Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 5, 2020

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $2040.1600 (-0.52%) ($2040.1600 - $2040.1600) on Wed. Feb. 5, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $2040.1600(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(41%)    QQQ(40%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SKYY(38%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    VXX(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    TBT(-4%)    UNG(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $1995.03(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1930.63(5.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1906.26(7.02%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $1022.12b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 3.34% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.32%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.22%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2020	1801.65	1906.26	1930.63	1995.03	2025.84	2045.53	2040.16(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1370	110	1568	775	4.3	93%	0.12	48.2	1.4%	0.6	2.1	73	0.1
2	Feb_4_2020	1799.41	1898.76	1914.36	1958.51	1983.75	2027.62	2050.89(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	1584	190	1832	840	5.27	93%	0.14	42.1	1.4%	1.9	2.7	73	-0.7
3	Feb_3_2020	1796.9	1890.41	1896.96	1919	1935.42	2006.15	2004.36(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2	2797	280	3273	1369	5.89	92%	0.1	32.2	1.37%	0.4	2.7	65	-1.4
4	Jan_31_2020	1795.19	1883.34	1881.87	1883.82	1897.67	1939.88	2007.95(7.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.6	3190	180	3750	1511	15.52	92%	0.09	12.7	1.37%	1.1	3.7	66	-2.4
5	Jan_30_2020	1793.49	1877.01	1867.36	1854.62	1852.78	1864.69	1871.81(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	429	40	517	164	4.05	88%	0.03	4.9	1.03%	1.3	-0.3	43	-0.4

6	Jan_29_2020	1792.99	1876.01	1866.39	1857.26	1850.33	1855.45	1857.56(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	410	10	496	152	2.07	88%	0.02	22.1	1.04%	0.8	-0.9	42	-0.7
7	Jan_28_2020	1792.59	1875.74	1867.67	1863.23	1857.19	1840.88	1853.34(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-405	-70	-462	-232	2.71	88%	0.01	43	1.04%	0.3	-1.1	38	-0.7
8	Jan_27_2020	1792.37	1876.7	1871.37	1870.96	1865.71	1845.21	1828.42(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-1576	-90	-1843	-776	3.51	87%	-0	70	1.03%	-1.5	-2.3	33	-1.9
9	Jan_24_2020	1792.43	1879.05	1877.22	1877.98	1881.6	1873.5	1861.99(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-455	-20	-529	-233	3.76	76%	0.01	119.6	1.23%	-1.8	-1	48	0
10	Jan_23_2020	1792.21	1875.99	1881.03	1881.17	1881.98	1886.21	1885.01(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-73	20	-82	-47	2.48	76%	0.05	127.5	1.42%	0.4	0.5	47	1.2

11	Jan_22_2020	1791.34	1871.76	1881.54	1876.57	1880.21	1889.7	1887.4(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	471	40	557	212	3.21	76%	0.06	124.7	1.42%	0	0.9	59	1.1
12	Jan_21_2020	1790.34	1867.08	1883.11	1872.98	1873.87	1877.76	1891.99(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	311	20	367	143	3.7	78%	0.07	82.6	1.42%	0.3	0.9	60	1.4
13	Jan_17_2020	1789.14	1862.32	1883.84	1872.75	1868.23	1870.73	1863.52(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-101	0	-120	-45	3.96	71%	0.05	65.6	1.43%	0.2	0	50	1.9
14	Jan_16_2020	1788.33	1858.65	1885.33	1876.59	1875.05	1869.98	1877.94(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	104	-20	120	56	2.65	71%	0.07	67.3	1.43%	1.3	0.5	53	2.2
15	Jan_15_2020	1787.16	1854.52	1887.23	1881.12	1876.25	1865.73	1862.01(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-595	-50	-710	-248	2.88	73%	0.06	71.6	1.43%	-1.2	0.2	66	2

16	Jan_14_2020	1786.11	1850.26	1886.53	1887.04	1885.89	1880.13	1869.45(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-285	-20	-352	-85	3.4	73%	0.06	74.7	1.44%	-1.5	0.4	66	2.3
17	Jan_13_2020	1785.07	1845.19	1884.86	1894.37	1891.44	1886.78	1890.81(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-195	-20	-253	-22	2.76	73%	0.08	75.4	1.43%	-0.4	0.9	71	2.5
18	Jan_10_2020	1783.62	1838.78	1882.77	1896.66	1895.27	1891.66	1882.75(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-193	-20	-256	-2	2.85	73%	0.04	76.2	1.43%	-2.1	0.9	69	1.4
19	Jan_9_2020	1782.83	1832.25	1881.51	1895.07	1900.13	1896.11	1900.57(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	-10	39	135	3.16	73%	0.04	72	1.43%	-0.8	1.3	74	1.4
20	Jan_8_2020	1782.03	1824.25	1871.05	1894.38	1893.69	1898.88	1891.65(-0.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-146	20	-207	38	3.48	69%	0.05	68.7	1.43%	-0.6	1.3	71	0.7

21	Jan_7_2020	1781.12	1817.08	1861.66	1885.65	1895.06	1904.16	1906.1(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	756	50	855	459	4.04	69%	0.05	61	1.44%	1.3	1.6	77	0.6
22	Jan_6_2020	1780.2	1809.11	1849.9	1873.78	1880.54	1888.51	1902.21(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	352	40	382	263	3.97	69%	0.06	53.3	1.44%	1.7	1.8	77	0.6
23	Jan_3_2020	1779.07	1800.85	1838.78	1867.2	1866.67	1885.96	1874.81(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	449	70	495	310	3.76	67%	0.06	46.5	1.44%	0.4	1.5	75	0.5
24	Jan_2_2020	1778.04	1794.89	1829.61	1866.01	1865.29	1872.56	1897.11(2.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	919	30	1045	539	4.02	67%	0.05	44.5	1.43%	2.3	2.2	83	1.3
25	Dec_31_2019	1777.15	1788.05	1818.5	1844.47	1858.24	1847.38	1848.01(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-22	-20	-58	86	2.5	64%		37.1	1.4%	-0.6	1.5	80	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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