
12	Jul_22_2016	53.8	55.29	55.56	54.62	54.51	54.04	53.65(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-70	-24	-29	2.22	52%	0	-28.2	2.57%	0	-1.2	38	0
13	Jul_21_2016	53.8	55.51	55.74	55.31	55.22	54.35	53.4(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-120	-30	-17	2.82	52%	0	2.7	2.59%	0	-1.5	43	0
14	Jul_20_2016	53.8	55.66	55.93	56.01	55.95	54.98	54.6(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-120	-35	-7	2.13	52%	0	24.1	2.58%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Jul_19_2016	53.8	55.77	56.02	56.4	56.66	56.1	55.11(-2.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-17	-60	-26	11	2.23	54%	0.04	38.8	2.58%	0	-0.5	56	0

16	Jul_18_2016	53.78	55.78	56	56.88	57	56.91	56.33(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-0	-4	42	2.41	55%	0.06	55	2.59%	0	0.4	69	0
17	Jul_15_2016	53.75	55.67	56.03	56.64	57.13	57.21	57.12(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	40	13	50	2.63	55%	0.07	49.2	2.6%	0	1	57	0
18	Jul_14_2016	53.71	55.47	55.87	56.25	56.7	57.09	56.88(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	70	12	32	1.95	55%	0.06	31.2	2.61%	0	1	46	0
19	Jul_13_2016	53.68	55.35	55.75	55.85	56.24	57.05	56.54(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	120	22	25	2.72	55%	0.07	16.3	2.61%	0	0.8	50	0
20	Jul_12_2016	53.64	55.25	55.52	55.6	55.87	56.3	57.54(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	70	31	14	2.96	59%	0.09	0.8	2.61%	0	1.6	52	0

21	Jul_11_2016	53.59	55.06	54.98	55.03	55.3	56.3	55.11(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	30	-3	-25	2.02	57%	0.02	-16.9	2.68%	0	0	51	0
22	Jul_8_2016	53.58	54.99	54.95	55.34	55.18	55.44	55.17(0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	20	1	-13	2.59	58%	0.04	-14.1	2.69%	0	0.1	55	0
23	Jul_7_2016	53.56	55.02	55.22	55.44	55.4	55.17	54.9(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-30	2	8	2.32	58%	0.04	-11.9	2.71%	0	-0.1	57	0
24	Jul_6_2016	53.54	55.11	55.36	55.62	55.45	54.91	55.3(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-80	-12	14	2.42	60%	0.04	-5.3	2.72%	0	0.1	53	0
25	Jul_5_2016	53.52	55.24	55.48	55.4	55.58	55.64	54.67(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	9	20	4	22	2.37	60%		-5.9	2.78%	0	-0.4	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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