Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 7, 2020

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Apr. 25, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $3166.8150 (-1.76%) ($3140.6730 - $3240.8100) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $3166.8150(-1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(39%)    IVW(37%)    IWF(37%)    QQQ(36%)    XLK(36%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-8%)    TBT(-8%)    UNG(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $3168.49(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3118.79(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3088.62(2.53%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   34.3%
Market Cap   $1586.574b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.19%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 14.95%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.01%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 14.6%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.41%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2020	2555.18	3088.62	3118.79	3168.49	3179.29	3196.87	3166.82(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	78	50	79	76	3.92	70%	0.52	23.8	2.06%	-1.3	1	47	1.6
2	Aug_6_2020	2542.04	3089.34	3103.45	3168.03	3166.34	3201.38	3223.47(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	952	80	1105	491	3.92	70%	0.56	41.2	2.04%	1.6	1.7	65	1.7
3	Aug_5_2020	2527.83	3086.07	3079.48	3134.07	3158.03	3161.71	3205.17(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1072	30	1252	532	3.91	70%	0.57	50.2	2.05%	1.9	1.6	61	1.7
4	Aug_4_2020	2513.57	3079.29	3067.1	3099.72	3123.85	3131.31	3137(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-124	40	-152	-39	4.71	69%	0.59	60.2	2.04%	-0.9	0.8	58	1.6
5	Aug_3_2020	2498.82	3072.53	3065.63	3072.36	3096.37	3154.36	3110.01(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1137	150	1334	545	5	69%	0.54	71.2	2.04%	-0.1	0.5	52	1.3

6	Jul_31_2020	2485.3	3069.69	3072.53	3061.09	3069.2	3116.4	3164.52(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	2033	120	2387	970	8.07	65%	0.62	89.5	2.04%	1.1	1.3	53	1.5
7	Jul_30_2020	2470.1	3056.25	3052.22	3030.06	3037.59	3038.38	3053.66(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	545	10	647	237	5.91	62%	0.51	79.6	2.05%	1.6	-0	41	1.3
8	Jul_29_2020	2457.53	3048.48	3047.1	3016.88	3020.96	3022	3033.39(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-276	10	-311	-170	2.95	62%	0.48	75.9	2.05%	-0.6	-0.2	42	1.6
9	Jul_28_2020	2445.87	3036.32	3044.86	3030.08	3017.28	3036.8	3000.22(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	65	30	90	-10	3.11	62%	0.5	65.6	2.07%	-0.5	-0.3	47	1.5
10	Jul_27_2020	2433.63	3022.35	3053.39	3057.7	3038.58	3019.92	3053.66(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	56	-60	73	4	4.09	62%	0.49	59.2	2.09%	1.2	0.2	55	1.5

11	Jul_24_2020	2421.86	3005.84	3057.11	3086.47	3069.77	2997.77	3009.35(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1698	-180	-1995	-805	5.61	62%	0.46	59.3	2.1%	-0.6	0	49	1.2
12	Jul_23_2020	2410.81	2994.3	3075.59	3076.85	3110.52	3057.24	2987.81(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1595	-90	-1880	-738	5.63	62%	0.43	57.8	2.1%	0.1	-0	58	1.3
13	Jul_22_2020	2400.47	2982.84	3095.22	3078.68	3101.22	3141.76	3099.38(-1.24%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	0.1	-76	110	-102	2	4.06	67%	0.51	58.2	2.04%	0.3	0.7	63	1.8
14	Jul_21_2020	2388.3	2966.5	3093.68	3059.79	3071.85	3163.81	3138.29(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	2680	220	3134	1316	6.13	67%	0.51	58.5	2.03%	0.4	1	70	1.8
15	Jul_20_2020	2376.21	2945.48	3080.27	3048.93	3031.93	3060.67	3197.5(7.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	1970	50	2292	1003	7.56	67%	0.57	60.4	2.05%	2.1	1.4	76	2.2

16	Jul_17_2020	2362.8	2919.04	3064.92	3028.43	3010.4	2979.89	2961.28(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1154	-90	-1394	-433	4.79	60%	0.47	61.6	1.81%	-0.5	0.2	69	1.9
17	Jul_16_2020	2351.82	2904.76	3060.6	3076.72	3054.64	3003.19	2996.94(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1560	-140	-1886	-581	6.35	65%	0.44	70.2	1.82%	-0.3	0.5	66	1.5
18	Jul_15_2020	2341.43	2887.68	3051.38	3114.14	3105.39	3040.92	3004.94(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1883	-150	-2277	-699	5.74	65%	0.45	74.5	1.89%	-0.8	0.6	67	1.4
19	Jul_14_2020	2330.89	2868.84	3030.07	3129.74	3139.91	3106.09	3084(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1416	-70	-1734	-460	7.17	73%	0.47	76	1.85%	-1.3	1.1	69	0.9
20	Jul_13_2020	2319.92	2843.5	2992.31	3112.96	3140.93	3169.86	3095.02(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	418	90	428	387	7.67	76%	0.44	74.6	1.94%	-0.8	1.3	72	0

21	Jul_10_2020	2309.72	2815.99	2953.66	3105.08	3106.99	3173.73	3202.72(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	1905	150	2178	1086	5.46	81%	0.47	75.9	2%	1.3	2	80	1.2
22	Jul_9_2020	2299.01	2782.68	2907.48	3042.05	3066.05	3112.01	3184(3.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	2401	130	2768	1298	6.37	81%	0.45	75.4	2.01%	2.4	2.2	80	0.8
23	Jul_8_2020	2288.66	2754.16	2860.44	2981.13	3001.56	3040.25	3082.98(2.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	1177	110	1334	704	4.96	80%	0.42	82.2	1.99%	1.2	2.1	79	0.9
24	Jul_7_2020	2279.19	2728.9	2826.73	2916.13	2948.15	3020.1	3000.06(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	2181	200	2521	1159	5.26	79%	0.33	84	1.97%	0.4	2	78	0.7
25	Jul_6_2020	2271.75	2704.56	2796.94	2852.1	2879.46	2962.87	3055.63(5.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	3100	230	3609	1573	6.82	81%		78.3	1.95%	1.5	2.8	84	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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