Trading Signals: AON Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: AON Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aon plc)
AON latest price $91.5200 (1.94%) ($89.9200 - $91.6400) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $91.5200(1.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AON advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AON declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AON advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    IVE(60%)    IWD(60%)    VYM(59%)    VT(58%)
Factors Impacting AON price   AON will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.37(2.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.31(2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.28(1.37%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $21.187b

Aon Plc is engaged in the provision of a range of risk, retirement, and health solutions. It operates through Aon United segment. The Aon United segment gives advice and solutions to clients focused on risk, retirement, and health through five principal products and service revenue lines: Commercial Risk Solutions, Reinsurance Solutions, Retirement Solutions, Health Solutions, and Data and Analytic Services. The Commercial Risk Solutions includes retail brokerage, cyber solutions, global risk consulting, and captives. The Reinsurance Solutions comprises treaty and facultative reinsurance brokerage and capital markets. The Retirement Solutions consists core retirement, investment consulting, and talent, rewards and performance. The Health Solutions involves in heath and benefits brokerage and healthcare exchanges. The Data and Analytic Services composes of Affinity, Aon InPoint, and ReView. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

$. AON price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.32%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.68%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.43%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.87%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2015	98.3	90.28	89.31	89.37	89.15	89.54	91.52(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	45	20	64	-14	0.94	43%	-0.08	-34.6	1.39%	0	0.9	45	0
2	Oct_2_2015	98.38	90.21	89.16	88.75	88.51	88.42	89.78(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-29	-20	-17	-66	1.58	41%	-0.1	-58.2	1.37%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Oct_1_2015	98.48	90.29	89.1	88.8	88.68	88.75	88.56(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	0	-4	-70	1.46	39%	-0.11	-66.5	1.36%	0	-1.2	37	0
4	Sep_30_2015	98.59	90.42	89.44	88.88	89.05	88.59	88.61(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-30	-0	-66	1.96	39%	-0.1	-73.6	1.36%	0	-1.4	36	0
5	Sep_29_2015	98.69	90.52	89.76	88.97	88.95	88.62	88.4(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-30	-41	-79	1.24	37%	-0.12	-73.6	1.36%	0	-1.7	36	0

6	Sep_28_2015	98.81	90.77	90.12	89.2	89.19	89.5	88.41(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	20	-1	-59	1.4	37%	-0.12	-61.4	1.39%	0	-1.8	32	0
7	Sep_25_2015	98.93	91.02	90.38	89.6	89.3	89.29	90.02(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10	16	-41	1.09	38%	-0.08	-63.4	1.38%	0	-0.8	50	0
8	Sep_24_2015	99.01	91.23	90.5	89.46	89.35	88.88	88.95(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-40	-35	-67	1.38	38%	-0.09	-74.7	1.37%	0	-1.5	42	0
9	Sep_23_2015	99.1	91.42	90.79	90.1	89.74	89.31	89.09(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-50	-46	-53	0.94	38%	-0.09	-93.5	1.37%	0	-1.7	44	0
10	Sep_22_2015	99.19	91.46	91.04	90.68	90.56	89.82	89.53(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-60	-35	-28	1.9	38%	-0.09	-125.2	1.37%	0	-1.4	49	0

11	Sep_21_2015	99.28	91.58	91.36	91.19	91.18	90.17	90.4(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-80	-50	-24	1.52	38%	-0.08	-159.9	1.37%	0	-0.9	40	0
12	Sep_18_2015	99.36	91.87	91.38	91.27	91.5	91.3	89.31(-3.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-10	-44	-33	2.55	37%	-0.07	-137.6	1.37%	0	-1.5	36	0
13	Sep_17_2015	99.43	92.35	91.61	91.67	91.73	92.19	92.16(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	19	40	28	-7	1.25	40%	-0.06	-103.3	1.33%	0	-0.1	40	0
14	Sep_16_2015	99.49	92.75	91.5	91.57	91.41	91.69	91.98(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	20	19	-21	1.31	40%	-0.06	-80.8	1.33%	0	-0.3	48	0
15	Sep_15_2015	99.55	93.22	91.34	91.49	91.31	91.27	92.09(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10	-2	-28	1.77	40%	-0.06	-66	1.33%	0	-0.3	59	0

16	Sep_14_2015	99.61	93.71	91.44	91.61	91.55	91.13	90.8(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-13	-23	1.19	38%	-0.08	-57.8	1.32%	0	-0.7	49	0
17	Sep_11_2015	99.69	94.21	91.7	91.5	91.81	91.36	91.32(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-20	-18	-41	2.15	38%	-0.06	-55.9	1.32%	0	-0.7	39	0
18	Sep_10_2015	99.75	94.69	91.99	91.53	91.81	91.97	91.68(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	30	-9	-59	1.99	40%	-0.05	-53.9	1.33%	0	-0.7	35	0
19	Sep_9_2015	99.8	95.15	92.08	91.4	91.56	92.27	91.54(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	22	60	53	-73	0.96	40%	-0.06	-53.5	1.35%	0	-0.8	32	0
20	Sep_8_2015	99.86	95.63	91.9	91.15	91.24	91.14	92.69(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-0	15	-152	1.34	40%	-0.01	-53.8	1.34%	0	-0.6	31	0

21	Sep_4_2015	99.87	96.12	91.8	91.3	90.94	90.86	90.29(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-93	-20	-47	-230	1.36	35%	-0.07	-48.8	1.28%	0	-1.2	25	0
22	Sep_3_2015	99.94	96.68	92.39	91.95	91.66	91.34	91.45(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-30	-12	-222	1.41	35%	-0.08	-46.6	1.28%	0	-1.1	30	0
23	Sep_2_2015	100.02	97.16	93.12	92.54	92.25	91.03	91.05(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-103	-100	-58	-236	1.3	35%	-0.07	-45.5	1.28%	0	-1.3	30	0
24	Sep_1_2015	100.09	97.69	94.07	92.85	92.91	91.98	90.28(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-104	-70	-61	-233	2.15	35%	-0.09	-46.9	1.28%	0	-1.7	28	0
25	Aug_31_2015	100.18	98.22	95.25	92.68	93.12	93.48	93.44(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-55	40	1	-222	1.43	38%		-53.6	1.21%	0	-1.2	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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