Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 4, 2018

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Apr. 25, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $2039.5100 (1.33%) ($2013.0000 - $2050.5000) on Tue. Sep. 4, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $2039.5100(1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(45%)    VUG(45%)    IWF(44%)    IVW(43%)    XLK(43%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    VIXM(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    IFRA(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $1997.1(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1954.21(4.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1921.95(6.12%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.8%
Market Cap   $1021.795b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.2%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.5%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.54%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.2%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2018	1725.94	1921.95	1954.21	1997.1	2005.49	2022.04	2039.51(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1079	70	1226	638	5.72	63%	0.53	93.5	1.21%	0	2.3	74	0.5
2	Aug_31_2018	1716.91	1912.04	1937.6	1974.74	1981.21	2007.39	2012.71(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1186	100	1361	659	4.2	61%	0.33	93.9	1.2%	0	2.1	74	0.1
3	Aug_30_2018	1711.22	1902.43	1924.12	1953.27	1958.27	1988.93	2002.38(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	1738	120	2020	893	7.28	61%	0.34	90.2	1.2%	0	2.3	75	0.8
4	Aug_29_2018	1705.4	1893.78	1911.91	1933.38	1934.65	1955.04	1998.1(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	1357	80	1580	686	6.53	61%	0.33	84.3	1.2%	0	2.5	70	1.3
5	Aug_28_2018	1699.73	1883.61	1899.57	1914.74	1917.85	1927.6	1932.82(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	760	40	886	382	3.1	57%	0.31	66.8	1.14%	0	1.2	63	1

6	Aug_27_2018	1694.41	1876.1	1897.63	1904.86	1906.78	1914.26	1927.68(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	442	30	512	232	3.57	57%	0.31	50.4	1.15%	0	1.2	67	0.9
7	Aug_24_2018	1689.13	1868.86	1894.12	1894.66	1897.77	1908.1	1905.39(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	491	40	570	252	2.8	56%	0.27	42.7	1.14%	0	0.9	67	1
8	Aug_23_2018	1684.55	1864.49	1892.15	1890.03	1890.94	1899.29	1902.9(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	619	30	718	321	3.56	56%	0.3	39.7	1.14%	0	0.9	71	1
9	Aug_22_2018	1679.58	1859.79	1891.52	1886.75	1883.51	1887.44	1904.9(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	174	10	191	121	3.08	56%	0.31	38.6	1.15%	0	1.1	68	1.2
10	Aug_21_2018	1674.4	1857.42	1889.57	1882.3	1884.45	1882.58	1883.42(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	61	-0	54	83	3.11	56%	0.31	39	1.15%	0	0.6	71	0.7

11	Aug_20_2018	1669.23	1854.69	1887.83	1889.54	1887.12	1879.58	1876.71(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-415	-30	-517	-110	2.86	56%	0.13	42.2	1.15%	0	0.5	74	1.1
12	Aug_17_2018	1667.11	1851.08	1885.46	1893.44	1895.55	1886.32	1882.22(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-419	-30	-529	-88	4.1	56%	0.27	42.7	1.15%	0	0.7	74	0.9
13	Aug_16_2018	1662.67	1847.65	1880.21	1894.26	1901.91	1894.65	1886.52(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-308	-10	-400	-31	3.96	56%	0.28	44	1.15%	0	0.9	63	0.2
14	Aug_15_2018	1658.03	1843.9	1875.34	1896.66	1900.26	1904.78	1882.62(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-120	20	-183	71	7.7	56%	0.24	49.3	1.15%	0	1	64	-1.4
15	Aug_14_2018	1654.1	1841.68	1867.45	1897.44	1899.91	1909.18	1919.65(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	776	40	874	482	3.99	59%	0.23	61.7	1.14%	0	2	57	0.4

16	Aug_13_2018	1650.38	1837.41	1853.44	1886	1889.5	1895.74	1896.2(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	476	30	529	315	5.53	58%	0.25	73.4	1.14%	0	1.7	60	-1
17	Aug_10_2018	1646.3	1833.45	1841.9	1876.31	1878.23	1890.64	1886.3(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	603	50	685	358	3.64	58%	0.21	83.2	1.14%	0	1.6	63	0.6
18	Aug_9_2018	1642.81	1829.57	1834.65	1863.71	1864.96	1883.26	1898.52(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	1034	70	1197	546	4.86	58%	0.2	91.8	1.13%	0	2.2	62	1.8
19	Aug_8_2018	1639.58	1824.24	1825.04	1850.87	1849.39	1865.82	1886.52(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1087	60	1265	551	3.96	58%	0.19	97	1.14%	0	2	61	2.3
20	Aug_7_2018	1636.52	1817.66	1821.59	1833	1833.9	1846.66	1862.48(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	926	50	1082	456	3.38	55%	0.2	89.5	1.13%	0	1.4	52	2.3

21	Aug_6_2018	1633.28	1811.82	1817.68	1816	1816.57	1832.97	1847.75(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	779	60	919	359	3.39	55%	0.17	74.7	1.14%	0	1.1	49	1.9
22	Aug_3_2018	1630.46	1806.55	1812.9	1802.29	1801.87	1821.15	1823.29(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	953	70	1132	416	3.46	53%	0.15	60.6	1.13%	0	0.4	50	1.1
23	Aug_2_2018	1628	1801.31	1811.81	1801.09	1794.28	1800.16	1834.33(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	470	10	565	186	4.35	53%	0.15	54	1.12%	0	0.8	54	0.8
24	Aug_1_2018	1625.52	1794.91	1809.4	1795.82	1802.67	1782.59	1797.17(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-447	-70	-512	-250	4.15	49%	0.13	55	1.11%	0	0.1	52	0.7
25	Jul_31_2018	1623.39	1790.25	1813.81	1809.11	1811.45	1788.39	1777.44(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1719	-90	-2022	-809	5.74	46%		58	1.11%	0	-0.3	57	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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