Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 3, 2018

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. May. 6, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $1823.2900 (-0.6%) ($1821.5000 - $1841.0000) on Fri. Aug. 3, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $1823.2900(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(45%)    VUG(45%)    IWF(44%)    IVW(43%)    XLK(43%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    VIXM(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $1802.29(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1812.9(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1806.55(0.93%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $913.468b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -12.03%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -28.14%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.66%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -26.31%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2018	1630.46	1806.55	1812.9	1802.29	1801.87	1821.15	1823.29(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	953	70	1132	416	3.46	53%	0.15	60.6	1.13%	0	0.4	50	1.1
2	Aug_2_2018	1628	1801.31	1811.81	1801.09	1794.28	1800.16	1834.33(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	470	10	565	186	4.35	53%	0.15	54	1.12%	0	0.8	54	0.8
3	Aug_1_2018	1625.52	1794.91	1809.4	1795.82	1802.67	1782.59	1797.17(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-447	-70	-512	-250	4.15	49%	0.13	55	1.11%	0	0.1	52	0.7
4	Jul_31_2018	1623.39	1790.25	1813.81	1809.11	1811.45	1788.39	1777.44(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1719	-90	-2022	-809	5.74	46%	0.11	58	1.11%	0	-0.3	57	0.6
5	Jul_30_2018	1621.56	1787.52	1820.62	1819.47	1828.6	1822.75	1779.22(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-594	-10	-712	-240	6.56	46%	0.13	66.2	1.11%	0	-0.2	60	0.3

6	Jul_27_2018	1619.52	1784.03	1825.44	1824.02	1835.19	1834.51	1817.27(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	283	20	310	202	9.68	59%	0.17	63.8	1.08%	0	0.6	67	0.6
7	Jul_26_2018	1616.81	1778.44	1825.24	1823.31	1824.15	1834.45	1808(-2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	40	-42	84	9.92	65%	0.17	59.5	1.16%	0	0.5	70	1.1
8	Jul_25_2018	1614.13	1771.48	1824.59	1824.3	1823.36	1835.88	1863.61(1.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	951	50	1081	562	3.84	73%	0.21	49.3	1.17%	0	1.5	84	1.2
9	Jul_24_2018	1610.8	1762.7	1813.94	1820.17	1818.07	1813.85	1829.24(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-20	8	147	4.28	60%	0.19	46.1	1.16%	0	1.1	83	1.2
10	Jul_23_2018	1607.68	1754.5	1805.82	1823.1	1822.66	1810.85	1802(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-480	-50	-608	-95	3.89	58%	0.19	42.4	1.26%	0	0.8	72	0.9

11	Jul_20_2018	1604.6	1750.07	1800.2	1827.2	1829	1822.29	1813.7(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-391	-20	-509	-35	3.89	58%	0.2	45.4	1.26%	0	1.1	77	1.1
12	Jul_19_2018	1601.33	1745.59	1790.57	1827.07	1830.07	1834.47	1812.97(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	88	20	53	192	4.68	58%	0.19	47.7	1.29%	0	1.2	77	1.2
13	Jul_18_2018	1598.27	1742	1779.82	1823.8	1825.87	1835.7	1842.92(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	715	40	787	497	4.86	62%	0.21	52.2	1.28%	0	1.8	89	1.4
14	Jul_17_2018	1594.89	1736.01	1764.94	1806.21	1809.64	1825.68	1843.93(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	768	70	857	502	5.68	68%	0.21	51.7	1.29%	0	2.2	77	1.5
15	Jul_16_2018	1591.6	1729.42	1751.41	1786.04	1789.6	1816.04	1822.49(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	1127	110	1286	650	5.47	68%	0.21	50.8	1.38%	0	2.2	79	1.2

16	Jul_13_2018	1588.31	1723.61	1738.73	1769.35	1768.46	1793.6	1813.03(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1336	100	1539	727	4.39	68%	0.21	50.7	1.38%	0	2.4	63	0.8
17	Jul_12_2018	1584.97	1718.62	1726.99	1748.87	1749.17	1763.16	1796.62(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	993	60	1145	535	4.53	68%	0.2	47.8	1.39%	0	2.5	58	0.7
18	Jul_11_2018	1581.77	1713.65	1713.16	1729.49	1729.94	1743.32	1755(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	482	50	558	254	3.21	65%	0.19	39.3	1.38%	0	1.7	49	0.5
19	Jul_10_2018	1578.84	1710.67	1706.45	1717.28	1718.31	1735.18	1743.07(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	726	70	853	345	3	68%	0.11	28.1	1.38%	0	1.4	50	0.9
20	Jul_9_2018	1577.15	1707.9	1698.42	1711.42	1710.36	1716.55	1739.02(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	608	20	721	270	3.01	68%	0.19	26.7	1.4%	0	1.4	52	0.7

21	Jul_6_2018	1574.16	1705.09	1695.4	1703.58	1702.21	1701.44	1710.63(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-114	-10	-125	-81	2.65	58%	0.16	26.6	1.39%	0	0.3	49	0.1
22	Jul_5_2018	1571.59	1704.08	1696.82	1701.74	1703.52	1704.17	1699.73(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	95	10	121	18	2.98	62%	0.26	36.4	1.46%	0	-0.2	46	-0.6
23	Jul_3_2018	1567.45	1703.95	1701.3	1693.9	1699.94	1702.98	1693.96(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	97	20	123	17	2.18	62%	0.2	42.5	1.49%	0	-0.5	49	-1.2
24	Jul_2_2018	1564.31	1704.17	1705.15	1693.33	1694.01	1702.87	1713.78(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	235	40	284	88	3.19	53%	0.24	56.3	1.49%	0	0.4	53	-1.4
25	Jun_29_2018	1560.49	1701.89	1705.88	1683.2	1690.26	1696.9	1699.8(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	409	40	490	167	4.54	53%		48.7	1.64%	0	-0.1	53	-0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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