Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $58.2100 (4.66%) ($56.1300 - $58.4400) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $58.2100(4.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(32%)    OIH(28%)    XLE(26%)    IYT(24%)    USO(24%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.08(3.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.96(2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.19(3.59%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   24.3%
Market Cap   $698.869b

$. APA price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.19%(29%) Average negative next day return: -0.39%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.26%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.29%(86%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.27%(14%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2016	53.02	56.19	56.96	56.08	55.88	56.35	58.21(4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	18	50	26	-6	4.09	67%	0.17	45.5	2.53%	0	1.2	65	0
2	Jun_6_2016	52.93	55.9	56.88	55.87	55.61	55.35	55.62(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-50	-16	-17	2.46	65%	0.09	34.3	2.49%	0	-0.2	58	0
3	Jun_3_2016	52.88	55.82	57.04	56.4	56.23	55.4	54.58(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-110	-27	6	2.87	65%	0.06	40.4	2.5%	0	-0.7	64	0
4	Jun_2_2016	52.85	55.85	57.31	57.09	56.87	55.87	55.84(-0.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-20	-130	-37	30	2.68	65%	0.09	50.1	2.5%	0	-0	61	0
5	Jun_1_2016	52.8	55.62	57.41	57.51	57.53	57.05	56.17(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-60	-29	54	3.82	65%	0.11	34.7	2.52%	0	0.3	64	0

6	May_31_2016	52.74	55.43	57.35	57.92	58.12	57.88	57.14(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-20	-5	83	4.07	65%	0.15	31.2	2.53%	0	0.7	73	0
7	May_27_2016	52.66	55.28	57.14	58.02	58.18	58.01	58.29(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10	-2	100	2.52	65%	0.21	33.5	2.53%	0	1.4	83	0
8	May_26_2016	52.55	55.07	56.64	57.78	58.01	58.37	58.03(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	60	7	96	2.41	65%	0.19	28.3	2.55%	0	1.4	68	0
9	May_25_2016	52.45	54.92	56.27	57.57	57.72	58.35	57.91(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	80	24	98	3.15	65%	0.21	27.7	2.58%	0	1.5	61	0
10	May_24_2016	52.34	54.87	55.88	57.31	57.1	57.65	58.25(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	60	23	106	4.39	65%	0.23	32	2.6%	0	1.7	74	0

11	May_23_2016	52.22	54.72	55.36	56.68	56.8	57.1	57.6(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	40	24	97	3.11	65%	0.21	27.3	2.63%	0	1.6	66	0
12	May_20_2016	52.11	54.55	54.81	56.12	56.25	56.55	57.11(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	40	18	74	3.24	65%	0.19	22.4	2.65%	0	1.5	57	0
13	May_19_2016	52.01	54.48	54.47	55.31	55.69	56.5	56.98(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	120	25	56	6.36	65%	0.21	21.3	2.68%	0	1.5	56	0
14	May_18_2016	51.9	54.35	54.22	54.77	55.02	55.95	56.61(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	130	33	45	12.95	65%	0.19	18.2	2.71%	0	1.5	52	0
15	May_17_2016	51.8	54.24	53.63	54.25	54.48	54.88	55.12(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	60	24	4	4.08	65%	0.15	16.6	2.72%	0	0.6	43	0

16	May_16_2016	51.72	54.23	53.33	53.84	54.1	54.09	54.8(3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	10	13	-23	4.04	65%	0.14	14	2.75%	0	0.4	47	0
17	May_13_2016	51.65	54.16	53.25	53.31	53.59	54.08	53.02(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	80	-1	-42	2.97	63%	0.06	14.1	2.74%	0	-0.7	48	0
18	May_12_2016	51.62	54.13	53.37	53.47	53.41	54.1	54.3(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	90	18	-38	5.07	63%	0.12	21.4	2.74%	0	0.1	46	0
19	May_11_2016	51.56	54.07	53.46	53.58	53.28	53.1	54.01(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-40	16	-35	5.91	63%	0.12	33.9	2.77%	0	-0	49	0
20	May_10_2016	51.5	54	53.76	52.92	53.25	52.73	53.09(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-50	-7	-49	4.84	63%	0.08	30.4	2.8%	0	-0.6	47	0

21	May_9_2016	51.46	54.02	54.03	52.73	52.92	53.46	52.12(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	80	-11	-52	4.54	63%	0.04	39	2.82%	0	-1.1	44	0
22	May_6_2016	51.44	53.94	54.28	53.15	52.92	53.78	53.84(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	100	24	-26	6.56	66%	0.12	52	2.8%	0	-0.1	53	0
23	May_5_2016	51.38	53.8	54.5	53.26	52.9	52.38	54.82(8.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-90	0	-20	6.81	66%	0.18	55.3	2.82%	0	0.5	59	0
24	May_4_2016	51.29	53.54	54.49	53.39	53.31	52.02	50.73(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-55	-170	-61	-37	4.48	61%	-0.02	55.2	2.55%	0	-1.2	46	0
25	May_3_2016	51.3	53.53	54.93	54.75	54.53	53.42	52.13(-3.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-33	-150	-47	10	5.26	64%		67.7	2.54%	0	-0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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