Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 31, 2023

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. May. 20, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $132.9750 (0.18%) ($132.9750 - $132.9750) on Tue. Oct. 31, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $132.9750(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(71%)    QQQ(71%)    VUG(64%)    IWF(63%)    SPY(63%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-38%)    VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-20%)    TBT(-15%)    SDY(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $126.84(4.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $127.19(4.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $128.35(3.6%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $66.62b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.1%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.22%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.26%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.68%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.61%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2023	131.85	128.35	127.19	126.84	128.18	132.86	132.98(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	80	290	107	-2	38.98	50%	0.05	-1.1	2.24%	1.1	1.3	50	1.3
2	Oct_30_2023	131.78	127.93	126.89	125.92	125.3	130.08	132.74(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	131	250	170	14	63.56	50%	0.07	-10	2.24%	1.2	1.4	54	-0.1
3	Oct_27_2023	131.69	127.71	126.74	124.74	124.22	123.5	127.42(6.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	46	-50	72	-32	112.07	48%	0.03	-23.9	2.21%	1.1	-0.1	50	-1.7
4	Oct_26_2023	131.65	127.72	126.93	124.34	124.08	120.53	119.59(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-138	-210	-142	-126	61.98	42%	-0.02	-29.8	2.05%	-0.9	-2.6	38	-1.1
5	Oct_25_2023	131.67	128.11	128.25	126.08	125.52	124.94	121.47(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-94	-50	-100	-75	62.22	42%	-0.04	-23.4	2.05%	-1.8	-2.5	45	-0.8

6	Oct_24_2023	131.72	128.39	129.35	127.41	127.18	127.62	128.41(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	20	36	5	36.74	47%	0.03	-29	1.94%	1.3	0	55	0.4
7	Oct_23_2023	131.68	128.26	129.48	127.95	127.08	126.11	126.84(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-70	-42	-8	38.52	47%	0.02	-45.1	1.93%	0	-0.6	57	-0.7
8	Oct_20_2023	131.66	128.47	129.66	129.09	128.14	126.74	125.39(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-52	-100	-68	-5	45.47	44%	0.02	-48.6	1.93%	-1.4	-1.3	45	-1.3
9	Oct_19_2023	131.63	128.68	129.99	129.95	129.93	128.04	128.31(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-34	-100	-50	14	60.43	46%	0.06	-63	1.97%	-1.5	-0.2	52	-1.4
10	Oct_18_2023	131.55	128.73	129.82	130.75	130.32	129.54	128.12(-2.28%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-57	-50	-80	14	40.77	46%	0.05	-72.1	1.98%	-1.8	-0.2	55	-0.7

11	Oct_17_2023	131.48	129.05	129.75	131.53	131.41	131.82	131.11(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	20	17	66	38.77	48%	-0.01	-65.3	1.96%	-0.2	0.6	61	0.5
12	Oct_16_2023	131.49	129.32	129.13	131.21	131.64	131.1	132.53(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-20	21	63	34.14	48%	0.11	-61.4	1.96%	0.8	0.8	65	0.8
13	Oct_13_2023	131.35	129.6	128.73	130.35	130.89	131	129.68(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	20	-22	31	36.62	48%	0.11	-62.1	1.94%	-1.2	0	46	-1.3
14	Oct_12_2023	131.2	130.1	128.53	130.01	130.52	132.17	132.32(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	100	66	59	48.57	50%	0.12	-51.2	1.95%	0.8	0.4	55	0.3
15	Oct_11_2023	131.04	130.64	127.89	128.76	129.19	130.78	132.03(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	100	80	41	32.27	50%	0.13	-46.4	1.96%	1.3	0.2	54	0.4

16	Oct_10_2023	130.87	131.18	127.26	127.73	127.71	128.87	129.52(1.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	37	60	50	-4	33.28	48%	0.11	-42.7	1.95%	1	-0.3	38	0.2
17	Oct_9_2023	130.72	131.73	126.86	126.76	127.04	127.61	128.22(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	40	39	-47	32.39	48%	0.1	-41.9	1.97%	1.7	-0.5	32	-0.1
18	Oct_6_2023	130.59	132.45	127.08	126.91	126.15	126.54	127.95(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	0	-5	-82	46.79	48%	0.08	-38.2	1.97%	2	-0.6	29	-0.7
19	Oct_5_2023	130.49	132.95	127.19	126.86	126.65	126.48	126.09(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10	12	-101	32.3	48%	0.08	-39.1	1.97%	0.5	-1	24	-0.7
20	Oct_4_2023	130.38	133.56	127.51	126.87	127.05	125.76	126.87(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-54	-70	-23	-147	35.17	48%	0.1	-38.8	1.97%	-0	-1	21	-1

21	Oct_3_2023	130.25	134.03	128.28	126.71	126.87	126.82	124.66(-3.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-78	0	-45	-177	41.15	48%	0.12	-40.4	1.98%	-1.7	-1.4	18	-2.1
22	Oct_2_2023	130.1	134.7	129.53	126.91	127.23	128.34	128.97(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	70	47	-152	39.51	51%	0.15	-38.7	1.93%	1.1	-0.9	29	-1.1
23	Sep_29_2023	129.91	135.16	130.51	127.31	126.37	126.93	127.7(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-38	10	6	-171	47.52	51%	0.12	-34.8	1.94%	1	-1.2	24	-1.3
24	Sep_28_2023	129.75	135.71	131.75	127.64	127.2	126.12	126.16(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-70	-10	-171	48.41	51%	0.13	-30.4	1.94%	0.3	-1.6	35	-0.9
25	Sep_27_2023	129.58	136.21	133.58	128.28	127.99	125.81	126.07(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-114	-130	-91	-184	57.74	51%		-30.2	1.94%	-0.6	-1.8	35	-1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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