Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $58.2500 (1.13%) ($57.0700 - $59.1300) on Tue. May. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $58.2500(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(32%)    OIH(28%)    XLE(26%)    IYT(24%)    USO(24%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.31(1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.88(4.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.87(6.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.4%
Market Cap   $699.35b

$. APA price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -5.42%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.81%(18%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.54%(82%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160624

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_24_2016	52.34	54.87	55.88	57.31	57.1	57.65	58.25(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	60	23	106	4.39	65%	0.23	32	2.6%	0	1.7	74	0
2	May_23_2016	52.22	54.72	55.36	56.68	56.8	57.1	57.6(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	40	24	97	3.11	65%	0.21	27.3	2.63%	0	1.6	66	0
3	May_20_2016	52.11	54.55	54.81	56.12	56.25	56.55	57.11(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	40	18	74	3.24	65%	0.19	22.4	2.65%	0	1.5	57	0
4	May_19_2016	52.01	54.48	54.47	55.31	55.69	56.5	56.98(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	120	25	56	6.36	65%	0.21	21.3	2.68%	0	1.5	56	0
5	May_18_2016	51.9	54.35	54.22	54.77	55.02	55.95	56.61(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	130	33	45	12.95	65%	0.19	18.2	2.71%	0	1.5	52	0

6	May_17_2016	51.8	54.24	53.63	54.25	54.48	54.88	55.12(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	60	24	4	4.08	65%	0.15	16.6	2.72%	0	0.6	43	0
7	May_16_2016	51.72	54.23	53.33	53.84	54.1	54.09	54.8(3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	10	13	-23	4.04	65%	0.14	14	2.75%	0	0.4	47	0
8	May_13_2016	51.65	54.16	53.25	53.31	53.59	54.08	53.02(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	80	-1	-42	2.97	63%	0.06	14.1	2.74%	0	-0.7	48	0
9	May_12_2016	51.62	54.13	53.37	53.47	53.41	54.1	54.3(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	90	18	-38	5.07	63%	0.12	21.4	2.74%	0	0.1	46	0
10	May_11_2016	51.56	54.07	53.46	53.58	53.28	53.1	54.01(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-40	16	-35	5.91	63%	0.12	33.9	2.77%	0	-0	49	0

11	May_10_2016	51.5	54	53.76	52.92	53.25	52.73	53.09(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-50	-7	-49	4.84	63%	0.08	30.4	2.8%	0	-0.6	47	0
12	May_9_2016	51.46	54.02	54.03	52.73	52.92	53.46	52.12(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	80	-11	-52	4.54	63%	0.04	39	2.82%	0	-1.1	44	0
13	May_6_2016	51.44	53.94	54.28	53.15	52.92	53.78	53.84(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	100	24	-26	6.56	66%	0.12	52	2.8%	0	-0.1	53	0
14	May_5_2016	51.38	53.8	54.5	53.26	52.9	52.38	54.82(8.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-90	0	-20	6.81	66%	0.18	55.3	2.82%	0	0.5	59	0
15	May_4_2016	51.29	53.54	54.49	53.39	53.31	52.02	50.73(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-55	-170	-61	-37	4.48	61%	-0.02	55.2	2.55%	0	-1.2	46	0

16	May_3_2016	51.3	53.53	54.93	54.75	54.53	53.42	52.13(-3.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-33	-150	-47	10	5.26	64%	0.04	67.7	2.54%	0	-0.6	52	0
17	May_2_2016	51.28	53.33	55.26	55.5	55.65	54.61	54.24(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-120	-24	47	4.65	70%	0.18	66.4	2.47%	0	0.3	55	0
18	Apr_29_2016	51.19	52.98	55.21	55.53	55.88	55.63	54.4(-1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-10	-27	62	4.7	70%	0.2	60.6	2.5%	0	0.5	65	0
19	Apr_28_2016	51.09	52.66	55.01	55.89	55.89	56.7	55.43(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	100	15	96	2.95	70%	0.26	61.3	2.51%	0	0.9	65	0
20	Apr_27_2016	50.96	52.33	54.78	55.76	55.77	56.13	57.54(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	50	36	123	4.88	75%	0.41	62	2.44%	0	1.7	75	0

21	Apr_26_2016	50.75	51.87	54.26	55.19	55.23	55.09	55.88(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	25	-20	-2	107	3.45	73%	0.34	58	2.44%	0	1.4	69	0
22	Apr_25_2016	50.58	51.49	53.99	55.02	55.07	55.42	54.41(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	50	6	135	3.5	72%	0.28	56.6	2.45%	0	1	73	0
23	Apr_22_2016	50.44	51.19	53.58	54.82	54.93	55.37	56.2(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	60	39	165	2.87	78%	0.4	53.7	2.39%	0	1.8	80	0
24	Apr_21_2016	50.24	50.81	53.02	53.99	53.95	54.73	54.78(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	100	19	152	3.58	76%	0.34	46.5	2.4%	0	1.5	74	0
25	Apr_20_2016	50.07	50.45	52.47	53.63	53.26	54.49	54.68(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	140	39	154	3.67	76%		42.5	2.44%	0	1.7	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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