Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $856.4400 (1.35%) ($847.2500 - $857.9800) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $856.4400(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(46%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    XLK(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $844.95(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $835.03(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $831.3(3.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $429.076b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 37 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(59%) Average negative next day return: -1.46%(41%) Sample size 37 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(51%) Average negative next three day return: -1.74%(49%) Sample size 37 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2017	794.99	831.3	835.03	844.95	844.27	848.2	856.44(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	319	30	352	219	3.51	70%	-0.03	70.7	1.1%	0	2	65	INF
2	Feb_17_2017	795.22	829.29	830.15	840.97	840.06	843.18	845.07(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	176	20	192	128	3.11	68%	0.02	65.7	1.13%	0	1.3	56	INF
3	Feb_16_2017	795.06	827.47	826.66	837.44	837.85	840.34	844.14(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	236	20	271	132	2.71	68%	0.02	55.6	1.14%	0	1.4	52	INF
4	Feb_15_2017	794.9	825.71	825.88	832.89	833.58	836.94	842.7(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	159	30	185	82	2.97	72%	0.04	49.3	1.14%	0	1.4	50	INF
5	Feb_14_2017	794.62	823.95	824.57	828.29	829.54	835.36	836.39(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	289	50	343	127	2.79	66%	0.05	44.3	1.2%	0	1.1	49	INF

6	Feb_13_2017	794.24	822.61	823.14	823.51	824.74	830.23	836.53(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	342	50	409	139	4.17	66%	0.04	38.8	1.26%	0	1.2	56	INF
7	Feb_10_2017	793.92	821.59	822.3	817.73	818.85	823.73	827.46(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	237	50	290	79	2.43	58%	0.03	34.3	1.26%	0	0.5	55	INF
8	Feb_9_2017	793.69	820.9	822.93	814.28	814.42	819.26	821.36(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	210	40	256	70	2.48	55%	0.04	40.3	1.35%	0	0	58	INF
9	Feb_8_2017	793.36	819.9	824.58	818	811.39	813.98	819.71(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-0	45	11	2.86	55%	0.05	61.6	1.38%	0	-0	57	INF
10	Feb_7_2017	792.95	818.83	826.21	820.53	816.45	809.58	812.5(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-70	-77	-17	3.47	59%	0.05	78	1.38%	0	-0.5	55	INF

11	Feb_6_2017	792.57	818.2	827.42	822.72	821.12	808.8	807.64(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-491	-110	-585	-209	3.9	59%	0.04	94.7	1.46%	0	-0.8	52	INF
12	Feb_3_2017	792.27	817.79	828.79	827.27	825.04	823.31	810.2(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-371	-20	-448	-140	10.87	57%	0.05	110.2	1.47%	0	-0.5	48	INF
13	Feb_2_2017	791.85	816.53	829.03	832.39	829.66	833.45	839.95(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	221	20	244	152	7.35	58%	0.1	109.4	1.4%	0	1.4	66	INF
14	Feb_1_2017	791.04	812.56	826	832.23	829.45	826.76	832.35(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-30	-12	54	3.85	58%	0.09	88.2	1.43%	0	1	71	INF
15	Jan_31_2017	790.3	808.81	823.61	833.06	831.4	825.88	823.48(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-204	-50	-260	-36	3.14	60%	0.07	77	1.43%	0	0.6	69	INF

16	Jan_30_2017	789.77	805.34	822.36	832.85	833.36	832.15	830.38(-0.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-85	-10	-122	26	3.75	60%	0.09	73.3	1.44%	0	1.1	74	INF
17	Jan_27_2017	789.04	802.12	820.97	830.35	831.46	836.93	835.77(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	186	50	197	151	3	53%	0.07	62.9	1.58%	0	1.3	79	INF
18	Jan_26_2017	788.51	798.89	818.64	824.86	825.48	834.57	839.15(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	364	80	406	236	3.59	52%	0.07	57.8	1.58%	0	1.6	86	INF
19	Jan_25_2017	787.95	795.39	814.56	818.84	818.88	825.99	836.52(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	366	60	408	240	4.02	52%	0.06	55.2	1.6%	0	1.7	89	INF
20	Jan_24_2017	787.45	791.53	810.41	813.03	813.56	816.4	822.44(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	199	30	210	166	2.97	52%	0.05	53.1	1.58%	0	1.3	89	INF

21	Jan_23_2017	787.09	788.66	807.84	810.49	810.44	811.77	817.88(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	10	37	112	2.8	52%	0.06	52.8	1.61%	0	1.3	89	INF
22	Jan_20_2017	786.62	786.21	805.64	810.34	810.23	810.72	808.33(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	0	27	123	3.38	53%	0.05	53.5	1.61%	0	1	72	INF
23	Jan_19_2017	786.22	784.29	803.06	811.4	811.39	809.11	809.04(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-20	-2	121	2.54	53%	0.05	55.3	1.61%	0	1.1	67	INF
24	Jan_18_2017	785.81	782.08	798.24	809.4	810.62	809.73	807.48(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-22	-0	-59	90	2.35	53%	0.05	56.4	1.61%	0	1.2	67	INF
25	Jan_17_2017	785.39	779.56	793.17	807.08	807.42	813.67	809.72(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	152	60	147	167	3.67	52%		53.4	1.61%	0	1.5	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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