Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $56.8800 (0.6%) ($56.8000 - $57.7300) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $56.8800(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(32%)    OIH(28%)    XLE(26%)    USO(24%)    IVE(23%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.25(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.87(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.47(2.54%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $682.901b

$. APA price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.22%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2016	53.71	55.47	55.87	56.25	56.7	57.09	56.88(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	70	12	32	1.95	55%	0.06	31.2	2.61%	0	1	46	0
2	Jul_13_2016	53.68	55.35	55.75	55.85	56.24	57.05	56.54(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	120	22	25	2.72	55%	0.07	16.3	2.61%	0	0.8	50	0
3	Jul_12_2016	53.64	55.25	55.52	55.6	55.87	56.3	57.54(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	70	31	14	2.96	59%	0.09	0.8	2.61%	0	1.6	52	0
4	Jul_11_2016	53.59	55.06	54.98	55.03	55.3	56.3	55.11(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	30	-3	-25	2.02	57%	0.02	-16.9	2.68%	0	0	51	0
5	Jul_8_2016	53.58	54.99	54.95	55.34	55.18	55.44	55.17(0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	20	1	-13	2.59	58%	0.04	-14.1	2.69%	0	0.1	55	0

6	Jul_7_2016	53.56	55.02	55.22	55.44	55.4	55.17	54.9(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-30	2	8	2.32	58%	0.04	-11.9	2.71%	0	-0.1	57	0
7	Jul_6_2016	53.54	55.11	55.36	55.62	55.45	54.91	55.3(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-80	-12	14	2.42	60%	0.04	-5.3	2.72%	0	0.1	53	0
8	Jul_5_2016	53.52	55.24	55.48	55.4	55.58	55.64	54.67(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	9	20	4	22	2.37	60%	0.04	-5.9	2.78%	0	-0.4	51	0
9	Jul_1_2016	53.5	55.29	55.56	54.87	55.25	55.98	56.67(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	110	23	23	2.58	61%	0.07	-23.2	2.73%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Jun_30_2016	53.46	55.29	55.28	54.5	54.39	55.51	55.67(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	140	12	13	3.05	61%	0.06	-40.1	2.73%	0	0.3	57	0

11	Jun_29_2016	53.43	55.18	55.03	55	54.35	54.52	55.81(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10	15	15	2.7	61%	0.06	-37.4	2.73%	0	0.4	50	0
12	Jun_28_2016	53.4	55.19	54.9	55.13	54.89	53.27	54.18(4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-220	-31	-9	2.44	60%	0.02	-40.3	2.7%	0	-0.6	43	0
13	Jun_27_2016	53.39	55.34	54.97	55.62	55.57	54.19	52(-5.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-51	-180	-60	-22	4.08	58%	-0.04	-33.1	2.66%	0	-2.1	34	0
14	Jun_24_2016	53.41	55.65	55.2	56.28	56.28	56.51	54.86(-5.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	30	-5	9	6.23	61%	0.04	-20.2	2.6%	0	-0.5	49	0
15	Jun_23_2016	53.39	55.81	55.09	56.08	56.17	56.96	58.16(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	100	44	20	3.88	62%	0.13	-20.1	2.5%	0	1.5	60	0

16	Jun_22_2016	53.32	55.77	54.81	55.05	55.28	56.05	56.43(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	18	110	28	-11	2.81	60%	0.08	-34.5	2.55%	0	0.4	52	0
17	Jun_21_2016	53.28	55.84	54.82	54.67	54.43	55.39	56.63(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	15	110	26	-19	2.9	60%	0.09	-31.2	2.55%	0	0.5	51	0
18	Jun_20_2016	53.23	55.88	54.92	54.3	54.14	54.5	55.32(2.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	15	40	27	-23	2.25	60%	0.06	-29.7	2.54%	0	-0.3	44	0
19	Jun_17_2016	53.2	55.97	54.94	54	53.94	53.48	53.87(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-60	-4	-54	3.16	60%	0.02	-24.1	2.53%	0	-1.2	36	0
20	Jun_16_2016	53.19	56.13	55.03	53.93	53.84	53.77	53(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10	-25	-77	3.03	62%	0	-19.3	2.54%	0	-1.9	34	0

21	Jun_15_2016	53.19	56.33	55.33	54.5	54.16	54.41	54.53(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	10	-2	-64	2.55	63%	0.04	-3.4	2.53%	0	-1.2	38	0
22	Jun_14_2016	53.17	56.37	55.5	54.99	54.58	54.41	54.76(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-110	-20	-69	3.35	63%	0.06	12.5	2.53%	0	-1.1	38	0
23	Jun_13_2016	53.14	56.37	55.73	55.68	55.48	53.91	53.84(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-210	-42	-64	3.04	63%	0.02	34.2	2.55%	0	-1.8	37	0
24	Jun_10_2016	53.13	56.39	56.18	56.04	56.42	55.25	53.52(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-44	-120	-41	-52	3.24	63%	0	37.3	2.57%	0	-1.9	39	0
25	Jun_9_2016	53.13	56.45	56.64	56.25	56.7	57.05	55.83(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	70	-8	-31	3.07	67%		41.9	2.53%	0	-0.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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