Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Apr. 25, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $1602.9100 (-0.38%) ($1597.8900 - $1611.1000) on Fri. May. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $1602.9100(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(45%)    VUG(45%)    IWF(44%)    IVW(43%)    XLK(43%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    VIXM(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    IFRA(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1602.5(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1589.23(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1551.09(3.34%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $803.058b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 3.56% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.68%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -0.67%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 0.82%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.32%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2018	1440.36	1551.09	1589.23	1602.5	1602.14	1607.44	1602.91(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	96	20	86	126	2.26	56%	0.31	79.2	1.99%	0	0.9	65	1.8
2	May_10_2018	1435.9	1542.79	1586.18	1598.11	1599.73	1605.58	1609.08(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	330	30	360	241	2.82	56%	0.31	77.8	2%	0	1.2	64	1.6
3	May_9_2018	1431.41	1534.84	1577.45	1590.71	1590.6	1596.85	1608(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	210	30	222	172	3.64	56%	0.31	71.9	2.02%	0	1.2	57	1.1
4	May_8_2018	1427.03	1525.9	1563.43	1583.05	1580.9	1593.88	1592.39(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	266	50	294	183	3.07	52%	0.29	70	2.02%	0	1.1	60	17.5
5	May_7_2018	1422.84	1518.14	1550.83	1581.02	1577.07	1584.34	1600.14(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	423	20	481	247	3.8	51%	0.31	71	2.12%	0	1.3	64	1

6	May_4_2018	1418.46	1508.52	1542.27	1574.22	1570.72	1567.93	1580.95(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-32	-20	-55	38	3.44	51%	0.3	70.6	2.17%	0	1.2	70	1
7	May_3_2018	1414.22	1499.82	1536.55	1572.55	1571.67	1569.8	1572.08(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-164	-10	-215	-10	4.25	51%	0.3	69.6	2.19%	0	1.2	70	0.2
8	May_2_2018	1409.97	1493.6	1534.36	1561.73	1581.62	1573.52	1569.68(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	245	0	263	189	4.36	53%	0.3	66.7	2.21%	0	1.3	66	1.3
9	May_1_2018	1405.76	1485.6	1529.79	1539.83	1563.2	1573.53	1582.26(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	90	55	101	4.57	50%	0.31	49.6	2.23%	0	1.6	70	0.5
10	Apr_30_2018	1401.45	1475.99	1521.55	1515.39	1533.24	1589.71	1566.13(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	933	290	1078	497	5.46	51%	0.3	26.2	2.28%	0	1.5	67	1.1

11	Apr_27_2018	1397.24	1466.27	1509.33	1505.74	1513.13	1552.88	1572.62(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1654	200	1927	835	13.05	52%	0.31	12.8	2.27%	0	1.9	71	1.1
12	Apr_26_2018	1392.94	1459.46	1495.14	1496.71	1494.62	1476.76	1517.96(3.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-35	-90	-59	38	8.8	50%	0.27	0.9	2.25%	0	1.2	67	0.9
13	Apr_25_2018	1389.13	1454.91	1488.37	1504.5	1504.31	1473.38	1460.17(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1037	-140	-1241	-423	6.59	47%	0.24	-8.7	2.2%	0	0.1	52	0.4
14	Apr_24_2018	1385.81	1456.48	1485.98	1518.04	1529.59	1512.48	1460.09(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-489	-60	-602	-149	7.49	47%	0.25	-9.1	2.21%	0	0.1	58	1.3
15	Apr_23_2018	1382.42	1460.7	1484.36	1526.79	1535.63	1535.24	1517.86(-0.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-52	20	-95	77	4.47	51%	0.27	-3	2.15%	0	1.1	69	1.4

16	Apr_20_2018	1378.71	1459.06	1473.5	1511.51	1524.03	1546.71	1527.49(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	544	130	609	349	5.54	53%	0.27	-17.5	2.17%	0	1.3	72	1.2
17	Apr_19_2018	1375.06	1459.07	1461.23	1492.17	1498.71	1536.01	1556.91(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1036	190	1195	558	6.52	53%	0.3	-30.2	2.17%	0	1.8	61	1.6
18	Apr_18_2018	1370.94	1459.11	1449.59	1470.49	1471	1501.34	1527.84(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1032	150	1196	540	5.23	53%	0.25	-40.2	2.17%	0	1.2	61	1.8
19	Apr_17_2018	1367.46	1460.99	1437.27	1450.33	1451.92	1461.42	1503.83(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	563	50	655	288	5.11	53%	0.24	-46.6	2.16%	0	0.7	49	2.3
20	Apr_16_2018	1364.25	1462.38	1425.71	1436.81	1440.03	1440.65	1441.5(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	10	-3	-19	2.81	50%	0.2	-54.8	2.1%	0	-0.3	36	1.1

21	Apr_13_2018	1361.59	1468.47	1419.08	1429.73	1437.62	1442.43	1430.79(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	122	40	157	15	3.69	50%	0.05	-55.7	2.1%	0	-0.6	44	0.3
22	Apr_12_2018	1360.86	1475.71	1420.29	1424.62	1431.86	1439.42	1448.5(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	181	50	234	22	3.14	52%	0.23	-53.8	2.11%	0	-0.4	40	-0.4
23	Apr_11_2018	1357.78	1482.43	1418.12	1425.27	1426.41	1432.81	1427.05(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	118	30	167	-31	3.58	52%	0.22	-48.7	2.12%	0	-0.7	35	-0.7
24	Apr_10_2018	1354.75	1490.29	1424.23	1421.97	1428.92	1424.31	1436.22(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	201	-10	271	-9	4.28	52%	0.24	-46.5	2.12%	0	-0.7	35	-0.9
25	Apr_9_2018	1351.49	1498.2	1434.76	1413.14	1417.35	1420.02	1406.08(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-210	20	-210	-211	4.21	50%		-44.6	2.11%	0	-1.2	38	-0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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