Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $768.6600 (0.17%) ($765.3400 - $770.2500) on Fri. Dec. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $768.6600(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(47%)    VUG(46%)    IWF(45%)    IVW(44%)    XLK(44%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $766.1(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $759.69(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $759.61(1.19%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $385.099b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_9_2016	780.66	759.61	759.69	766.1	766.74	769.05	768.66(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	116	20	143	34	2.47	52%	0.03	-0.9	1.55%	0	0.5	55	INF
2	Dec_8_2016	780.42	758.33	760.54	760.43	762.59	767.42	767.33(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	188	50	229	64	3.19	52%	0.03	-16.7	1.6%	0	0.5	56	INF
3	Dec_7_2016	780.2	758.43	761.55	755.7	755.76	764.43	770.42(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	250	80	302	94	3.68	52%	0.04	-22.8	1.6%	0	0.7	62	INF
4	Dec_6_2016	779.89	759.07	762.7	751.73	751.15	757.76	764.72(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	304	60	363	126	3.79	54%	0.04	-27	1.59%	0	0.3	61	INF
5	Dec_5_2016	779.6	759.91	764.05	751.29	749.7	747.1	759.36(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-30	14	12	4.31	54%	0.03	-28.2	1.61%	0	-0	69	INF

6	Dec_2_2016	779.36	759.72	764.24	752.77	753.06	744.55	740.34(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-330	-80	-394	-138	3.56	52%	-0	-31	1.59%	0	-1	53	INF
7	Dec_1_2016	779.37	761.13	766.23	760.78	760.32	752.3	743.65(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-391	-80	-474	-140	4.67	52%	0	-32.8	1.59%	0	-1	53	INF
8	Nov_30_2016	779.36	762.31	766.99	768.07	769.32	761.58	750.57(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-263	-70	-327	-71	4.63	52%	0	-36.6	1.58%	0	-0.7	44	INF
9	Nov_29_2016	779.33	764	766.69	775.02	774.69	768.34	762.52(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-312	-60	-385	-93	3.27	52%	0.01	-37.8	1.57%	0	-0.1	42	INF
10	Nov_28_2016	779.25	765.23	762.85	778.52	780.01	777.07	766.77(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-102	-20	-132	-10	4.44	52%	0.03	-42.5	1.57%	0	0.1	44	INF

11	Nov_25_2016	779.03	765.65	760.24	777.2	780.41	781.03	780.37(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	20	49	52	1.84	54%	0.11	-54.5	1.56%	0	0.8	57	INF
12	Nov_23_2016	778.18	767.18	756.35	772.4	775.1	782.95	780.12(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	207	80	241	104	3.54	54%	0.07	-46.7	1.55%	0	0.5	53	INF
13	Nov_22_2016	777.66	768.95	755.06	765.68	768.51	779.8	785.33(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	534	110	631	244	5.31	54%	0.01	-47.3	1.55%	0	0.6	55	INF
14	Nov_21_2016	777.58	771.01	754.6	757.26	757.57	767.25	780(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	438	90	524	178	4.61	54%	0.07	-47.8	1.54%	0	0.3	47	INF
15	Nov_18_2016	777.04	773.52	754.49	745.07	748.48	757.22	760.16(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	382	100	470	118	4.37	51%	0.06	-53.1	1.52%	0	-0.4	41	INF

16	Nov_17_2016	776.59	776.32	753.92	740.84	740.61	747.88	756.4(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	278	70	355	48	3.69	51%	0.05	-56.6	1.51%	0	-0.6	45	INF
17	Nov_16_2016	776.17	778.98	754.83	738.04	736.59	739.73	746.49(0.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	93	20	146	-68	3.65	51%	0.05	-60.8	1.51%	0	-1	34	INF
18	Nov_15_2016	775.78	782.54	756.75	743.12	739.46	733.34	743.24(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-186	-70	-177	-211	6.76	51%	0.07	-60.1	1.51%	0	-1.2	32	INF
19	Nov_14_2016	775.26	786.33	760.87	752.02	747.42	733.45	719.07(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-657	-150	-730	-438	7.32	48%	0.03	-56.9	1.45%	0	-2.1	23	INF
20	Nov_11_2016	775.06	791.29	768.18	765.19	761.35	745.58	739.01(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-707	-160	-791	-453	6.62	51%	0.02	-56.5	1.41%	0	-1.8	25	INF

21	Nov_10_2016	774.89	795.64	772.2	768.4	771.87	761.4	742.38(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-541	-80	-593	-386	12.75	51%	0.04	-60.3	1.41%	0	-1.9	33	INF
22	Nov_9_2016	774.56	800.14	779.71	773.33	773.08	777.13	771.88(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-199	40	-193	-218	8.56	55%	0.07	-62.8	1.33%	0	-1.1	41	INF
23	Nov_8_2016	774	803.25	784.47	772.06	773.06	782.35	787.75(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	455	90	579	83	3.41	58%	0.1	-67.3	1.3%	0	-0.6	42	INF
24	Nov_7_2016	773.25	805.37	788.69	771.6	770.2	769.04	784.93(3.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	77	-20	133	-90	5.98	58%	0.1	-67.2	1.3%	0	-0.8	41	INF
25	Nov_4_2016	772.46	808.15	793.59	772.57	773.12	763.77	755.05(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-451	-80	-489	-335	5.12	53%		-65.5	1.21%	0	-2	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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