Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $54.4000 (-1.86%) ($53.2900 - $56.2700) on Fri. Apr. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $54.4000(-1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(32%)    OIH(28%)    XLE(27%)    IWD(24%)    IYT(24%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.53(-2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.21(-1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.98(2.68%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $653.126b

$. APA price fluctuates within 5.78% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.42%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.07%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.69%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2016	51.19	52.98	55.21	55.53	55.88	55.63	54.4(-1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-10	-27	62	4.7	70%	0.2	60.6	2.5%	0	0.5	65	INF
2	Apr_28_2016	51.09	52.66	55.01	55.89	55.89	56.7	55.43(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	100	15	96	2.95	70%	0.26	61.3	2.51%	0	0.9	65	INF
3	Apr_27_2016	50.96	52.33	54.78	55.76	55.77	56.13	57.54(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	50	36	123	4.88	75%	0.41	62	2.44%	0	1.7	75	INF
4	Apr_26_2016	50.75	51.87	54.26	55.19	55.23	55.09	55.88(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	25	-20	-2	107	3.45	73%	0.34	58	2.44%	0	1.4	69	INF
5	Apr_25_2016	50.58	51.49	53.99	55.02	55.07	55.42	54.41(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	50	6	135	3.5	72%	0.28	56.6	2.45%	0	1	73	INF

6	Apr_22_2016	50.44	51.19	53.58	54.82	54.93	55.37	56.2(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	60	39	165	2.87	78%	0.4	53.7	2.39%	0	1.8	80	INF
7	Apr_21_2016	50.24	50.81	53.02	53.99	53.95	54.73	54.78(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	100	19	152	3.58	76%	0.34	46.5	2.4%	0	1.5	74	INF
8	Apr_20_2016	50.07	50.45	52.47	53.63	53.26	54.49	54.68(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	140	39	154	3.67	76%	0.36	42.5	2.44%	0	1.7	67	INF
9	Apr_19_2016	49.89	50.21	51.98	53.19	52.84	53.17	55.02(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	20	34	146	4.72	76%	0.4	46.1	2.48%	0	2.1	68	INF
10	Apr_18_2016	49.69	49.92	51.22	52.84	52.37	52.02	53.44(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-70	1	122	3.29	74%	0.32	52.1	2.48%	0	1.8	66	INF

11	Apr_15_2016	49.53	49.71	50.57	52.14	52.38	52.52	52.05(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	30	4	99	3	71%	0.22	0	2.49%	0	1.3	64	INF
12	Apr_14_2016	49.42	49.61	50.13	51.87	52.01	52.73	52.97(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	110	28	97	1.95	71%	0.32	0	2.51%	0	1.9	65	INF
13	Apr_13_2016	49.26	49.41	49.69	51.11	51.49	52.24	52.46(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	120	37	85	3.77	71%	0.31	0	2.56%	0	2	67	INF
14	Apr_12_2016	49.11	49.17	49.28	50.57	50.65	51.3	53.29(6.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	45	90	39	64	5.14	71%	0.43	0	2.59%	0	2.9	57	INF
15	Apr_11_2016	48.9	48.9	48.76	49.38	49.84	50.74	49.95(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	150	41	30	3.24	63%	0.12	0	2.22%	0	1	49	INF

16	Apr_8_2016	48.84	48.9	48.6	48.75	48.93	50	50.66(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	40	160	47	19	4.13	63%	0.21	0	2.25%	0	47.8	53	INF
17	Apr_7_2016	48.74	48.9	48.39	48.12	48.05	48.94	49.19(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	130	31	12	2.62	56%	0.04	0	2.22%	0	49.2	43	INF
18	Apr_6_2016	48.72	48.9	48.25	48.04	47.67	47.86	49.76(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	0	20	8	3.65	56%	0.14	0	2.26%	0	48.8	52	INF
19	Apr_5_2016	48.65	48.9	48.26	47.82	47.65	47.17	47.33(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-80	-21	-8	2.58	40%	-0.18	0	1.94%	0	46.4	50	INF
20	Apr_4_2016	48.74	48.9	48.51	48.07	48.11	47.49	46.82(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-90	-25	-10	2.96	40%	-0.29	0	1.98%	0	47.3	46	INF

21	Apr_1_2016	48.88	48.9	48.8	48.38	48.26	48.13	47.5(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-30	-24	-10	5.58	40%	-0.2	0	2.02%	0	54	50	INF
22	Mar_31_2016	48.98	48.9	49.1	48.65	48.48	48.73	48.81(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	30	15	6	3.92	50%	-0.04	0	1.95%	0	59.5	50	INF
23	Mar_30_2016	49	48.9	49.15	48.46	48.29	48.4	48.64(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	10	-1	-0	3	50%	-0.06	0	2.04%	0	56.6	50	INF
24	Mar_29_2016	49.03	48.9	49.1	48.79	48.23	48.22	48.56(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-40	-11	-4	3.13	50%	-0.08	0	2.14%	0	54.6	50	INF
25	Mar_28_2016	49.07	48.9	49.08	49.05	48.72	48.17	48.41(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-100	-10	-4	3.26	50%		0	2.25%	0	52.6	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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